21 centuries economy reports origin Piao
Beijing reports duckweed of reporter Piao Qi Sanlian, collect Strontium, Meng Haiting
Edit Piao Zhang Weixian, Chen Saiying
Net of people court announcement shows, up to on July 23, the whole nation shares suspend payment of 271 estate company to liquidate this year. As continuously estate adjusting control of high pressure lasts, the cruelty of the market is being shown gradually.
The good time that real-estate industry flourishs generally is in far go. On July 13, china International economy communicates central vice-president Huang Jifan to express in Shanghai, henceforth ten years, chinese estate develops industry measure to be able to reduce 2/3 above.
"In the past30Year estate develops mode to continue very hard again. Before prospective estate market is belonged to only apparently30Strong. " the near future, on the party inside small-sized course of study, old man of some famous real-estate industry sighs with emotion so.
Face the building city deep winter that lasts since 2019, look forward to of a few rooms begins to be not carried.
People courtAnnouncementThe net shows, up to on July 23, the whole nation shares suspend payment of 271 estate company to liquidate this year. Besides a large number of not famous medium or small besides room look forward to, row whole nation 500 strong the 215th appear on the market 100 million groups also are in silver of room look forward to awesomely row.
Section of section of people court website pursues
This year in June, ST is silver-colored 100 million (000981.SZ) releaseAnnouncementAnnounce, silver is 100 million groups, silver-colored 100 million accuse already saved court of intermediate people of Ning Bo city to apply for to go bankrupt to Zhejiang reforming. 100 million groups say silver, since 2019, silver is 100 million groups, silver-colored 100 million accuse face liquidity crisis continuously, although do his utmost to make relevant plan, dissolve debt venture through a variety of ways, but still cannot cast off its liquidity crisis thoroughly.
In fact, silver-colored 100 million groups are this year only an epitome of real-estate industry. Statistical bureau data shows, 1, June, estate development company reachs the designated position capital eight thousand four hundred and ninety-six billion six hundred million yuan, grow 7.2% compared to the same period, increasing ratio 1, May fall after a rise 0.4 percent.
Supply deficiency of capital of room look forward to, the adjusting control policy with respect of financing of room look forward to is concerned. Magnify Wei is mentioned, came 2019, had had the policy that tightens up in the light of estate fund catenary more than 15 times, it is the person that buy a house or media worry about estate fund catenary no matter. In interviewing, Yang Gongxu of assistant dean of academy of estate of Shanghai easy house ever expressed before this to the reporter, "Current, development is borrowed, the financing channel such as external debt of fiducial, internal debt and illicit collect tightens up estate consistently, this is very infrequent on the history. This is very infrequent on the history..
Review the past, come a few years, estate market is unpredicatable, but of room look forward to live or die with policy, market this never are changed closely related the environment.
Those " in disappearing in wind " room look forward to
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"Data itself no point. The estate company measure of 100 thousand level of comparative whole nation, of hundreds of enterprises go bankrupt, it is all industries inside scale lowest. Additional, look compared to the same period from annulus comparing, this data also did not raise apparently. But this one phenomenon byAttention, represented the market to be opposite of catenary of estate company capital anxious. " magnify Wei says.
Undeniable, as continuously estate adjusting control of high pressure lasts, the cruelty of the market is being shown gradually. CRIC data shows, 2019 first half of the year, dimensions become divided lasts between look forward to of room of TOP100 each echelon formation, industry competition aggravate. Among them, amount of rights and interests of TOP3 room look forward to is spent centrally amount to 10.5% , promote 0.8 percent compared to the same period, bibcock room look forward to continues to maintain development of dovish high quality. TOP4-10, TOP11-20, TOP21-30Amount of rights and interests of look forward to of room of each echelon formation spends the promotion that there all also was certain range last year relatively centrally, market share is steady in have litre, advantage of competition of dimensions room look forward to is deepened further. And clinch a deal as most city fall after a rise, sale difficulty is increased, 50 strong the advantage of competition of room look forward to later already no longer apparent, amount of rights and interests is spent centrally appear particular fall after a rise.
Graph / report of 21 centuries economy
1993, asGovernmentGive orders to stop bank loan, macroscopical adjusting control begins the first round of constrictive sex. After this, estate adjusting control enters metempsychosis cycle. Every other a few years, estate policy can come on stage thick and fast, the adjusting control that is aimed at financing area especially is tightened up gradually. A few rounds of adjusting control come down, the room look forward to of a few overspend lever is answered hard abrupt and the policy that come is tightened up, capital catenary begins to rupture, must exit estate market. According to seeking advice from advisory chief inspector with plan Zhang Hongwei observes, 2006, 2008, 2012, 2014-2015 year with the last few years, because the country is right,policy of area of financing of room look forward to is tightened up, real-estate industry receives different rate close down wet.
