Does memory price explode another times is falling the manufacturer stungs by conscience? ! Nonexist

[PConline by-talk] as department of Ying Weida GTX16 mobile edition shows card and Yinteerdi farsighted mark presses 9 acting cruel processor game this release, we can discover, almost all game the 16G memory that no matter second line of a gleam of was had,can go up to just can see in admiral machine only before originally. Is this each after all of big firm stung by conscience or result from after classics of memory all previous rises in price depreciate?

Conscience, come out to sell, want conscience by what, so, factual truth has only, that is memory double depreciated, and this also is on the history N second prices steeps fall. What? Had not you heard of? OK, we talk about memory to rise those depreciating fun.

Memory industry should call formally actually " memory " industry, include in-house memory: Read randomly write memory RAM, and exterior memory is like hard disk, u dish wait. Memory is semiconductor industry one of 3 big pillar, to common the mobile phone beside, flat, lead plane, jotter waits all electronic products a moment to be like " steely at modern industry " , the electronic industry that is be worthy of the name " raw material " .

DRAM domain circulates through cycle of a few years, player Home 40~50 from 80 time, drop off went to 5 before crisis of 8 annuity be in harmony, it is respectively: SamSung (Han) , SK Hailishi (Han) , Jimengda (heart) , magnesium light (beautiful) amount to surely with Er (day) , 5 companies controlled global DRAM supply basically. The memory of major widely known and hard disk brand, do not have the productivity of DRAM almost, it is through narrating 5 up the company purchases raw material.

Say normally, DRAM industry passes periodic loop of a few years to shuffle, early should cease all activities, it is severally how. But SamSung is not willing, samSung makes full use of the strong periodic characteristic of memory industry, rely on governmental blood transfusion, drop in the price, when overproduction, other company reduces investment, go against situation insanity enlarge to produce, fall further through mass production reduce product price, force the competitor exits the market to go bankrupt directly even thereby, of age person for " oppose periodic law " . And SamSung also is to pass " oppose periodic law " from do not have have, from 0 begin, one pace, do do greatly strong. After SamSung becomes trade center, still can not be willing, dissatisfaction is sufficient.

2007, microsoft was rolled out extremely the Windows Vista OS that has memory, DRAM manufacturer judges memory demand to be able to rise, expand in succession then produce can, await memory to sell greatly. But Microsoft to turn over, the sales volume of Vista is far anticipate not as good as, right now memory is produced can overmuch, beg for be more than, the price falls madly, happen to be nodded in the joint of financial crisis again, price of grain of DRAM 667Mhz 1Gb glides from the 2.29 dollars when apogee to lowest 0.58 dollars, glided nearly 75% , drop not only cost of broken firm cash 1 dollar (not plan depreciation cost) , approached back end to seal even measure price 0.6~0.7 dollar, let crisis of carry of DRAM factory occurrence battalion, industry of DRAM of before the whole world 3 season is total deficit already evened more 8 billion dollar, it may be said is one disaster after another. And SamSung right now movement, too sensational: SamSung electron will 2007 of gross profit 118% throw product line of the dilate in DRAM, the deficit of industry of intended farther aggravate. This one behavior is to give undoubtedly live formidable competitor, added last straw. This also is why the price of DRAM falls continuously all the way at that time, drop even price of broken cost of material.

One turns over bite to let some people be not carried. . . . . .2009 year, german Jimengda is not maintained, can announce to go bankrupt only, the number one player of European mainland also disappears from now on. From now on, DRAM remains the SamSung that comes from Korea, Hailishi only, american magnesium light, japanese Er is amounted to surely. Can can community of economy of beautiful day Han let SamSung continue knife of dragon of so practical massacre " oppose periodic law " continue to slaughter other brand?

2012, the whole world is famous the A Puer of · of husband of CEO history the base of a fruit of science and technology of memory manufacturer magnesium light pauses, in American Idaho an aviation of the Boyixi of the city is exhibited on driving audience of a propeller-driven aircraft performs a program, but take off before long hind, the plane loses control, and crash-land fails, the plane bears down on the ground. . . Very unfortunate, because Steve dies this accidentally, die at the age of is 51 years old.

