"Listen respectfully 3 farming, comprehend China "
By May, the spring ploughing of Heilongjiang, Jilin and Inner Mongolia and other places ends. The reporter investigates discovery, be in afore-mentioned areas, of food grains other than wheat and rice of one part replant and other crop cultivate door people, happen to coincide this year plant again answered corn, the amplitude of partial area corn was achieved 20% , these corn will be harvested in the autumn, the quantity so much that adds newly at the appointed time, can you bring adverse effect to the price of corn? What is the reason of farmer replant corn?
In the shop of sale of a seed that visits 4 smooth town in Jilin, the boss is in business accounting the accrual this year, the sales volume of corn seed is exceeded anticipate, the sales volume of the seed such as earthnut, millet appeared to drop. Similar case, appear in store of much home seed.
Seminal distributors: The area that visits corn now must achieve 98% above, 60% come last year 70% it is corn, everybody is planted again came back.
In investigation the reporter discovers, the enthusiasm that a lot of farmer grow corn this year is very tall. Replant corn, perhaps expand grow an area, farmer people the reason that upsurges enthusiasticly has only: Right the prices of corn is having taller expectation this year.
Farmer: How must also sell 7 wool money the left and right sides, this is according to what the year's harvest figured last year, the corn of a lot of other peoples sold 8 wool one jin last year 5.
From the point of current condition, arrive from spring ploughing autumn harvest, pesticide of chemical fertilizer of seed of ground of one part of the day need 4000 yuan probably, cost of the machine when autumn harvest 1000 yuan, crop of corn of ground of every part of the day is 2200 jins about, according to ground of every part of the day 8000 yuan of cost that rent are calculated, cost of every jins of corn does not exceed 0.6 yuan, if autumn can sell 0.7 yuan every jins, one jin earns 0.1 yuan at least, if at the appointed time corn price sells higher, so with respect to meeting earn more, plus corn grow opposite province thing, farmer has leisure to work, anticipate in higher prices so below, replant corn became the option of a lot of farmers.
The problem is, the results that leaves corn now still has not little time, at the appointed time is the meeting with the true prices of corn so tall? The corn so much that adds replant, newly, won't affect supply demand relations, affect prices finally? Eminent achieves information analyst Liu Dong:
Liu Dong: The price goes situation be affected by a lot of elements, want to see quiet market, also want to combine multinomial data. After new food appears on the market, the factor that affects the price is more, one is to should look now of corn growing an area after all is much little still, the 2nd this year autumnal crop is tall after all low still, the 3rd see demand namely.
Statistical data shows, from 2017 arrived May 2018 April, the price of every tons of corn rose finally 150 yuan, highest when rose 200 yuan, brought more corn to add an area replant, newly from this, nevertheless this year during spring ploughing, northeast part area encountered drought, corn emergence rate is reduced, need reseed more very much, area wheat reaps China north to still did not end, addition corn grows an area beforehand appraise is not much, because this Liu Dong thinks,the total output of corn won't increase this year too much. Nevertheless, sex of structure of agricultural supply side is reformed, corn goes inventory or next working key.
Liu Dong: Corn went 2018 the strength of inventory is more than in former years, suffer face store the influence of the element such as the auction, 4, the value of corn is total May present the trend that drop, predict provisions of short-term and municipal plan puts in rhythm to manage the current situation, market supply and demand also will spread out around Chen Liang in period of time, accordingly, the price of corn is facing constant pressure this year.
The characteristic with agricultural the biggest production is periodic long, influencing factor is much, of a few provisionality, paroxysmal element meets those who affect whole prices go even situation, because of visit affection beforehand appraise has certain difficult sex. Eminent achieves information analyst Liu Dong to think, in variable more circumstance falls, the farmer cultivates large family especially, want to take the referenced action of big data seriously, big data can bring more data reference, can prevent to appear bigger error.
Liu Dong: We are very much now the APP that information orgnaization can have data application, farmer can buy data information through platform, of course these data expenditure do not poor, below this kind of circumstance, the combination such as proposal cooperation buys key data information, will reduce booth thin cost.
Editor reporter: Li Xin
