The near future, because partial country limits commissariat export, and Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations releases contain " food crisis " file, bring about a few young associate of domestic to appear store up grain behavior. Come out even Yuan Longping academician to stabilize common feelings of people: China won't appear food shortage! Should that store up grain after all? Can grain price resemble pork euqally mad go up?
The viewpoint on the net also is waver:
At the same time the netizen says: The friend that store up grain, did that year the salt of collect eat? With in those days collect salt behavior sneers at store up grain;
At the same time the netizen says: There is grain in the home, in the heart not confused, although do not have food shortage, if grain price resembles the pork last year going up euqally, who suffers ah?
Small today make up pass data, analyse for everybody: Want not to store up grain after all, grain price can rise greatly.
Suffer world epidemic situation and locust calamity effect, world grain crop can be affected certainly, this can is opposite necessarily of domestic grain price rise generation urges action certainly. But, this one impetus is spent finite, because of food supply of home and demand, not as synchronous as world market, and associated sex is lesser. The main grain ration of our country: Rice of wheaten, paddy, corn, import depend on sb or sth for existence to spend external inferior, its price basically suffers the effect of domestic supply and demand, this and pork are different.
Commissariat and pork have the distinction of nature of the following root:
Our country main grain ration: Rice of wheaten, paddy, corn, basic be autarky, import depend on sb or sth for existence to spend external do not exceed 10% . Want an import, basically be to satisfy people to change requirement to the difference of different type produce, improve people life quality. Although be not imported, our reserve provisions also takes one year quite.
And pork is different, the pork entrance depend on sb or sth for existence of our country is spent in 20% above, be in basically two years recently 40% above, because get African swine fever,affected last year, our country pork imports depend on sb or sth for existence to spend external climb quickly litre, bring about pork price house not to fall high.
So, need not fear commissariat price is mad like pork go up. In market supply demand relations the decision falls, combinative state lays in the adjusting control of grain, commissariat price may fluctuate, but won't go up greatly.
If from what national statistic bureau releases price of produce of the last ten-day of a month went situation data to look in March, domestic agriculture products, dregs of rice besides soja and beans rise in price bigger besides, price of other agriculture products is stabilized basically. This explains, main to the country grain ration: Rice of wheaten, corn, paddy, the price gets epidemic situation the impact is very little, even if after partial country restricts commissariat to export, domestic flour price still is stabilized be in 4 yuan / Kg less than, did not appear to be climbed considerably litre, because do not have reason to climb,rise: Domestic supply and demand concerns to was not restricted because of the exit of epidemic situation and other country evenly be affected.
Change an angle to look, food safety is the safe requirement with the basiccest country, if appear food shortage or grain price is mad go up, may be very serious if really ever since. Saw the history know: Pork price is high we need not eat, but commissariat price is exorbitant, can cause social problem.
Command pork price at that time, also be unable to do what one wants very much to do, the promotion that pork furnishs needs proper time. And commissariat, national commissariat reserve is belonged to before go reserve position, the summer grain crops on the horse is about now harvest, go inventory has pressure, what food shortage do you still worry about? If fear grain price rises really, go investing produce futures.
