Pure report motor-car becomes an industry to develop way had been final, this also is strategy of national energy resources is important and decision-making. Although our country has not announced to ban the specific time of car of carry out fuel, but will look from current program, believe this time also too won't late. Fall in big transition trend so, we also pay close attention to the typical problem that car of new energy resources encounters in developing a process can morely.
The program is produced can superfluous, gu Cirong misses the other party easily
Current, the industry celebrity of pure report motor-car -- tesla is produce can problem irritated heart, brunt model Model 3 is produced can not follow to go up tardy order, the share price that causes tesla drops, also force Demasike keeps coming out put out a fire. Home also has similar case, for instance colourful comes because ES8 produces a problem to cannot make a car to the user tardy.
At first sight goes up, it is to produce can be not worth the disaster that cause! Nevertheless the author thinks, produce can the problem is temporary only, after two years, because somebody is produced can superfluous and vexed.
As the conflagration of car of new energy resources, arrived 2015 during 2017, the new energy resources of domestic mount a horse is truckload the project is amounted to 200 many. Build plan according to what the factory plans, predict to was controlled 2020, car of built program new energy resources is produced can or will achieve 20 million. Want to know, 2017 sales volume of market of Chinese whole car 28.04 million, growth range is 2.0% . That is to say, the pure report motor-car that builds to 2020 is produced can the market demand that enough whole replaces fuel car.
See here, everybody is a bit little excitement, is pure dynamoelectric times about to come really?
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But the market perhaps did not imagine in so affable. 2017, sales volume of whole of car of domestic new energy resources is 777 thousand, growth range is 53.3% . Predict according to association of Chinese auto industry, car of domestic new energy resources will be maintained 2018 50% of the left and right sides add fast, hopeful of annual sales volume achieves 1 million. In April 2017, hair of industry letter ministry, country changes appoint, of print and distribute of combination of ministry of science and technology " long-term development plans in automobile industry " in put forward, 2020, the quantity of produce and sale of car of domestic new energy resources predicts to be able to achieve 2 million. But to in those days, home had had 20 million productivity.
Then, a new issue is about to appear before us -- " produce can superfluous " . Amount to decuple superfluous produce can, will bring factory, equipment and labor power again unused a series of problem.
Consumption is watched like have a taste of what is just in season, how is scientific clear up produced can?
Again for one follows the issue closely related consumer -- itself of pure electric car. At present home market assumes polarization position in the pure report motor-car of carry out. One is end of on the high side for instance tesla, BMW, one is less than of 100 thousand money, be left and right sides of 50 thousand money even. And in consumption of fuel car market the biggest in the brand that carries a product to basically can not form dimensions in the market or model.
In the final analysis, consumer is moved to pure report the car is not regular consumption. However behavior of a kind of have a taste of what is just in season, behavior of this kind of have a taste of what is just in season does not have catholicity, also do not have the base that expands continuously. And do not say tesla these high end are small numerous model, lack the base of freewill consumption more to popularizing pure report motor-car of the gender, in a lot of cities be restricted all right below card policy, pure report motor-car becomes the kind that achieves a car relative to low cost for a kind, a lot of consumer are taking doubt to take move period to make chose motor-car of a pure report.
This kind of phenomenon must be improved in time, have the bottleneck on technology and form a complete set through solving, like letting consumer resemble buying car of a fuel, the consumptive regard as of motor-car of will pure report the thing of a kind of be accustomed to sth. Only such, market ability is smooth the ground from 2 million climb rise 20 million, this yield of 20 million can the value with ability real generation.
After losing subsidy, city of car of new energy resources grows impeach
Develop to promote new energy industry, of the government ask a hand quite driving. Most direct is cash allowance. Be in some earlier moment, the money buying a car that the allowance amount of a car gives more actually than consumer even even taller.
Cash allowance can make pure report motor-car gains the competitive advantage that comparative undoubtedly, occupy quickly thereby one party market. Even home has many new energy resources to the car aims at allowance namely and come, just made car of a new energy resources to get subsidy, and the means that the sale of these models can use a few left hand to turn into the right hand, not be consumer is bought actually, made the battalion carry model of certain operation project however.
But the problem is allowance is tightened up with each passing day, until cancel, and cancel the time of allowance and won't come too late, accordingly before the pertinent information that leak, china will control the cash subsidy that abolishs cars of pair of new energy resources completely 2020. Lost the motive power of Dai of allowance bare Dai , can market of car of new energy resources be immersed in dead bureau? Lost the market of fast growth, that yield of 20 million can be one flickering sodden poop deck, this is received dish or answer dish time does not know clever boy again year Ma Yue.
Say a notion
Car of new energy resources regards future as a travel means of absolutely mainstream, its position believes very few person can be oppugned. because such, car of new energy resources was obtained too much do not accord with the rule help strength. This let the author think of " hurt Zhong Yong " story, regard a foreground as infinite industry, car of new energy resources has his to develop the rule oneself, if shift car of new energy resources agog the perch that still does not belong to it now to that blindly, may cause a few needless troubles and consequence.
The arisen and inevitable meeting of an industry experiences a lot of problems, inevitable in the process of development meeting encounters labor pains period. But a lot of problems can be used actually more assuasive development process lets his won't arise. Car of new energy resources needs enough long growing stage, hope policy can stay to it sufficient this time. To fuel car, regard an old times as acting child, still can be in actually our next patchy continueing that accompany our quite long period of time, for instance oily report mixes motivation or insert electric type to mix motivation to wait improve model.
Additional, when do you feel new to car of the sources of energy can gain ground truly? The welcome is in leave a message area and we discuss.
(partial picture comes from a network, if tort contacts the country outside the line please)
