Market of hog of near future whole nation greeted " cold wave " , pig price begins to appear at the beginning of March oneself drop drop endlessly posture, at present already accumulative total drops 10 days. Show according to prices treasure data, countrywide live pig all price has fallen to 13.96 yuan / jin, heilongjiang area already became countrywide price flat, minimum price drops 12.8 yuan / jin. This round depreciate tide was hit indeed breed door one unawares, especially in pig of feed cost tall look forward to, young the circumstance of spurt in prices falls. The orgnaization inside course of study is forecasted, at present live pig price the accumulative total inside year drops achieve 25% , shrink of benefit of integral breed aquatics 45% . But what cannot deny is, pork is seasonal demand is low confusing is the most immediate cause that causes pig price to drop greatly. Return those who the following cannot ignore to send drop element:
1) of epidemic situation of African swine fever have a relapse once more: According to report of agricultural country department, only and other places of the Sichuan between 7 climate, Hubei, Yunnan already produced epidemic situation of African swine fever 4 cases in succession, and all with provincial violate compasses allocate and transport about. Up to on March 10, 2021, the whole nation already accumulative total makes public epidemic situation of report Africa swine fever 187 cases. Of epidemic situation of African swine fever look up once more to Spring Festival hind in small the filling column mood that raises pig door caused certain impact, with season breed aquatics end begins undersell live pig.
2) butcher enterprise buys reduce an amount: Consume at pork at present off-season, white the flesh takes money not free, butcher enterprise buys enthusiasm poorer, look forward to of bureau ground massacre stops the bovine pig that receives 300 jins or so and have effect of apparent demand a low price. And this a series of act were caused directly breed door panicky state of mind, begin to quicken undersell big pig, bring about pig price to last fall after a rise.
3) the abidance that lays in the flesh puts in: According to China store the net is newest release an information, on March 10, our country will start porky of central refrigerant reserve to put in the job again, the amount that puts in this is 10 thousand tons. This already was inside year put in the 9th times, accumulative total puts in a quantity to achieve 210 thousand tons. Although put in a quantity to shut home to consume demand to tell,be an iceberg merely one horn, but give however lying drop the pig city of the passageway one disaster after another.
4) live pig produces can restore continuously: Tang Renjian of minister of agricultural country ministry says, amount of livestock on hand of live pig of the end of the year restored normal the year's harvest 2020 92% above. Express in June 2021 portion around, live pig amount of livestock on hand can regain the level of normal 2017 the year's harvest. Also mean live pig of our country of second half of the year to supply the trend that will present to increase gradually, because this market is right,market of prospective pig price looks empty mood stronger.
Because this is in pork demand consumption is low fan, recrudesce, live pig produces blame plague feeling can anticipate increase the influence that waits for an element to fall, level of pig price whole carries state of weak force fall after a rise. Nevertheless price of nearly two days of pigs falls situation have the clear evidence that put delay, plain change parcel area pig price rebounds somewhat. Main reason: Recently, sanitation of Sichuan province animal supervises a print and distribute " forbidden from violate outside the province compasses allocate and transport live pig informs a book " , bring about price of partial area pig to begin small to rise.
Current nevertheless pork is consumed still on the low side, terminal market takes money not ideal, tu Qibai order is decreased decrease again, partial butcher enterprise has time-out to control pig appearance, price of pig of area of short-term and in-house cent still has cheapen risk. Prices treasure thinks, give what column plans to finish as dimensions field, the carries valence to long to go up mood of overlay market, or rebound those who bring the price.
Imported the flesh 2021 kind continue cruel add?
We import fleshy problem a little finally. 2020 our country flesh kind those who import quantity gross is cruel add. Show according to custom statistic data, 2020 our country flesh kind entrance gross is as high as 9.91 million tons, be apart from ten million ton only the Yao of one pace. Main because our country pork supplied insecurity and price on the high side last year, caused the flesh kind import an amount soar phenomenon. And whether can the import volume this year achieve ten million ton level?
The market thinks generally to be able to have than last year decrease apparently. Although the entrance of 1-2 month is measured this year,increased last year compared to the same period 27.6% , but second half of the year is produced as a result of live pig can restore 2017, import demand or drop in temperature somewhat. But to its in view of Sino-US trade agreement produce import volume has increased demand, and the flesh after global epidemic situation improves kind the probability that export increases is bigger, predict this year our country flesh kind import volume still can maintain perch, but won't exceed last year.
Last week is below of the netizen leave a message! Tell the truth look very feel sad! Face drop drop endlessly of price of the recrudesce of epidemic situation of swine fever of pig price, Africa, feed go up greatly, breed cost to promote, breed door people it is to break a tooth into pieces to go to really the pharynx in abdomen ah! Acute communicable diseases of blame of prices treasure hope goes rapidly, pig price rises rise! Provisions pig person one 2021 perfect!
