According to round-the-world times on May 15 message, report of the intermediary outside stage intermediary quote says, u.S. Army marine corps the 2nd battalion is in the 23rd group beautiful on the west time returns California place where troops are stationed 10 days. The abroad task of before this 6 months, u.S. Army 200 officers and soldiers " undertook spanning imprinting too the training exercise of the area, include guest of law of He Fei of Japan, Korea, stage " .
This period of time has a hearsay to say, stage navy is in Philippine the maritime space around and beauty, bay, day, imprint, law, flower, phenanthrene have extremely confidential practice, "Although maneuver inside information is current sealed, but as U.S. Army be forced to tell sth bit by bit type discloses military situation, factual be vividly portrayed " . To this, 14 days of responses weigh Chen Zhongji of spokesman of stage defense department, afore-mentioned content " it is false information, without this thing " . Stage authorities is denied rapidly, because this information is too sensitive,be. If this message gets confirming, heavy pound bomb will be abandoned in the Taiwan Strait.
(one)
After American president Telangpu appears on the stage, the United States is pretended to Chinese rip off, show long and sharp teeth thoroughly. No matter be in China Nanhai is done so called " free voyage " , instigate trade friction, dozen control Chinese communication company, still go up in Taiwan Strait problem movement again and again, it is to be in do a business in the light of China. Be without exception, china sees action tear open action, the United States also at the end of one's wits. Besides " Taiwan Strait card " , the United States can have been used without more cards in one's hand to China.
Hit from the United States " Taiwan Strait card " in light of the operation, it is to be in apply to China step by step pressure. It is to publish proposed law of stage of much ministry experience first, increase at the same time send a warship to pass through the density of the Taiwan Strait; Then oneself admit to rise from 2005, include empty three armed services of American land sea and Marine Corps inside active service U.S. Army already was garrisoned " the United States is in stage association " .
The United States is in challenge " a China " in principle goes further and further, among them a very main reason, it is the United States is hit " Taiwan Strait card " the compromise that did not change China, air force of sea of exciting instead China performs normalization of example incline to in the Taiwan Strait.
Secret of U.S. Army marine corps comes a message that performs example is presumable be like a holiday, eliminating is the smoke ball that Washington releases of purpose. Its purpose no more than is the following still 3:
It is farther apply to China pressure. Current, sino-US negotiation still does not have a result, telangpu is pressed to raising limit of big stick-means of intimidation to apply again, the result encounters China strong strike back. This moment gives off a message, no more than is applied with this pair of China namely pressure, with sovereignty question press China is on economic problem compromise to the United States.
2 it is to explore further Chinese bottom line. The United States publishs proposed law of stage of a few experience, china objects besides diplomatic phonetic, seem to still do not have what to make step instead; To the stage army carry out, china still is done not have how; Send a warship to pass through the Taiwan Strait, chinese warship does not have ultra act besides dog; Claim publicly land sea empty three armed services already was garrisoned 2005 stage island, say previously " the day that the U.S. Army enters a stage is Wu Tongzhi when " seemed to also fall empty. So what is Chinese bottom line? Allege this beautiful marine corps is in a private practice, explore further namely.
3 it is farther interference China is municipal. It is a stage next year " general election " , before choosing battle to had been carried nowadays now, enter turn white-hot, although choose situation complex, but the Democratic Progressive Party on bright face has fallen leeward. Democratic Progressive Party can be hit greatly only " all alone card " , condense green battalion constituency with this. But object strongly falling in the mainland, stage dissension element also is to wind a day feebly. The United States is forced to jump out, with " beautiful marine corps is in a private practice " the false appearance that constructs molecule of division of American puissant support, cheer bosomy interest for Democratic Progressive Party, control panel political situation.
So, this news that the United States announces is true likely very, after all the United States interferes the thing with his municipal country to never had worked less covertly.
(2)
Cai English licks the United States in all sorts of circumstance genuflect, from time to time " acknowledgment United States supports the stage " . Say normally, stage authorities should capture this closely " profit is good " message, and try ballyhoo, but why should stage authorities give deny? Be afraid or " fierce all " the sword that amounts to Makelisi is hanged on the head, for fear that sparks the mainland " fierce all " option.
Above all stage island is Chinese inherent territory, it is China impartible cut one share, this hard fact has inheritance of arteries and veins of culture of law, history, blood to prop up not only, still get the acknowledgement of country of the great majority on the world, "The one part that stage island is Chinese territory " already was international society between " consensus " and " common sense " . The disrupt act of Democratic Progressive Party, cannot get international society approbate.
Be ability of chinese mainland military affairs next promote awe considerably disrupt element. In recent years, the rise of mainland economy drove the frequent promotion of military strength, the increased territorial integrity of mainland defend country and dominion to unite into battle in succession capacity of new-style warship, opportunity for combat. Before the force with powerful mainland, stage dissension element besides mouth hard, act or not dare exceed mainland delimits the red line below.
It is stage people again the fear to the war. Fact of inscription of ox of scholar of book of force beautiful platform ever had made an investigation, do not hit in the mainland, below the case that beautiful congress helps, the supportive rate of disrupt element is about 78% ; Won't hit in the mainland, below the case that the United States won't help, supportive rate is about 59% ; Hit in the mainland, below the circumstance that beautiful congress will come to to save, supportive rate is remained 39% the left and right sides; If the mainland is hit, the United States is not saved, the stage supports alone lead a remnant 15% . If stage authorities admitted this information, so be sure condition of aggravate Taiwan Strait, this low to supportive rate Democratic Progressive Party can not be what favour.
(3)
Review the United States to have a hand in the history of Taiwan Strait problem, the United States is only regard the stage as the keep within limits, castle that surrounds a China, when needing, take, when needing with respect to kick at the same time. Pair of stage policy of the United States are perforative from beginning to end a masterstroke, it is the completely national interest service for the United States, won't consider the benefit of stage people. The history also proves, the United States is completely slippery.
On August 6, 1968, naval Nanhai fleet organizes 4 bodyguard a light boat and 11 torpedo boat, in the Fujian Province east hill island maritime space is naval to the Kuomintang of come to attack us " sword door " date, " Zhang Jiang " date forms into columns launch attack. Bombard and sink of mainland navy with one action Kuomintang naval is US-made and large hunt Qian Jian " sword door " Qian Jian of US-made and date, small-sized hunt " Zhang Jiang " date, created " cockboat hits large ship " miracle. This moment, before the U.S. Army warship that is located in channel is done not have, go out assist prevent assist, it is after the battle ends the help is salvaged merely fall into water stage army.
Taiwan Strait condition develops today, the action that the United States can make basically made, but namely not dare personally barebacked end, because be in,that is " fierce all " all cards are met before this piece of ace invalidation, and it extends a vicious person manipulating sb or sth from behind the scenes to the Taiwan Strait to also be met by " fierce all " behead is broken.
China already concerned a problem to just indicate solemn and just position to the United States for many times: Object beautiful stage strengthening martial connection, the United States just is on the problem that maintains imperscriptible relationship with the stage have make specific commitment. Fang Jian objects beautiful stage beginning the official dealings of any forms and martial connection definitely in, the United States just sends martial personnel to go to a stage with any excuse, disobey " a China " principle and Sino-US regulation of 3 combination bulletin, cause negative effect to Sino-US relation necessarily.
