The near future, many countries announce to prohibit in succession produce exit, those who cause consumer to rise in price to produce is anxious, and investor to agriculture board piece attention.
On March 24, vietnam government issues a statement, new rice will be signed to export a contract no longer before March 28, all sorts of rice products prohibit be being exported with any forms, the government should detect domestic rice supplies the demand during whether can answering epidemic situation of virus of new-style coronal shape to travel.
Local time on March 28, egypt commerce and Gu Mei of · of the article inside industrial minister decide, the export that all sorts of legume products halt inside 3 months did not come since March 28 oneself. This also is afterwards commissariat basically exports a nation after Si Tan of Vietnam, Kazakstan, another country announces to prohibit commissariat was exported. Besides, one of wheaten exit countries with the biggest whole world Kazakstan Si Tan prohibits exporting wheaten, candy, potato and carrot, saierweiya had halted the export of oil of its sunflower seed and other part produce.
Can grain price soare? Department of Commerce: Do not have necessary concern completely
To this, department of Commerce consumes Wang Bin of stimulative department vice director 2 days to say, 2019 Chinese wheat, corn, rice surplus of inventory of 3 big staple food grain many tons 280 million, can realize autarky completely, do not import also won't cause shortage of domestic food supply. "Consumer was not necessary completely to fear provisionment shortage and price rise considerably problem, need not center batch to buy in commissariat of the corner in the home. Need not center batch to buy in commissariat of the corner in the home..
Wang Bin expresses, our country commissariat produces bumper harvest of in successive years, inventory abundant, reserve is enough, the price is stabilized for a long time, the international market is very small to the influence of our country provisionment. 2019 total output of our country grain 664 million tons, increase 0.9 ％ than 2018, achieve the history top level, came true " 16 Lian Feng " . According to the Ministry of Agriculture pertinent information is analysed, grain production condition is overall 2020 to good, the way corp is growing of Miao Qing of summer grain crops is good at all the year round, bumper harvest in sight; Area of establish of early seed rice expands, increase production has a base, autumn grain buys the price to shift to an earlier date affirmatory, ceaseless rise. During epidemic situation, the country publishs the policy measure that gives aid to agriculture is produced continuously, this year annual grain bumper harvest is big probability incident.
Organization of 3 big international publishs associated statement
March 31, organization of 3 big international publishs World Health Organization, Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, World Trade Organization to state jointly, while appeal each country is taking epidemic situation of measure keep within limits, should utmost ground lessens the epidemic situation impact to provisionment catenary, prevent this communal and wholesome crisis to cause food crisis, bring about provisionment to interrupt or grain price is exorbitant.
Associated statement expresses, up to now, epidemic situation did not make impact to food safety, but the place that is short of grain can appear likely the risk that supplies archives, and this one risk may make a policymaker adopt commerce to restrict measure, bring about world grain market to appear thereby severe disorder, cause the price to violent wind rises and fluctuate then aggravate.
Statement says, must ensure grain market runs normally, people need tries hard to fall epidemic situation to the destruction of provisionment catenary hand in hand to lowest.
Can China suffer food crisis
Review the case of imports and exports of our country main grain, at present the self-sufficient rate of domestic commissariat is controlled in 90 ％ , 2019 grain bumper harvest, and before early overseas each country takes action, china had laid in a certain quantity of paddy rice and wheat. Chinese country commissariat and bureau of reserve of goods and materials release a message to say, oily stockpile of grain of Chinese whole nation is in historical perch, reserve is enough, supply abundant.
Data origin: Custom and in business industry academy
Staple food grain: Supply enough
Total output of our country grain is in 5 years continuously 650 million tons of above, among them cereal is occupied than 92 ％ above. Although our country commissariat year import volume exceeds 100 million tons, but among them nearly 80 ％ are soja. The entrance such as paddy of staple food grain, wheaten, corn is measured only megaton is fastened, occupy home to consume the 1-2 ％ left and right sides of gross. Stock of staple food grain of current our country is enough, stockpile of the paddy end 2019, wheaten, corn consumes score to not be: 86.2 ％ , 91.1 ％ and 39.9 ％ . Our country staple food grain already came true basically completely self-sufficient, and level sex is superfluous.
Oil of grain of national reserve safeguard is safe. Current our country has the commissariat reserve of more than 150 million, the grain ration inventory such as wheaten, paddy is in the history top level. At the same time our country is in big in the oily meet an urgent need of finished product of grain that the city built contented market to supply 10 days to come 15 days is laid in.
Soja: Entrance origin has safeguard
Our country soja year demand exceeds 100 million tons, year import demand makes an appointment with 90 million tons. Our country soja external depend on sb or sth for existence is spent tall, but abroad advocate produce a country to restrict soja actively to export possibility low. 1) soja is not staple food grain. 2) soja exit country basically is the United States, Brazil, its soja always exceeds 50 ％ to be used at exit in crop, if suspend soja export trade,have major effect to economy. 3) increasing produce to import is Sino-US one of crucial content of agreement of trade of classics of the first phase, and soja is among them main breed.
From 4 big staple food grain external depend on sb or sth for existence is spent in light of, depend on besides soja rate is higher, the others suffers abroad effect 3 kinds scarcely, and the staple food that soja is not a Chinese, more it is to use as oil expression and animal feed, do not have at all so necessary for commissariat panic. But from global grain crop supply situation looks, domestic turf had an insatiable desire for noctuid and African a plague of locusts 2020 ferment or become the main factor that helps the price that promote food rise, overlay epidemic situation cuts off the commerce of industrial catenary, the food safety inside international limits or experience are pounded certainly. (integrated and daily money signs up for)
