Hog market issue is more recently, on one hand pig price " drop drop endlessly " , every kilograms drop price 2 many, had dropped at present defeat every kilograms 34 yuan of integer close, drop to 33.94 yuan / kilogram. On April 6, pig city appears an improvement, wait for 12 provinces in Shandong, Shanghai namely while city drops, appeared on 4 province such as Hunan, Guangdong, Liaoning, Guizhou, have sure sign of look forward to it seems that.
It is hair of swine fever frequency however on the other hand, was March first produce Sichuan Lu city, Henan early or late the 6 blame acute communicable diseases such as 3 gorge, enter April, sichuan happy mountain produced in 5 days of time (on April 1) , south Gansu Province Gansu (on April 2) , Chongqing Yun Yang (on April 5) wait for African swine fever 3 cases.
From the netizen in leaving a message, appeared two respects sound, one is a few breed a friend to say, this pig is bad also to was raised. Still having a few voice is afraid, african swine fever has rebounding power, fear those who raise a pig is little, pork still must rise in price. Here, share my individual view with everybody:
Current live pig profit is higher still, raise a pig, if be from numerous raise oneself the sort of, one can earn 2000 - 2500 yuan or so, if be outside fatten of the pig that buy a young animal, also can earn 1000 - 1500 yuan. Say bad to raise just be in breed the meeting on the risk a few bigger, breed cost taller, plus African swine fever prevent accuse, once produce epidemic situation, the loss will be very disastrous.
Rise again about pork price this kind is afraid, it is more difficult that my individual feels fleshy price rises again:
Although,one is frequency of epidemic situation of African swine fever slightly many somes, but it is a few are nodded only, happen without large area, and pass 1 year of much abidance, raised pig door to also be accumulated a lot of prevent accuse experience, so again large area produces possibility not quite.
The 2nd is live pig is produced can restoring in the center, no matter be but numerous sow, still breed gross, presented annulus to compare growth situation, according to national plan, hopeful of amount of livestock on hand of the live pig before the end of the year restores 80% normal, below this kind of circumstance, it is difficult that pork price falls to go up easily.
The 3rd is the adjusting control of concerned branch, flesh of flesh of entrance pork, birds, flocks and herds, this year 1 - imported the flesh Feburary kind increase 69.6% , among them pork grows 160% . In the meantime, reserve pork puts in concentrated, accumulative total puts in 270 thousand tons, alleviated effectively the problem of pork supply deficiency.
From the point of these a few respects, the probability that pork rises in price is not big, total trend should be constant be issued to lower levels, pork of second half of the year returns to 20 yuan of less than or more possible implementation, our Heilongjiang peacefuls now arris pork of this free market of agricultural products 25 yuan a jin. My view is too optimistic perhaps, do not know how everybody looks?
