Nowadays already is January, the footstep that is apart from the Spring Festival is closer, worker worker of a lot of peasants already also returned home town ahead of schedule, the family gathers is happy very. Annual nevertheless new year's day arrives the Spring Festival between this first phase, also be a farmer when beautiful money is most, red white happy event is right now more, gift gift also is very large expenses.
Do not cross test farmer figure fleshy value even, traditional cattle is at present rasorial, fleshy price already greeted the market to go up greatly, and living conditions is good nowadays, eat what the flesh also makes a day of 3 food is necessary article, because fleshy price is expensive,cannot not buy the pork. But the flesh of the near future tastes the price to rise in the round, also make a farmer pursy brows, a lot of people ask, doesn't price of the flesh year ago fall to come down? Eat the meat hard free?
2019 second half of the year, pork price was greeted rebound rise, the government also published many policy, encourage a farmer to raise a pig. End by November 2020, 90% what live pig amount of livestock on hand restores in former years, the government still predicts, before pork supply is compared during new year's day, Spring Festival one year of tower above 30% , will look so, inevitable meeting greets pork to depreciate.
Actually not like that, at present live pig price achieved 36.36 yuan / Kg, and 28.6 yuan are in price of the pig end October / Kg, this ability is 3 short month, pig price rose greatly 7.76 yuan / Kg, its go up for 27.1% . From the point of pork trade price, 39.1 yuan are by November / Kg, but arrived by December already went up 45.4 yuan / Kg, fleshy price rises greatly 16.1% .
The retail price of the market, be in early in October the last ten-day of a month, in November when the first ten days of a month, fleshy price falls to 20-22 yuan every jins, a lot of people state fleshy price is cheap, the enthusiasm that buys the pork also is increasing. Nevertheless nowadays, northward pork already went up to 27-29 yuan every jins, southern region is to be as high as 30-35 more yuan every jins.
Why to rise as to pork price, advocate because still be market underfill, the pork wastage of our country was fifty-four million and thirty-seven thousand four hundred tons 2018, quantity giving column is 700 million, 50% what hold the whole world, year quantity of pork of average per capita is 40 kilogram. Nevertheless 2019, the pork quantity of our country reduces forty-two million five hundred and fifty-three thousand one hundred tons, year quantity giving column is 540 million, pork output falls greatly 13 million tons, quantity giving column reduces 160 million.
Although be produced nowadays,can restore 90% , but do not restore on behalf of pork supply 90% , the market is short of a pig as before, pork price is accordingly higher. The state of mind of cherish carry out plus the person that raise a pig is greater, massacre look forward to can helpless rise in price.
The hotpot price it may be said this year is to go up gave new horizon, end in December the 4th week, hotpot trade price had gone up 83 yuan / Kg, at present price of the hotpot on the market rises greatly, many local retail price already broke through 50 yuan a jin, ripe hotpot is to go up to 70 yuan of above more, the photograph is more expensive than in former years 10-15 yuan every jins, and at present the sale of electric business is swelled greatly 108% .
At present hotpot price wants than in former years not only expensive, also compare even sales volume tower above of in former years a lot of, a lot of people do not care about hotpot to rise in price, as to why, it is pork price rises greatly on one hand, a lot of people feel to eat pork not be to one's profit, be inferior to buying nutrition taller, flesh is qualitative better hotpot; It is sheepherder on the other hand not much, a lot of people do not wish to raise a sheep, after all its breed aquatics cost is bigger, breed cycle to grow, the risk is very big also, once deficit, that hundreds of of hundreds of deficient, young player plays not to rise at all.
In the meantime, weather becomes cold, hotpot soup equipment is welcome, it can warm very well stomach, because this is deeply welcome, while sales volume increases, hotpot supplies insecurity, rise in price very inevitable. Because of special account, the entrance difficulty of hotpot is increased, can rely on homebred hotpot only, ovine price does not have a law to drop in temperature all the time.
