1, American kill, doomsday breath comes
The crisis of a country comes from two reasons basically:
The first, occurrence issue of state of oneself economy mode, political situation, cause inside natural disposition crisis.
The 2nd, beautiful emperor eldest brother should answer blood, cause capital circumfluence to cut abb, crisis of the natural disposition outside causing.
Now, the United States guides United States of global capital circumfluence continuously, add breath shrink under watch and martial hegemony deterrence, capital in succession by recall.
Then, instantly of a few countries collapses, arrive from South America on the west inferior, from on the west inferior arrive again meridional, an another country front is faced break down. Doomsday breath is enveloped in these countries child on civilian face.
The first round: Brazil, attack street! ! !
January begins, exchange rate of Brazilian Lei Yaer steeps fall continuously, 5 months time devalues more than 25% , after May, after Brazilian stock market made form of a tremendous head, exponential to the limit of one's capacity steeps fall.
The 2nd round: Russia, attack street! ! !
On April 9, russia ruble exchange rate shows shoot, index of Russia RTS stock market steeped fall that day - 11.44% .
The 3rd round: Argentine, attack street! ! !
On April 26, the Argentine exchange rate that compare all alone begins to steep fall, the time exchange rate of half month devalues be as high as 11% , devalue to the dollar than all alone since the beginning of the year amount to 35% , argentine government is helpless be forced 3 times despair is added breath, will standard interest rate rises 40% ! But the effect thins and weak as before.
four-wheel: Turkey, attack street! ! !
On May 1, turkey lira devalues considerably continuously, the time exchange rate of a month devalues be as high as 15% , whole in May, turkey encounters a debt collect 3 kill, acedia Turkey president Aierduoan publishs televised speech even, the requirement is Turkish there still are dollar or euro to change Turkey lira below the pillow. Disable however, fund escapes in great quantities as before Turkey.
The 5th round: Italy, attack street! ! !
On May 30, open quotation of index of the MIB when Italy is rich drops 1.9% , drop subsequently expand to 3.3% , italian bank drop greatly 5.2% . And Italian national debt is synchronous also drop greatly!
Moody of world-famous grade orgnaization warns Italy, do not eliminate to fall Italian grade to rubbish class.
As to still what country is in attack on the road of the street, open news broadcast to look everyday finally ten minutes, kang Hui and Zhang Zimeng can tell us.
2, American banking battle shuffles greatly
Financial battle is homicide at aeriform in, the United States starts financial war every time, undertake the whole world shuffles greatly, finish in adding breath cycle to undertake.
Change a word to tell, more than 10 history experience tells us, every time the dollar is added breath, 10 years period violent wind raises national debt yield, the whole world has to have a few places to be finished, do not make their profit in one's hand in, beautiful emperor is won't be apt to stops of be willing to give up, and, beautiful emperor never also breaks handle.
I take everybody to review the history of this paragraph of main crisis:
(1) 1982 crisis of Latin America debt
(2) Japan died greatly 1989 dish
(3) 1998 Asian banking crisis
(4) 2008 the United States second borrow the crisis to cause global finance seismic sea wave
(5) crisis of exchange rate of Brazil, Argentine 2018, Turkey, Russia
Nowadays, the United States faces the liability of a huge sum of 20 trillion, want to begin to reap the world through financial battle again, save their homeland. Now, latin America and meridional toppled already quickly, and boreal Europe and Asia are in as before puissant resistance.
The essence that watchs Sino-US trade war instead is actually " I should reap you " and " father does not let you reap " the rich between big country weichis.
3, talk about Latin America and meridional problem
Latin America and meridional issue discuss on the net recently much also rise, for instance Italian problem, everybody end at politics queasy, again and again of Italian government form a cabinet fails, whole country is immersed in an anarchy, party of motion of civilian pure Dang Wuxing rises abruptly, hold to of one mind of people tall welfare to think Europe to wait a moment. Latin America problem ascribes to the industrial structure of Argentine Brazil is onefold, via living price wave motion and trade balance wait commissariat, petrolic a moment.
Actually this is presentative, not be a key, also come up without respecting essence.
Actually European Union problem is a problem that do not have solution, no matter how be done finally, cannot avoid the destiny of European Union disintegrate. The United States makes financial fight now, just gave a catalysis.
