On May 29, hungry announce the first batch of unmanned aircraft of China of permissive open up deserve to send course immediately, send eat to throw commercial operation formally without man-machine. During unmanned aircraft tries operation, the user begins from next sheet, outside needing on average 20 minutes to be able to be received only, sell. Of first unmanned aircraft line enable, the mark is worn " prospective content flows " it is important that strategic be born is stridden one pace, match course of study of see sb off to accelerate from labor concentrated model to technology intensive evolution; The crucial breach that will become wisdom to change content flow without man-machine.
Photograph of actor inferior position contends, do not have man-machine good luck and bottleneck to coexist
Unmanned aircraft sheds the market to having distance weak point, cost in express content low, efficiency is advanced advantage.
1. linear distance is the shortest
Unmanned aircraft is in route of the flight in sky linear, the distance is the shortest, disregard landform almost, match sent carriage course limitation without traditional express. In light of the case that in Germany in DHL small town carries, photograph of aerial traffic limitation is more traditional means, stronger freedom is spent. With China postal An Ji is saved in Zhejiang the county is pilot for exemple, cong Hanggai presses down 7 canals village to send a need 40 minutes hill means with the car, need 15 minutes only after air route of enlightened and unmanned aircraft. Accordingly, the dominant position that ignores landform without man-machine is in remote region more apparent.
2. operation cost is inferior
According to considering to show, the unmanned aircraft deliver goods of the company serves Yamaxun, every cost that can let express packet wrap falls to only 1 dollar is controlled. Compare to it, yamaxun uses the express inside a hour when traditional pattern carries out in the city such as new York to serve, the charge of every express is as high as 7.99 dollars. Academy of look up industry releases before " 2018-2023 year demand of market of unmanned machine industry forecasts China to plan to analyse a report with investment strategy " point out, the China's postal application that installing auspicious county without man-machine spreads way than traditional content, unmanned aircraft deserves to send time to shorten 60% , cost is reduced 60% .
3. efficiency is tall, rate is rapid
Current and unmanned aircraft sheds speed to be in in content popularity owner horary a few kilometers differ to about a hundred kilometer, it is with DHL exemple, much ala coming back does not have man-machine PARCELCOPTER the 3rd generation had achieved 70km/h. And, the use efficiency that extended a space without man-machine (arrive by plane stereo) , did not block car venture up. Accordingly, will promote substantially without the plane deserve to send efficiency.
4. applies to small lot, high frequency second carry
According to Yamaxun statistic, 85% right-and-left express all light at 5 pounds (make an appointment with 2.27Kg) , mean have many can deserve to send through having a plane to finish. Show according to data of national general post office, 2017 annual express the quantity will achieve 36 billion, academy of look up industry forecasts year of average per capita before the quantity achieves 26. Accordingly, small lot, high frequency second it is the crucial feature that express content sheds, photograph comparing is other deserve to send kind, unmanned aircraft is having advantaged efficiency and cost advantage.
5. special apply to remote region and close urgent document distribute
Unmanned aircraft ignores the dominant position of landform, can touch adequately out-of-the-way and a mountainous area deserve to send demand, china is postal in Zhejiang area of the village that install auspicious opened the first unmanned aircraft to deserve to send course, pilot and remote region deserves to send a service. DHL used the client that goes up to live in island without man-machine to undertake medicines and chemical reagents deserve to send, and be similar to Yamaxun 30 minutes when Prime Air rolls out to send a service, also be the rate that produced unmanned engine adequately, deserve to send a service for what the client provides higher effectiveness for a given period of time.
Although do not have the advantage of man-machine to attract numerous investor " brandish gold " , but what shed respect existence in express content without man-machine is short board not allow to ignore. Current, does unmanned aircraft content sort development main short board depend on: ? Jia discipline crouchs feed kill disconcerted of box of fine Lu bad red wrings carring capacity of? going straight towards Wei finite; Useful load is inferior; Suffer weather effect easily; The country is superintended wait for a problem relatively strictly.
Current, world each country basically is aimed at air man to have firm demand in the light of unmanned aircraft, draw no-fly zone region (flight range) , will assure safety. For example does Japanese government set: ? Alone?0m of Si of meat and fish dishes, be far from the airport, be restricted tall 150m, fly inside flight, apparent distance by day, 10 weekday must shift to an earlier date at least before flying to " land infrastructure, carry and travel department " refer Japanese to apply for. Current policy code basically should control unmanned aircraft to undertake formulary to somebody, future realizes own flight without man-machine, sort catenary development with whole thing when shirt-sleeve and complete automation, corresponding legal laws and regulations still has not appear.
