Somebody has done a such tests: It is the car place with two identical exterior in same environment, among them the engine lid of a car and car window are opened, another closes as usual. That car that open is destroyed ulterly changedly inside 3 days, and another car is in good condition however nondestructive. At that time, experimental personnel dug a hole on the window of this car that leave, mere husband of one Nature's engineering, all windows on the car are broken, in-house thing is all also and missing. This is famous " broken window is academic " . Since be defeated badly, making it again a few brokener also is; of just as well to ideal thing, everybody can safeguard it in spite of oneself, hate to part with destroy.
So does connection arrive on the spec? You can discover a such truths likewise: One does not have the novice of deficit, very older than loss rate person makes money easily the adventurer that; holds gain position, the person that compares deficit sometimes makes money more easily. Same, the person that those loss went broke adjacently also is the; that begins from deficit as loss rate increase, the optional sex that its operate, irresponsible sex is developed incisively and vividly. The broken window theory in this and life has something to do.
Make the person with much loss very late rate, need to leave the market temporarily actually. Because of you once loss is very severe, often can arise anyway already deficit is so much, again deficit hundreds of thousands of also be to receive acceptance opinion, then, unprincipled frequent buying and selling makes a person broken produce really. The psychology that defeating what window theory announces actually is a kind of mankind is inertial, we are necessary to cite it in its congenial operation to come, accomplish the gain position that holds oneself as far as possible, the capital that does not break you easily " window " .
The basis defeats window theory, two respects must note in market speculation:
It is do not want as far as possible " break a window " : The seize a chance to seek private gain that does not yield oneself as far as possible appears bigger loss, in necessary when should use stop calm way. Stop what calm way points to is do not let oneself absolutely already the storehouse of gain the storehouse that becomes bedding bag, sell stoutly namely when the price slips to keep this price piece. This kind of method and stop caustic or stop winning different point, depending on is with him adventurer protect this price to bid to sell stoutly, it is a kind of storehouse that can prevent adventurer place hold effectively by win turn deficient, avoid the congenial skill of bedding bag. Some adventurer can worry probably, if use,stop calm way sells a warehouse, does the price rise how to go up to do? This kind of concern is normal, but what do not lack forever in the market is congenial opportunity, and the easiest reductive is congenial capital, to every adventurer, the opportunity is infinite, capital is finite, let limited fund take a risk the opportunity with infinite try to gain, it is unwise.
2 it is a window after breaking, want to repair in time: The basis cuts window theory principle, adventurer is appearing when bigger error or deficit, must want decisive intermit operation, find out the reason of error and adjust good intention condition. Must regain oneself congenial position completely " in good condition window " the state when, ability can enter city spec afresh.
Below small make up everybody introduction to fall dish a formulary of 6 old a pithy formula
1, 3 lines take open quotation all the way low
Namely 9:40, 9:50 bell, 3 shift dot compared primitive start at 10 o'clock (9:30) low, it is typical nominal feature, show nominal force is too powerful, received shade line odds to be more than that day 80% .
Oriental rain rainbow 9: 40, 9: 50 with 10: The share price of 00 under price of its open quotation (the place that be like a graph shows) , share price received shade line that day
2, 3 lines take open quotation all the way tall
3 lines go open quotation to be in high namely 9:40, 9:50, at 10 o'clock with primitive start (9:30) photograph comparing, 3 mobile indexes all are nodded than open quotation tall, show bull force is powerful, the possibility of the prices up-and-up that day is larger, line of average day K can receive positive line, probability serious offence 90% , but if the quantity clinchs a deal to put a day before 10:30,the orgnaization pulls tower above money intentionally disrelish, if appear,this circumstance should be held with decreasing give priority to, investor wants to notice all the more.
Open quotation price was Qi Lianshan on Feburary 28, 2011 18.2 yuan, be in 3 subsequently 10 minutes in, share price all compares open quotation price tall, if plan institute is shown. This shows bull force is powerful that day, prices up-and-up, day K line can receive positive line more
3, open quotation 3 lines 2 go up
Namely 9:40, 9:50, 3 moved dot and primitive starting point at 10 o'clock (9:30) photograph comparing, among them this shift point is lower than primitive start 9:40, and point of additionally two shift is higher than primitive dot, express empty now square line by with all possible means checkmate, succeed and rebounding will be progressively concussion up trend
4, open quotation 3 lines go up 2 times
Namely 9:40, 9:50, 3 moved at 10 o'clock dot and primitive start (at 9 o'clock 30 bits) photograph comparing, the floating point 9:40 is higher than primitive start, and mixed 9:50 two shift were nodded at 10 o'clock lower than primitive start, this shows prices buying and selling just was compared that day balanced, but just compare for nothing various and strong, grail is the trend that concussion pulls tower above money
5, open quotation 3 lines 2 go up
Namely 9:40, 9:50, 3 moved at 10 o'clock dot and primitive start (at 9 o'clock 30 bits) photograph comparing, 9:40, floating point is lower than primitive start, and another shift point is higher than primitive start, state empty square force is more than with all possible means, and strike back actively also with all possible means, occurrence bottom is propped up relatively strong, positive line rebounds by the explore that general closing quotation props up to have
6, open quotation 3 lines 2 on one
Namely 9:40, 9:50, 3 moved at 10 o'clock dot and primitive start (at 9 o'clock 30 bits) photograph comparing, 9:40, two shift point is higher than primitive start 9:50, and the floating point 10 o'clock is lower than primitive start, this expresses that day prices buyers and sellers all stronger, prices is given priority to with concussion, hold advantage be intent on personal advancement to go stage by stage with all possible means
Dish 4 of colloquial character main index:
1, buy 2 buy 3 buy 4 buy 5 or sell 2 sell 3 sell 4 sell five words the phenomenon.
