Price of the following egg, the price yield a division such as Heibei, Henan, Shandong, Jiangsu, Anhui is to arrive a price (the price that the farm sells an egg) , the price selling a division such as Beijing, Shanghai, Guangdong is terminal market receives commodity price.
This paragraph of time after the red-letter day reaching before tomb-sweeping day, egg price it may be said 3 fold, before the section 2 weeks rebound ahead of schedule, before the section 1 week of callbacks, section hind rebounds 3 days. Go when festal benefit feel well, egg price rises again the space has how old, can you maintain current egg price level?
One, after dropping first, go up! Egg price rises the higher-priced before winding a red-letter dayBefore tomb-sweeping day 2 weeks, egg price rises 5 days repeatedly, accumulative total goes up 0.18 yuan / jin, produce a division all price is top amount to 3.32 yuan / jin;
Began to glide on March 30, drop 7 days continuously, advocate accumulative total yield a division drops 0.17 yuan / jin;
After tomb-sweeping day the first day (on April 6) begin to rebound, up to successive already now 3 days, accumulative total goes up 0.16 yuan / jin;
Up to now (on April 8) , produce a division all price already rose to 3.31 yuan / jin, before approaching a red-letter day indefinitely top level.
From the point of above data, egg price rises drop more resembling is a loop.
callback of a week before the section, be be based on stock up shift to an earlier date open, the real consumption that festival of itself Pure Brightness can drive is finite, after market supply of goods is enough, the market to hind city judgement can tend careful, the quantity that take money decreases, egg price fall after a rise.
Egg price glides lasted several days, drop everyday very small, and rebound to have 3 days only at present after the section, but already went up basically a level before dropping. Egg elder brother thinks, this was mirrorred adequately actually, the callback before the section reduced the risk after the section greatly. In the meantime, manner of discretion of the market before the section, bring about strength of market goods in stock to decrease, market stock on the low side, drive egg price to goods fills after the section strong rebound provided a basis.
2, demand is faced with drop egg price rebounds the power that prop up is insufficientWhat need makes clear is, egg market still is in consumption off-season, hair laying a plan changes appoint issuance whole nation 36 big in average retail price walks along urban egg power plan can see, difference of price of price of egg of weak busy season is bigger, although tomb-sweeping day brings demand profit good, but terminal is carried brace up the effect is finite, retail price rebounds strength still slants small.
Up to now (on April 8) rebound to had entered the 3rd day after egg price tomb-sweeping day, before 2 days because be in holiday in the center, each district still continues Pure Brightness is carried to terminal consumption brace up the effect, and because traffic is busy, cause local sell an area to arrive slant little, egg price rebounds strength slants big.
But after the holiday ends, afore-mentioned profit are good element also will gradually subsidise, as each district section hind filling goods nears end stage by stage, the force propping up that egg price rebounds continuously will be abate, egg price predicts to will be in hasten of second half week firm or concussion fall after a rise.
3, laying hen amount of livestock on hand increases in the raise on price of long-term and adverse eggCombinative Zhi Hua Jizhuo achieves data to show, filling column of 11-12 month chickling measured the peak that reachs second half of the year 2018, the grow in quantity of filling column is meant, 3-5 month opened yield egg chicken amount of livestock on hand newly 2019 quantity general grow in quantity.
At the same time by March later, occupy as a result of old chicken than decreasing, and old chicken washs out the price to go up point-blank raise, besides rising column demand for chickling, breed an enthusiasm that clean out chicken to be reduced greatly.
Add anew reach wash out a circumstance to look, laying hen amount of livestock on hand will form the impetus that grows continuously, the egg is supplied increase also will corresponding increase. Those who need an attention is, as a result of early days part old chicken moulting is reached seasonal gallinaceous ill problem, certain level the actual supply that go up or affects an egg, accordingly, the egg supplies growth near future to look to still maintain position of on the low side.
Accordingly, the egg supplies a respect to prop up strength to slant to egg price weak, and from short-term arrive long-term, good to egg price advantage weaker and weaker.
4, this week looks into:A few respects analyse combinative above, egg elder brother thinks, this week egg price predicts to will appear go up - firm - falling trend. From strength rebounds to look after tomb-sweeping day, market stock slants small, rebound to egg price the attitude is cautious, the fall after a rise after this adumbrative filling goods ends has the tendency that drops greatly hard.
Nevertheless, beijing field is long-term on the high side, up to now, beijing all valence already prep above Shanghai, comparative basically with Guangdong, a hangs the city after predicting to also will be become thunder of situation of north and south.
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