A Puer of · of husband of history the base of a fruit of CEO of science and technology of former magnesium light pauses

Although after this incident, the share price of magnesium light science and technology looks like influence of it doesn't matter. But far amount to president slope to I hope originally surely in the Er of Japanese memory tycoon of ocean the other shore Xiong Que does not sit. Before this, after crisis of 8 annuity be in harmony, memory industry is superfluous, product value drops ceaselessly, add the extruding of Korea manufacturer, er is amounted to surely manage ceaseless aggravation. Although Japanese government for many times deliverance, still cannot rescue, arrived by 2011, er is amounted to surely what had accumulated day volume is indebted with deficit. Creditor comes to chase after debt, and the bank of Japanese policy investment of governmental setting appears personally harmonious, put forward to give add is borrowed and note endowment only requirement, it is namely by Feburary 2012 before, introduce a large memory manufacturer to become strategic partner, without giving thought to,can let go only otherwise. And right now this qualification is received dish already remnant is less than a few, cast deadly enemy Korean besides, remnant magnesium light.

But the accident is too abrupt, without the slope of Plan-B this favour rebukes can be about to cry without the tear. On Feburary 27, 2012, er is amounted to surely announce to go bankrupt, DRAM industry leaves SamSung, Hailishi and magnesium light from this 3. Artful is, after Er amounts to broken factory surely " an awful mess " , 2013 by magnesium light new the CEO that assume office includes Er to be amounted to surely with the price of 20 much U.S. dollors bale completely take away. After 5 years, the market prise of magnesium light from 2013 do not go up to 46 billion U.S. dollor to 10 billion U.S. dollor, right now, 2 billion U.S. dollor is the fluctuant amplitude that it is market prise a day nevertheless.

No matter you are believed,believing this is the carry number that Er amounts to surely, weird in those who taking a silk is accidental. . . . . .

2017, afterwards bit money digs mine to last overheat and smartphone are many after shipment, DRAM industry demands exceeds supply. And amount to surely in Er go bankrupt after closing down these year, DRAM industry puts in 3 when come from beautiful Han big players only: SamSung, Hailishi and magnesium light. The industry lacks driving competition. Fall in the state that demand exceeds supply especially, each just reach a kind of delicate balance: Not increase production, do not make price war, drive up profit margin, answer blood wildly, throw research and development, the technology lays in competition. Then, produce nature of be in short supply of raw material of can insufficient, DRAM to become memory reasonable the best reason that rise in price.

The circumstance that memory rises in price lasted one year, after cold winter was enveloping a year many, have the sign of melt of ice and snow eventually. As Hailishi will grind successfully in November the DDR5 memory grain that issues standard of contented JEDEC standard, DRAM manufacturer people seem to be able to restore productivity again, continue to expand produce can. Abidance of two years increases produce can, DRAM is produced can superfluous, beg for be more than, the memory of DDR4 also regains reasonable level eventually, but memory can depreciate further, before rising in price again " Hui Guangpu is illuminated " . Who is not clear also.

Those who be aimed at fervent prices and domestic sth used to one's own advantage enter, li Shimei started SamSung sea solely new round enlarge is produced, in the cold current that soares in this round of memory, 3 big tycoons were laid in already enough much technology and capital, come " welcome " of new player enter. What can foreknow is, when homebred memory the project can amount to yield day, namely the day that memory reduces broken cash cost once more is cost of material even, home products is become self-improvement, extremely evil capitalism!

Memory industry these year come litre cheapen basically have two reasons: It is Han Qisan the star is used turn over periodic law to force production of toughen one's scalp-brace oneself of manufacturer of the other inside the industry, sale price with price war the memory under cost price, let other in order to achieve the manufacturer is not worth because of capital and be forced to close down. 2 it is the later period that memory industry tycoons rise in price in memory enlarges production blindly, make memory supply exceeds demand, bring about memory finally to depreciate. No matter be based on which kinds of reason, of memory go up a fluctuant dispute often have not smoothly again periodic, also should march when the mainland especially when memory industry, will be the price war of rain of blood of wind of a raw meat or fish.

The destiny of an industry, want to rely on the development of oneself of course, also want to consider historical course, as the country Zun is same, the industrial kind and enmity of Shikoku of Sino-US day Han, had not reversed that rule of the end.