2, clinch a deal quantity to the limit of one's capacity (like times quantity) or shrink quantity phenomenon.
3, share price goes situation go against board piece a phenomenon.
4, share price has grow hatching or issue hatching, share price is pulled rise to appear to go up longly hatching is in the majority.
Finally, knowing an error is the start that walks out of a mistake. . .
The mistake knows one: The stock trades not to need theory study. All the time since, resemble trading to be thought so without any group, it is OK to do not need any knowledges go in capital investment greatly. What common saying says is good " flat of high-rise of lofty or bottomless rises " , without sound basic training, blind action causes deficit again and again necessarily
The mistake knows 2: Trade the method does not require a test, direct OK actual combat; is not willing think actively and own and decision-making, always expecting to use off-the-peg regulation to coach trade. To most negotiant, especially new the negotiant that enters stock market, their trade the method is look from the book or beside listen over there the friend come. Look in them, these methods emerge victorious in every battle. But, any one kind trades the method builds the base that understands the market in profundity only, just can freely apply in the market. And to blind follower, do not have such savvy and analytic capacity apparently. Because of their blind actual combat, the result causes failure necessarily. Want to avoid this kind of state, trade the method must be mixed through evaluating test and verify.
The mistake knows 3: Trade the opportunity has everyday, cannot let off any opportunity. In the market, although the number is being blinked everyday, but the chance is remote either those who envisage is so much. Do not have a person to be able to have enough and reasonable reason all the time, do business everyday, also have adequate knowledge without the person, can operate brillantly every time. The opportunity that needs to hold to oneself can understand and be caught only so is very terrific.
The mistake knows 4: Want thousands of yuan to be able to acquire a stock trade only competence. Learn any competence to need to pay tuition, but unluckily the most difficult trade when somebody is beginning to trade, profession is him preparation tuition rarely however. They are taking very few capital to open an account, if He Li rolls benefit to send big money,have one's mind stuffed with is envisioning these fund. Very fast compensate does not have result capital, lost the sth used to one's own advantage that continues to trade.
The mistake knows 5: Stock market is get rich upstart place. Have the negotiant of this kind of idea, always feel OK to easy to do ground makes the money that form a pile, think the time that uses at one's leisure does some of research, can make sure short time makes a lot of money. Underestimate the market to trade so difficulty, overmeasure market gain, make their trade extremely obtrusive with hopeful, weigh storehouse, full storehouse on one hand, cannot accept failure quite on one hand.
The mistake knows 6: The car has a way surely to the front of hill. To the novice, because lack the understanding of study, do not know how to make plan and trade according to the plan, their trading often is others of believe what one hears is recommended or him blind feeling undertakes. So they are in before entering the arena, often trade to plan or come on the stage without what make clear politic, depend on oneself erroneously however face a play namely instinctive. Undeniable intuition is mixed in the importance in trading necessity, but intuition is to build on strong base and rich experience, to great majority person, do not have this kind of intuition apparently ability and executive ability.
The mistake knows 7: Oneself cannot be wrong, be market fault certainly. Or a few gain profit accidentally make negotiant very easy in the success that is intoxicated in oneself, think to trade honest too easy. The market is not move with the person's volition, market average has the trap that cheats line and false breakthrough, but believe oneself too because of negotiant, fall into not carefully when them so, not be to think method comes out instantly, jump over defect instead deeper.
The mistake knows 8: Take the head of prices or root, it is profiteering best way. Although will look from chart, bottom is apart from this paragraph to coping is the largest space that profit changes. Can be the true member that trade however neither one is support is bought sell in lowest in highest will move toward a success. Because lowest is mixed highest be discovery of ability of after the event, will tell at that time, catch lowest and highest be a kind the most apparent go against situation behavior, according to inertial principle, the market often is the edge has the probability that former direction runs to be more than haul to move far, and OK without a kind of any methods accurate arise without what tell people by accident the utmost, relying on this kind of guessed means to enter the market so is necessarily more sufferring failure.