The problem of which days of European Union arrived critical point, the United States should resemble destroying only bully same, hit a noise to point to, european Union immediately fall to pieces.
The truth is very simple, global economic integration, the person that need a final demand, and this demand person the dilate that demand otherwise breaks, this demand person it is the United States. The United States carries a dollar to buy the goods of the whole world, dollar circumfluence United States buys American national debt, final often the closed circuit that project and capital project form debt, everybody knows this truth.
But after the European Union holds water, violated this economics principle however. It is with Germany be the first the European Union of eldest brother, cannot form closed circuit of a debt. As a result of the finance policy with rigid European Union and euro mode, germany not only not outspread demand, rely on the manufacturing industry with powerful Germany instead, siphon the capital of whole European Union, talent, technology, formed double favourable balance.
In other words, the eldest brother Germany of the European Union earns everybody's money completely, below numerous country of little younger brother connects a fart to be done not have, it is debt completely. Of the European Union hold water, under the instinct that goes after the saying with the oldest efficiency in capital, germany is met only stronger and stronger, the little younger brother below is met only more and more deformed!
Go up to if do not undertake bounds to buy bounds,shift the adjusting control that is restricted to make work greatly like north, countrywide resource can be gone to by siphon like these 3 cities, germany acts same role.
So, italian problem sees the problem that is mode of movement of economy of an European Union from deep administrative levels, it is European interior in other words often the result that project capital project allocates unbalance.
And the soft costal region that beautiful emperor captured this one European Union, borrow situation attack!
And does Europe end v/arc trade association is not helped?
Last Greek give an issue, final Europe Central Bank paid the price of 2 trillion euro, the Italy that is capacity of Greek and decuple system this gives an issue again, should take out 20 trillion euro to solve?
And many Latin America question is simple, a word uses an overview is: Deserve.
The natural resources of South America is extremely substantial, this continent is the gift of sacred gift mankind simply. But, because natural resources is too substantial,be, the people of this area is lying to be able to make money, then a lot of people sit basically eat wait dead.
From last century middle period, a lot of countries and area enter the big burst period of industry and science and technology ceaselessly, but Brazil and Argentina are done not have basically for years so see have the industry with pretty what. Mem and women besides jump tango plays football namely. The analyst of wall street cares the economic atmosphere of Latin America more than Latin America person.
Whole country had not produced science and technology to explode almost, not be pursuant country of science and technology even.
And the problem of Argentina and Brazil is similar, oneself problem is long already, external debt dimensions passes big, inflation care of can of foreground of tall, economy. Especially Brazilian country politics is extremely flabby also calm.
So once the dollar goes strong, argentina and Brazilian currency crisis erupt.
4, what inspiration to give China?
What enlightenment does have to China?
Look from whole actually, moving condition of Chinese macroscopical economy is good. Whole world of Chinese industry depth cannot find the 2nd country. And the dollar appreciates this, china suffers an effect also is opposite the weakest.
But the RMB devalues pressure and capital pour out of pressure to exist as before. Because dollar and yield of debt of 10 years of period beauty are climbed continuously,rise, sino-US benefit difference also is in pull gradually big, capital pours out of kinetic energy very strong.
Watch home instead again, in house price considerably below the setting that violent wind rises, chinese home demand lasts exhausted weak. Below the 3 supply side reform that go falling to fill, GDP adds fast hard to avoid to suffer an effect.
So, we also are not to do not have a problem, and now, sino-US trade war hits this portion on, beautiful emperor lets us cut the flesh, we are not cut stoutly, finally is whose compromise after all, this invite expert above goes analysing go saying. But, pants of bilateral now bottom is shown, how to make the issue that compares firm namely actually.
The economy that then we should maintain good above all is basic face, this is windbreak danger the most efficient way. Economy is basic the side is good, capital is willing to stay, capability of counteractive risk percussive is strong also.
The 2nd, foreign exchange reserve wants enough, such ability will answer the financial crisis of likelihood happening. Make exchange rate fight we also are not afraid of.
The 3rd, home does not fry a house foolishly, must go to capital guiding toward high-end manufacturing industry, is this thing troubled by resurgence not quite still to make a face? Where is still knowing his after all short board?
