Since nuke since be born, between big country especially the may large-scale conflict between the nuclear power, probability already was reduced greatly, expert scholar is its summary " bloodcurdling nucleus is balanced " . In the 70 old time in the past, this guesses got basically confirming, but can this kind of thing happen with respect to scarcely? The answer is negative probably, russia is curule a word a few days ago, very thought-provoking.
According to report of Russia satellite news service, be worth north to celebrate its to hold water 70 years about. Xiefugenni Burensiji of vice-chairman of committee of Russia international general affairs is in " now Russia " on the round table of international news agency, answer Russia and north did not erupt whether possibly about express when the problem of conflict: "I think, this is likely. " Burensiji says, so because be in the United States,saying is (if read its opinion on public affairs, document) " be without awe-stricken " generation already in power. He thinks, the United States is current this generation politician does not have any dreading, nobody are mentioned again now go up oneself Kennedy and McNemar pull the century since 60 time (1961 come to held the post of American defense minister 1968) the times exists " not acceptability loss " idea. Burensiji points out: "These politician do not have scared feeling, its file is clear make clear, even if (likelihood) employ nuke, they also had made the preparation with Russia battle. They also had made the preparation with Russia battle..
Must say, russia is curule this opinion on public affairs is more pessimistic, very heavy; It is rational at the same time, be not standing fact. Face US-led the posture that north makes an appointment with aggressive, the war that Russia respect must take possibly about to north acts, had made worst plan. In March the last ten-day of a month, in training a flight, the B-52H bomber of 5 air force is opposite Russia undertook imitate nucleus is hit (Russian army thinks) , include Moscow and Sanket among them; Still was March the last ten-day of a month, during American department of defense decides to return cold war afresh, use in Europe " dynamic deploy " the strategy of army, namely the U.S. Army should not forecast the ground to mobilize force quickly, make the commander of Europe and other theater of operation can be in crucial area to be added quickly arms; In April, north makes an appointment with a country to will hold massive war game in the Black Sea, the method with the sea land minatory sky that drilling answers area of the Black Sea to may happen.
In the Bo Yizhong of Russia and west, be in unparalleled disadvantageous position at present, even if is such, north makes an appointment with a country or do not agree to make a bit yield, without bottom line thinking, on the issue that involves Russia core increase, provoke often. Undoubted, this is breakneck, and Russia is curule think the biggest risk depends on the United States " the person that be in power " , without the awe-stricken psychology to the war. Common and character, do not know warlike cruelty and dreariness namely, had forced Russia to the corner. In fact, american individual eagle is sent, in dominant external in the process of policy, have really break reason, seek is absolutely advantage, but this is breakneck. Russia is in " Oriental - 2018 " large-scale army in acting, the signal that release is very clear, but even if is such, press a root to be not frightened to adversary it seems that, and this ability is the most terrible.
Beyond question, the north of Russia and American dominant is made an appointment with, enough and powerful, and have nuclear weapon, once brush gun fire accidentally, possible consequence can imagine scarcely. Accordingly, no matter politician of any one party, any, want conscious control risk, determined spurn war, otherwise, nobody can bear a so serious consequence. Anyhow, russia and west, it is moment sat on the table to talk, is not blindly strong, turn situation to cannot pilot abyss.