Current, superintend intent gives association of be open to navigation or air traffic more superintendency limits of authority, but still hope to unified platform realizes unmanned aircraft to be able to accuse to be able to be in charge of. Meanwhile, of commercial license plate extend to shed a business to content more careful also, the civil aviation bureau thinks out-of-the-way and a mountainous area application will mature within 2 years, and to urban application, the expert thinks to still very long way wants. Arrange abundant AT200 large freight to be told without man-machine in the light of the near future especially, if its throw commercial operation, the civil aviation bureau still is met according to " law of civil aviation of People's Republic of China " and " comfortable boat of People's Republic of China regulation " ask to apply for to its and win model certificate of approval (licence of TC) , production (card of comfortable boat of PC) , stand-alone (AC) .
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No matter be of configuration of natural resources of capital investment, company or market,participate in degree, industry of civil and unmanned machine has gotten lost abstinent development from blind dilate, the initial stage that does not have foreword from fanaticism moves toward the new level that rational health develops stage by stage, but develop prospect still bright.
1, national policy environment is optimized
Of print and distribute of the State Council about the country strategical in the 935 programs of burgeoning estate development and informatization, be aimed at the development of unmanned machine industry, all have clear directiveness plans and give aid to specificly policy, drive confluence of artificial intelligence technology actively to apply at unmanned aircraft, the business that drives civil and unmanned machine energetically is used change a course. National hair changes appoint the policy that develops about advancing general aviation comes on stage often, develop property of be open to navigation or air traffic actively pilot set an example, farther clear and general aviation develops route chart, establish " the union that put a valve with ' put ' give priority to " management of be open to navigation or air traffic reforms train of thought, develop base of test-fly of unmanned aircraft research and development in Hua Dong area at the beginning of 2017 construction is pilot, exploration does not have test-fly of man-machine research and development to manage, guide unmanned aircraft to develop in order, avoid flight conflict.
2, the industry supplies chain more perfect
The carbon fiber data that needs without man-machine place, special type is battery of plastic, lithium, magnetic the crucial fittings such as material and material, in all ready of form a complete set of industry of and other places of Shenzhen, Chengdu, our country has unmanned aircraft to expand wants entire industry chain, what can come true to supply chain to the product of unmanned aircraft system is all and self-sufficient. Have the aid of of manufacturer of domestic unmanned aircraft at perfect electron yuan parts of an apparatus supplies catenary and huge supplier system prop up, be produced with inferior cost and sell a product, compare market of race to control of advantage overseas market by right of powerful sexual price.
3, flight culture is increased gain ground
Unmanned aircraft the small numerous consumable from lover of original minority aeromodelling, to current and fervent groom the fascia of the market, arrive to be entered formally again advocate partial college is relevant and professional, aviation kind the school established not to have man-machine research organization, organism began of all kinds boat to pat, surpass an activity without geometric ratio of athletics of man-machine design, unmanned aircraft, the trade organization such as association of level of system of alliance of unmanned machine industry, unmanned aircraft holds water in succession, each district is arisen the upsurge that builds research and development of small town of unmanned aircraft culture, unmanned aircraft to create base, application already became social prevailing custom without man-machine.
Current, although industry of our country unmanned machine is more fervent, but applied range is narrow, commerce is developed and private use market appears unmanned aircraft user " have more than is needed, with do not rise, with bad " phenomenon. Our country is facing obstacle of a lot of development without man-machine industry, advocate if the technology develops market of immature still, estate,have not be over be apt to, superintendency policy is diseased still wait for an element.
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Hopeful of dimensions of market of estate of civil and unmanned machine amounts to 75 billion yuan, boat pats recreation to be main application domain
Policy, technology and applied demand are the 3 large driving force of unmanned machine industry, reduce cost, pay attention to practical the main feature that will be development of estate of unmanned henceforth machine. As national convention industrial transition upgrades to reform be born with supply side structure, below the big setting that encourages poineering innovation, the unmanned machine industry that has vendibility extremely will continue to maintain high speed to grow. Look up is forecasted before, our country civilian is sold with unmanned aircraft product and serve overall market dimensions hopeful achieved 11.09 billion yuan 2018, arrive to will achieve 46.5 billion yuan 2020, will achieve 75 billion yuan 2025; Among them, boat is patted reaching recreation still is the biggest application field, market dimensions hopeful amounts to 30 billion yuan.
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Chart 4:2Does dimensions of market of domain of fractionize of civil and unmanned aircraft look into 25 years of China (unit: ? Honest?
Academy of industry of the look up before above data origin is referenced releases " 2018-2023 year foreground of development of unmanned machine industry forecasts Chinese industry to plan to analyse a report with investment strategy " .