The mistake knows 9: Authority can trust absolutely. Because ignorance and fear lose definite idea hind, place a hope at so called ace, the operation that allows oneself undertakes completely according to their directive, perhaps formulate the strategy according to it. This kind is in trade the opinion that other listens to on behavior, the way that is controlled by other viewpoint place is very foolish. Although ace and expert have professional knowledge and special training, but they also can err like us. Accordingly we have independent operation, independence to think only, ability knows brushstroke trades when effective, when to disable.
The mistake knows 10: The market has 100 percent victorious secret Ji certainly. To find this secret Ji, negotiant or hold fan in a certain index, perhaps spend costly attend a lecture or buy a material. However the market is nonexistent of this secret Ji, if have really so an open book or the person will tell us when to be bought when to sell can gain big money, there still is deficient money on this market so? We often hear a such words: Trading is artistic, trading also is science. Going up to the understanding of the market, the understanding of everybody and judgement are different, but nevertheless, they are behaved possibly however very wonderfully and perfect in order to get profit, this is trading artistic quality. But to every negotiant, your discrepancy city standard must be clarity and digitlization, so square but better eliminate to the mood is disturbed and undertake in the future correction is mixed perfect, this is trading scientific sex. This market is so nonexistent win victory 100 percent secret Ji, trade only of art and science unified.
The mistake knows 11: Psychological element is the mainest reason that causes loss. To a lot of negotiant, trading unsuccessful surface looks is a mood it seems that in do mischief, also namely psychological problem. But from go up at all for, producing such situation is you before executing this to trade, and the standard entering town with specific neither one, for instance index or all line or configuration obtain a what kind of condition you must the termless; that enter town is additional if enter town, your what is exiting a standard? These two signal must clear and undoubted, can be fuzzy concept anything but, perhaps see one pace make a move, and your judgement method must be evaluated through; and check. Accordingly for the negotiant to great majority, washed-up reason, basically have 3 most, one is intellectual lack, one is thinking those who go up is inflexible, one is psychological control. And to the novice, just the urgentest need settles before two factors. After having certain knowledge and experience only, psychological element just can rise to topnotch.
The mistake knows 12: Long term it is take advantage of an opportunity trades, it is to go against inside short line and day situation trade. Mention take advantage of an opportunity to trade every time, more negotiant with long-term trend (the trend that a few months reachs several years) connection is together, seem to only long-term trend can speak of take advantage of an opportunity, and go against namely inside short line and day situation (grab rebound) . Such understanding is wrong, in the stock market, prices of several years is very infrequent, encounter hard also in our lifetime a few times, so our trade to a few times have this only? If so, how do those people that make a living in order to trade drill again competence, how to obtain money again? The fact is not apparently, take advantage of an opportunity also is inside short line and day trade, just its trend is to point to a few days or trend of a day just, but the time because of it is brief, it is so in day wire you are to cannot identify a trend, should make short line and day so inside, be about 60 minutes, 30 minutes or the trend searchs on 15 minutes of graphs, be in 3 minutes next or search to be mixed into city on 1 minute of graphs dot giving city. Best short line and strategy of the operation inside day are, its trend should agree with metaphase trend, such your gain profit probability will bigger, although wrong, also won't the loss is very big.
The mistake knows 12: Forecast even if trade guess. As a result of trading uncertainty, bring about trading probability thinking, but after all the probability of which kinds of circumstance happening is bigger, of need is forecast and not be to guess absolutely. What is to guess? What is to forecast? Alleged guess, those who point to is subjective analysis, guess, imagination, the likelihood has a few objective facts to serve as a basis, likely also and main is to be based on an imagination, a few moment, can be for subjective a certain purpose even and fictional; and stick those who be bordering on reality to forecast, it has 3 requirements:
1, the control of certain data. Attention: Here, we do not need, master all data far from possibly also perhaps. Apparent, data is more, the more comprehensive, conclusion is likely the more accurate.
2, the control of certain rule. Attention: Here, we just grasped the pattern of some a few respects of the thing, is not all. Same, we are more comprehensive to regular assurance, more thorough, the meeting with same also conclusion is more accurate. Remain same argument, as a result of us forever unintelligible the comprehensive, overall pattern to the thing, so, we can be forecasted only.
3, objective, impartial analysis. Attention: Here, we should avoid the effect of subjective tendency and individual mood as far as possible. We are stuck the more be bordering on a fact, the more place oneself at the world outside, reach more easily clear conclusion. Visible, guess and be being forecasted is how different, and we are in trade in the process, letting subjective tendency replace objective data and rule is how important.
Anyhow, all these thinking mistakes are us the child of growing process, if want better cast off them to be opposite of a person manacle, undertaking the ego of deep administrative levels be aware of is best practice, knowing an error is to walk along those who give a mistake to begin a drop.
