Recently, get new hat the influence that pneumonic whole world spreads, country of many food outlet announces to prohibit temporarily food outlet, for a short while, international grain price appears rise, appear about whether be being met " food crisis " discussion cause a temporary clamor.
To this, on April 4, couplet of joint defence of the State Council accuses a mechanism to hold a press conference, during the introduction does good epidemic situation, commissariat furnishs and ensure working condition. During, development of agricultural country ministry plans to manage director Wei Baigang expresses, stock of our country food is at present enough, amount of cereal year entrance is not large, overall look, abundant of crop of our country grain, stock is enough.
Whether to eat quite to our country commissariat and the issue that whether needs corner, wei Baigang shared quadruplet data: The first group of data are grain crop. These year, bumper harvest of in successive years of our country commissariat, stabilize 5 years continuously in 1.3 trillion jins of above, grain crop was one thousand three hundred and twenty-seven billion seven hundred million jins last year, achieve the history new tall. Wheaten and old equilibrium of supply and demand is superabundant, paddy is begged for be more than, grain ration ensures be absolute safety.
The 2nd group is commissariat of average per capita has an amount. Since 2010, commissariat of our country average per capita has a quantity to last average level of prep above world, achieved 472 kilograms 2019, far outclass average per capita line of 400 kilograms standard of international food safety.
The 3rd group of data are food stocks. Stock of our country food is at present enough, inventory consumption puts forward than outclass Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations 17% to the safe level of 18% , especially two big grain ration, namely wheat and paddy, stock general interest is equivalent to the consumption of countrywide person one year.
quadruplet data is volume of import of our country frumentaceous. Amount of entrance of year of our country cereal is not large, imported 14.68 million tons completely last year, also be less than 30 billion jins, take total consumption of our country grain only 2% the left and right sides. And the rice of the wheat that what we import basically is weak muscle of a few strong anything resembling a tendon or vein, Thailand, main purpose is to satisfy demand surplus and deficiency or the adjustment of structural sex, satisfy the consumptive requirement of people individuation, diversification better.
It is under this setting, wei Baigang is summed up, overall look, abundant of crop of our country grain, stock is enough. National commissariat and Qin Yuyun of director of department of reserve of commissariat of bureau of reserve of goods and materials also are mentioned, since epidemic situation happening, commissariat and branch of reserve of goods and materials strengthen organization of market food source to attemper, the organization auctions source of policy sex food in order, ensured market demand effectively. So far, our country had not employed central reserve grain, besides specific city county, majority area also had not employed a place to lay in grain, what the public does not have corner rice completely is necessary.
The closest period of time, new coronal is pneumonic of epidemic situation spread bring about partial food to exit country announces to prohibit or limit commissariat export. On March 22, kazakstan Si Tan suspends including the partial produce such as oil of seed of buckwheat, wheat flour, sunflower to export.
On March 24, vietnam prohibits exporting all sorts of rice products with any forms. Notable is, vietnam is to be next to the 3rd big rice of world of India and Thailand to export a nation, all the year round rice exit is controlled 7 million tons, 15% what take world trade amount roughly. In addition, saierweiya, Kampuchea and Russia perhaps also been about to have suspended corresponding produce exporting.
And still have the multiple factor such as a plague of locusts with what epidemic situation interweaves together. On March 30, u.N. Food and Agricultural Organization is warned in a report, global provisionment catenary may be mixed in April will be disturbed in May. "Unless adopt measure quickly to protect group of the weakest force, maintain global provisionment to catenary is stabilized and reduce new coronal the pneumonic craze influence to whole commissariat system, otherwise, extremely urgent of crisis of a food. " on March 26, food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations is presiding Mo Tuoleiluo Kulun also is accepting economist mark on the west " defend a newspaper " the warning is given out to say when exclusive special interview, the trade protectionism step that each country government takes may cause global food shortage.
Price of grain of near future international appears really rise, wei Baigang also admits this, but he shows should sober rational regard this problem, "Understand according to us, supply of current world food is enough, 2019-2020 year, quantity of world food supply is 3.47 billion tons, quantity of total demand is 2.67 billion tons, do not include soya bean, period end inventory says to have 800 million tons, the consumption of inventory is compared nearly 30% . The consumption of inventory is compared nearly 30% ..
Wei Baigang says, supply gross to see problem of nonexistent also shortage from the whole world, the near future, international grain price rises the influence that more is the panicky sex consumption that epidemic situation causes, and the influence that international grain price rises to eat grain value to domestic grain very finite.
Understand according to us, since March, retail price of our country rice every kilograms 6 6, flour retail price every kilograms 3 9 wool 5, the price keeps stable, the market is supplied smooth. The most important is, stock of our country wheaten paddy is enough, once grain market appears,fluctuate, the country has sufficient adjusting control method to undertake stablizing, so completely capable to answer external influence.
National commissariat and storage of safety of bureau of reserve of goods and materials and director of department of science and technology Introduction Wang Hong say, at present countrywide grain oily lash-up processes a business in 5388 enterprises already go back to work 4750, go back to work is led 86.3% , the process capability of wheat of enterprise of go back to work and paddy is everyday 960 thousand tons, amount to 1.92 billion jins.
According to us everyday a jin of grain counts one person, only these commissariat process a business everyday 1.4 billion person of enough whole nation has process capability more than one day, so enough raw material reserve, measurable finished product of grain is laid in, plus powerful lash-up company process capability, can ensure during answering epidemic situation provisionment satisfies requirement.
Bai Ming of assistant director of institute of international market of academy of Department of Commerce also is mentioned, look on whole, global commissariat cannot arrive the degree of the crisis, may have certain panic, it is certain to bring about the price to appear of degree rise, before some the case that the heavy goods such as year of oil already gave to rise in price now, but how didn't commissariat price rise at that time, borrow this opportunity possibly now to rise so, and of the United States super quantify loose policy response to be on heavy goods, also can conduce to supportive commissariat kind heavy goods rises in price.
Further explanation weighs Bai Ming, to global market, the more that epidemic situation brings is a kind of panic, this kind of panic is not to be afraid of without commissariat, after be afraid of the open circuit that seal a city however, the supermarket did not leave, this kind of circumstance falls even if a kind of panicky sex is bought, the intense rate decision criteria below market nervousness pitch and normal circumstance is different, put in risk excessive price.
And go up in the problem of a plague of locusts, annual the situation of global the situation of a disaster is similar, but a plague of locusts also did not affect crop big country, namely Russia, Wukelan, United States, Brazil, the more of the influence is Africa or middle east, they also are not crop large family originally.
And epidemic situation also follows a service to agricultural influence job is different, latter is population concentrated model industry, very big to the person's dependence, but for instance American agriculture, it is not smallholder economy, more is big agriculture, have more than is needed how many person, concern with segregation not quite.
As to future, agricultural country ministry cultivates industry government to manage director Pan Wenbo introduces, restore to produce double cropping of rice to encourage a farmer, agricultural country ministry jointly with hair change appoint, the concerned branch such as the Ministry of finance studies seriously, published a series of giving aid to policy.
In national policy support and each district job are driven below, early rice regains momentum this year more apparent, the impetus that hopeful keep within limits glides 7 years continuously.
Agricultural country ministry earlies childhood, should enlarge a rotate this year, decrease fallow; Area of commissariat of two great variety wants paddy, wheat continue to stabilize in 800 million mus of above. (origin: Beijing business signs up for a reporter: Yang Yuehan)
