Editor's note: "The pig is periodic " greet price trough again. According to investigation, every slaughter a pig now, want deficit 200 yuan, shut city firm be in a dilemma. Have predict to say, pig price still has drop space, to raising pig door character, can wait for next a place with a draught painstakingly only.
■ Xia Fang of our newspaper reporter
Since this year, price sufferring a pig glides influence, outstanding achievement of aquaculture of herd of domestic much cattle also appears bluff type drops, partial industry appears even deficit. Although nearly 10 days come,pork price picks up somewhat, but ignore tall ignore low. 10 yuan / kilogram whether is live pig price base price? Become the topic that the personage inside the industry discusses.
To this, accept " negotiable securities daily " the answer that the trade public figure when the reporter interviews gives out is: Bottom of domestic pork price had be notted form, still have the possibility of next explore, pig price is low fan will continue to next year.
Price of live pig of nearly 3 months glides considerably
On June 6, herd primary share was released portion live pig sold brief report in May 2018, show according to brief, may, the company sells hog 838 thousand, sales revenue 892 million yuan. Company commodity pig is sold all valence 10.09 yuan / kilogram, rise than April 1.00% .
The company shows, may, whole of commodity pig price presents concussion to go up situation. "Afore-mentioned sale data without audit, the likelihood is put in difference between the data that discloses with regular report, accordingly afore-mentioned data offer investor to consult as level sex data only. Accordingly afore-mentioned data offer investor to consult as level sex data only..
" negotiable securities daily " the reporter consults the chart of live pig sale that herd primary share offers shows, the live pig price of the portion was 13.46 yuan in May 2017 / kilogram, and the price May is 10.09 yuan this year / kilogram, drop compared to the same period 25% ; Last year second half of the year, live pig price is top went to 14.75 yuan / kilogram, and since this year, still was in 13.65 yuan to the price Feburary January / kilogram, fell directly March reach 10.36 yuan / kilogram, went to 10 yuan April / kilogram the following, it is 9.99 yuan / kilogram, the data May is 10.09 yuan / kilogram.
Same, commodity pig was released on June 5 the data of day state share of sale status brief shows, portion distributors tasted the company in May 2018 pig one hundred and fifty-three thousand six hundred, sales revenue one hundred and eighty-two million six hundred and eighty thousand two hundred yuan, sale all valence 10.03 yuan / kilogram (9.97 yuan are after price of eliminate young pig is affected / kilogram) , annulus is respectively than changing 4.28% , 0.84% , 0.20% .
Came January this year May, company distributors tastes a pig seven hundred and twenty-seven thousand one hundred, sales revenue nine hundred and ninety-three million nine hundred and sixty-nine thousand six hundred yuan, sale all valence 11.4 yuan / kilogram (11.36 yuan are after price of eliminate young pig is affected / kilogram) , change compared to the same period it is respectively 118.17% , 64.97% , - 17.37% .
Day state share still calculated brushstroke Zhang, company portion breed aquatics is complete in May 2018 cost is 12.17 yuan / kilogram, eliminate sells the influence of young pig, complete cost is sells fatten hog 12.03 yuan / kilogram. Company in January 2018 portion - bred complete cost to be 12.01 yuan May / kilogram, eliminate sells the influence of young pig, complete cost is sells fatten hog 11.88 yuan / kilogram.
From the breed aquatics that the company announces sale price comes to complete cost and commodity pig look, sale price of cost prep above, also say, came January May, the business of live pig breed aquatics of the company is deficit.
On June 4, share of lukewarm family name of company of bibcock of domestic breed aquatics releases brief showed May, the sales revenue of company commodity pig and sale price all drop compared to the same period 20% above.
Show according to brief, in May 2018 portion, company distributors tastes fleshy pig one million eight hundred and fifteen thousand two hundred, income 2.194 billion yuan, sell all valence 10.37 yuan / kilogram, annulus is respectively than changing - 6.61% , - 5.63% , 3.60% , change compared to the same period it is respectively 11.40% , - 20.97% , 26.77% .
To the reason with afore-mentioned fluctuant data, wen share gave out at 2 o'clock reason, above all, in May 2018 portion, sales volume of pig of company commodity flesh rises compared to the same period, basically be company business dimensions expand, pig of company commodity flesh gives column to estimate growth; Additional, in May 2018 portion, pig of company commodity flesh is sold all price falls compared to the same period, basically be the influence be caused by that accepts change of market level of domestic live pig.
Be worth what carry is, our newspaper reporter consults raise a pig to appear on the market the company sold brief to see April, april, live pig price all under 10 yuan / kilogram, may with compared April, the price rises somewhat, but, from the point of market research of our newspaper reporter, the pork price that begins to look up from the last ten-day of a month in May begins fall after a rise again.
"With compared April, pork price rose every kilograms 2 yuan, now fall after a rise 1 yuan. " on June 1, in Shandong Wei lane some brand salesperson expresses to the reporter, pork price is not very stable.
