Be in a few days ago group in communicate with a few friends that raise a pig when the pig value of a few months changes recently, a person that raise a pig sends an information to say: I find the market to be short of a pig eventually, but the reason that pig price does not rise. The author thinks all the time 3, the main reason that live pig price did not rise April has a few:
1) the abidance of African swine fever happens, make send those who give birth to an area to breed a panicky sex undersell, although amount of livestock on hand measures one drop-off, but massacre look forward to receives pig difficulty and not quite, live pig price rises hard; 2) spending is low fan, annual 3, April is the pork on the market consumption is off-season, although give the pig of column again little, nobody eats pig price to also rise not to come; 3) Tu Qiqing empty inventory, suffer the effect of national policy, massacre look forward to needs refrigeratory of clear inside short time empty oneself, make the pork on the market is supplied rise inside short time, this also was April the main reason that price of pig of the middle ten days of a month drops continuously.But this person that raise a pig pointed out me however all the time a problem of oversight, that imports fleshy change namely, according to the tradition of in former years, every time when live pig rises in price, massacre look forward to can increase entrance amount, next graphs are massacre look forward to to import an amount to the pork 2018 from 2010, not difficult discovery is in pig price is top 2016 it is pork import volume also is the largest, sequel as live pig price drop, import volume also is in drop.
Article specification is published about media before this, live pig consumption was as high as home 2018 56 million tons, the consumption of a month is as high as many tons 400, and the pork import volume 2018 is less than 1.2 million tons only, say entrance pork quantity is little so, the influence to domestic pig price but oversight. Do you agree with this view?
After all, rise in price in live pig, the Tu Qizeng when live pig demands exceeds supply adds entrance pork to measure us to raise pig person also is understandable, but be in live pig price muddleheaded, pig value is only 6 Qian Zun are right, when the part breeds a meeting be out of pocket, and the most still friend that raise a pig is the risk that carrying African swine fever forcedly when holding to, domestic pork imports a quantity not to fall to go up instead unexpectedly, the proportion that imports pork quantity to take consumption of domestic live pig besides right now is not high, can not produce too big effect to pig price such word I won't listen. Import the flesh after all or held porky one part consumption, be supplied to porky or gave a power, to pig price rose to more or less still produce block.
Although do not have exact data to show because import the flesh to pass into,African swine fever of home is of our country, but the introduction that occupies indication Africa swine fever without number as much has nothing to do with entrance flesh, the breed aquatics that hopes as sincerity of author of the person that raise a pig massacre look forward to can be home door consider, after all the pig of 60% above of domestic is to coming loose in raising a hand, if produced African swine fever or pig price is low from beginning to end fan, medicinal powder raise door can lose a family fortune, they are recumbent still these a few sows feed one everybody person, recumbent it buys a room to marry son's wife to the son, recumbent it gives an old person live out one's life in retirement, if did not have owed feed money how to do, how does owed loan do?