2014 3-5 month, could there be in Zhejiang Nanjing of wave, Jiangsu, assist without Hefei of stannum, Anhui, Hubei the whole nation such as wood of god of in relief, Shaanxi is much the ground, look forward to of more than 10 the Xiaofang in the home are gone bankrupt because of capital catenary ruptures and was immersed in by exposure the crisis. Only in March 2014 portion, be ruptured by the catenary of capital of room look forward to of media exposure case has 10 more than cases. This year, once real estate of brilliance of look forward to of 100 strong rooms comes out many buildings dish cannot breed strain of catenary of building, capital, the company is faced with close down risk. As bank credit tighten up, capital is flowed into decrease, final, brilliance real estate recombines at applying for to go bankrupt at the beginning of 2018. Also be to be in this year, green city China will be subordinate30% share sell be in harmony achieves China.
Besides adjusting control wave motion, look forward to of a few rooms also falls on the road of transition.
Wisdom warehouse center studies easy house academy chief inspector severe leap forward thinks, at this point annulus estate goes bankrupt tide, actually similar incident is not isolated incident, will look at present, contain in landed enterprise " buy course of study " , " landed " the enterprise that waits for a name often is on business investment more can dedicated landed investment, depend on development of these two years, often have better performance. And the part is contained " share " model of written characters or enterprise itself name do not look to go out do real estate, general it is the pattern that making diversity. Similar company is investment actually model enterprise, namely the one part that landed investment is its diversity investment only, this moment often can have of all kinds pressure. The debt problem of similar company, just be to say palpability is in two years this " blind do sth over and over again " , bring about the opportunity that missed investment, make then the pressure of company capital respect increases.
New round shuffle big screen open
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New round of shuffled big screen is undoubted already open.
On July 22 evening, the president before be in " scandal " vortical medium new city accusesAnnouncementSay, company with the partner with respect to open market of company near future new the cooperative way that gets a project undertakes negotiating, talk things over, prepare equity of company of project of part of lay off carry out. Up to now, the company already was negotiating, negotiate the item that sell to be 40 about (contain an affiliation project) . Accuse besides new city, since this year, the group of peaceful standing grain in be in capital catenary crisis has transferred equity of about 19 projects early or late.
Shuffle also behave very apparently in sheet of a list of names posted up.
Release according to Chinese index academy " 100 strong companies study 2019 China estate report " show, look forward to of 100 strong rooms sold area of amount, sale to amount to eight thousand seven hundred and twenty-three billion nine hundred and ten million yuan respectively 2018, six hundred and sixty-two million four hundred and forty-five thousand square metre, grow compared to the same period 33.2% with 32.0% . Notable is, comparative the list of look forward to of 100 strong rooms before 2016, only 18 rooms look forward to still is in the 100 strong list this year, include 10 thousand divisions, constant garden of laurel of big, green jade, and the room look forward to such as group of group of Beijing day grand, the star in Shanghai already disappeared in sheet of a list of names posted up.
"Estate business failure is in nearly two years not rarely seen already, but the insolvency of 100 million applies for silver to still let industry practitioner people sob unceasingly. Yes, belong to room look forward to ' great leap forward ' the times rang down the curtain truly. Real-estate industry clinchs a deal every year only from house of the commodity 20 years ago the 1.7 billion square metre that 100 million square metre rises to 2018, turn to clinched a deal first half of the year 2019 the area drops compared to the same period already 1.8% , having provinging industry whole dimensions sees a top it seems that, attribute a trade ' sea cleans out sand ' the times has come, be fallen into disuse to have a large number of in Xiaofang look forward to, also have appear on the market room look forward to, head room look forward to. " 58 how to reside academy of guest house property chief analyst Zhang Bo says.
Zhang Bo thinks, 100 million incident can have silver a lot of kinds of explanations, having a main reason is diversity does not succeed, but go producing in estate below the big setting that can change, a large number of medium or small room look forward to is dedicated estate is probably " wait dead " , but diversity is probably " court death " , but must want to have an outlet anyhow, future lives tenaciously pertinacity large house look forward to, it is to find surely appropriate the rhythm of oneself development, againAddDot " lucky gas " , perhaps having distinctive resource advantage " small and beautiful " enterprise.
Future, zhang Hongwei thinks, little room look forward to is washed out to be inevitable trend in, large house look forward to will the world of occupational estate market. Current, the industry spends estate to still be in centrally ceaseless promotion, no matter be ability of major of competition ability, product, financing ability or brand force, medium or small room look forward to is mixed hard compare of large house look forward to. The part is medium or small transition of room look forward to enters fractionize field, wait like Eden of provide for the aged, theme, have surviving space possibly still, but develop a space as before not quite.
"Medium or small room look forward to cannot avoid to be washed out by the times, this is a tendency of the market. What be main management field with traditional residence development is medium or small in room look forward to, 80%-90% will be washed out. " Zhang Hongwei says.
"Need not be opposite actually of room look forward to below 10 years of excessive pessimism, ' great leap forward ' advantage is the industry realizes rapid development, but ' sea cleans out sand ' the industry after baptism will be more wonderful, prospective estate develops an industry will be the first element with dimensions no longer, go comparing the sale that who spells no longer the area is the largest, the product that who sees however is better, who can more the demand trend of follow closely user changes, from ' dimensions is changed ' to ' character is changed ' transfer or be estate develops an industry to fall 10 years of the biggest trends. " Zhang Bo says.