To the prices of tomorrow of live pig price, there also is different voice on the market, have breed door express, 10 yuan / kilogram the price has been bottom price, prospective aquaculture prices is met to good. But, large breed aquatics is reached in industry researcher company staff looks, current price is not bottom, pork price continues likely still to glide, the reason of judgement is: The market not underfill, breed an industry to not be short of a pig, additional, still have many entrance aspic pork not to say money socially.
Raise a pig to appear on the market care of can of outstanding achievement of the newspaper in the company
A large company staff that pursues hog slaughter and sale is right " negotiable securities daily " the reporter expresses, on two months slaughter a pig about deficit 150 yuan, slaughter deficit of a pig now 200 yuan. Raised what pig industry has big Xiaonian to say in the past, dimensions is changed now breed, artificial intelligence times, the industry that raise a pig distinguishs big Xiaonian very hard, current price has not arrive bottom, still have dropping space.
Look in afore-mentioned personages, pork is short of above all on the market, above all, breed a domain to not be short of wool pig, current, the enterprise is increasing butcher amount, but, market spending falls without addition condition, butcher enterprise also stored many aspic flesh, add aspirant mouth porky to pound, large breed aquatics the ceaseless dilate of the enterprise, and the change that consumes a structure (in the past 50 hind, 60 hind, 70 hind the pork that prop up is consumed) , put delay to porky demand, the overlay of these elements, domestic pork price is in very hard short-term inside pick up.
The reporter consults the monthly sale brief of the enterprise that raise a pig is visible, with compared last year, the butcher quantity of the enterprise increases apparently this year, for example, the live pig sale of the portion was herd primary share in May 2017 527 thousand, person of the same trade accumulative total sale will be 7.237 million December, sale was 719 million yuan May last year, now year May criterion the live pig sale of the company is 838 thousand, sale is 892 million yuan, that is to say, this year May with photograph of the corresponding period was compared last year, live pig sale increases 311 thousand circumstance to fall, the sales revenue of the company increased 173 million yuan only.
Add close not to increase profit, in the industry that raise a pig expression gets incisively and vividly. This from the outstanding achievement of the newspaper in 2018 that shuts city firm to release premonitory data is clear and visible.
According to " negotiable securities daily " the reporter consults relevant company announcement shows, up to on June 6, a birds of 19 feed, cultivate bred an enterprise to release outstanding achievement is premonitory first half of the year 2018, among them, only advocate course of study is those who breed chicken to appear on the market what the company releases is outstanding achievement increases announcement beforehand, and with the enterprise that raises a pig to concern, what release is to be decreased slightly, the announcement that decreases beforehand, among them, new what 5 abundant released first half of the year is the early-warning announcement with outstanding achievement short head.
Among them, outstanding achievement of day state share is premonitory show, the company predicts the portion came in January 2018 June, implementation vest in appears on the market the net profit gain of company shareholder sixty-seven million seven hundred and eighty-five thousand yuan - 135 million yuan, drop compared to the same period 0%-50% ; Be proud farming biology predicts 1-6 month vest in appeared on the market 2018 the net profit of company shareholder relatively on period the corresponding period drops what farming herd releases 10%-40%; Chu Ying is net profit the biggest fall for the outstanding achievement of 50% early-warning announcement. The company predicts January 2018 portion - vest in appeared on the market June the net profit gain of company shareholder ninety-four million eight hundred and seventy-six thousand two hundred reach 132 million yuan, than going up year of the corresponding period drop 30% to 50% .
Tang Ren god is in outstanding achievement is premonitory in express, the company predicts the portion came to realized vest in to appear on the market June in January 2018 the net profit gain of company shareholder eighty-two million six hundred and forty-three thousand eight hundred yuan - one hundred and twenty-three million nine hundred and sixty-five thousand six hundred yuan,
Additional, release the Jin Xinnong that outstanding achievement decreases beforehand, the company predicts 1-6 month vest in appeared on the market 2018 the net profit gain of company shareholder twelve million six hundred and ninety thousand four hundred yuan - thirty-four million eight hundred and ninety-eight thousand six hundred yuan, go up compared to the same period year of the corresponding period reduce 45%-80% ; And the outstanding achievement that herd primary share releases is premonitory show, the company predicts 1-6 month vest in appeared on the market 2018 the net profit gain of company shareholder is 100 million yuan - 400 million yuan, go up compared to the same period year of the corresponding period drop 66.67%-91.67% ; state science and technology predicts in January 2018 portion - June, company vest in appears on the market the net profit gain of company shareholder 80 million yuan - 140 million yuan, than going up year of the corresponding period drop 49.06% to 70.89% ; And new 5 abundant predict in January 2018 portion - June, company vest in appears on the market the net profit loss of company shareholder comes 52.5 million yuan 35 million yuan.
Glide to outstanding achievement the reason that reachs deficit, afore-mentioned enterprises all were pointed to domestic pig price drops considerably first half of the year this year be caused by.