1, egg
The egg price quotations 2020 is not too good, first half of the year basically is lose money in business, prices of second half of the year is greeted rise, say to should show a turn from loss to profit normally, but feed prices was greeted 10 go up repeatedly, breed cost to go up greatly, result egg farming as before deficit, also after November, egg price rises to 3.5 yuan of above, this ability cast off deficit condition.
Do not cross the near future, egg price was greeted rebound to go up greatly, a week went up 4 wool, at present advocate the egg price that produces a division already rose to 4 yuan of above, quote of Shandong, Henan is in 4.1-4.3 yuan every jins, jiangsu, Hubei, Anhui is in 4.2-4.4 yuan every jins, northeast quote also goes up to 3.8-4.0 yuan every jins.
Of egg price rise, the breed aquatics that also allows a peasant profit adds, the profit of a jin of egg is 6-7 wool to control. But to consumer, egg price rises, buy a burden to increase, a lot of people are not too happy.
2, wool chicken
The person that bred a fryer 2020 also loss is very big, according to official view, fryer breed aquatics door be afraid annual wants deficit, although government-owned number of squares is occupied, fryer of before 3 quarters is average deficit 3 wool / . Arrived nevertheless November the last ten-day of a month, gallinaceous price greeted wool to rebound pick up, arrived December, the price is more broken 4, this allows a peasant is glad very to this, can earn more after all on brushstroke money.
From the point of today's quote, quote of Jiangsu, Heibei, Shandong, Henan went up 2 wool, at present the price before canopy already rose 4.2 yuan every jins, northeast area went up 0.15 yuan, wool chicken price is 4.2-4.4 yuan. To consumer, wool chicken rises in price, of the fryer buy cost to increase, after this thinking that pork, hotpot rises in price, chicken can be held out, but will see despair now.
Be opposite actually for gallinaceous farming, see price of the chicken that be like wool break through 4 yuan, but the profit of the farmer is had pity on less, a 5 jins chicken just also earns on 2 yuan, and from 2020 annual looks, loss is bigger.
Hotpot rises, beef price nature is not exceptional also, although the price between beef and pork is fluctuant and sensitive the case is not big, but also can go up because of hotpot rises in price and following, just beef does not have hotpot so mad go up.
Begin from 2019, bovine price is rising ceaselessly all the time in, because raise bovine cost,do not pass too tall, do not have a few people to follow suit breed, go up greatly because of amount of livestock on hand of this beef cattle is measured and was not being greeted, and calf rises in price, also let raise Niu Ren to be able to choose to abandon filling column only.
Nevertheless the bovine price 2020 depends on former residence not to fall high, the person that because this is done,breeds became much rise, a lot of people are thrown in succession among them, and bovine price also 13 yuan from in the past 18 yuan when go up one jin to nowadays a jin, breed cattle price is to break through 20 yuan more, bred a Niu Lirun to achieve 6000 yuan or so, can say accrual is very tall.
A 800-900 jin cow, 18000 yuan also did not pass when the beginning of the year 2020, went to 23000 yuan to go up nowadays nevertheless directly, be pregnant the Ximen Daer ox of 5 months is to sell more gave 30 thousand yuan of above. At present fatten bull-calf, 300 jins sell gave 11000 yuan, 400 jins are 12000 yuan, so good because of prices, attracted a lot of people to join among them, and market trade price already also broke through 40 yuan to close greatly, retail price also sells gave 50 yuan of above.
Beef breach was million 2019 ton, but because have the beef of the entrance, let its supply enough, inlet pressure is great 2020, can rely on native land ox to supply the market only, below tight demand, beef rises in price to be able to understand very much.
The beginning of the year greeted to rise again 2021, cost eating the meat raises, price of the flesh before predicting Spring Festival drops very hard, nevertheless the government also increased adjusting control to measure, fleshy price can continue impossibly to go up greatly, how does everybody look?
