Introduction
The area that develops the more, town changes a standard taller, and the birth apiration photograph of urban population relatively want at countryside a few lower.
Why be willing to give birth to the child
On March 20, the statistical bulletin data that 21 centuries economy reports to the reporter is announced from each district discovers, each district birthrate dropped generally somewhat 2018, among them Shandong is the province with countrywide highest birthrate no longer, birthrate was 13.26 ‰ 2018, bit more than reducing 4 on one year.
Birthrate of area of and other places of Qinghai, Guangxi, Ningxia leans in the whole nation before, under photograph comparing, develop area birthrate is compared generally low, for instance Beijing Shanghai ferry and northeast 3 provinces, among them the birthrate of Liaoning, Tianjin, Shanghai had 6.39 only respectively 2018 ‰ , 6.67 ‰ and 7.2 ‰ , only the half of and other places of Qinghai, Guangxi is controlled.
In light of the whole nation, birthrate was 10.94 ‰ 2018, drop somewhat than the 12.43 ‰ 2017, suffer this effect, countrywide annual gave stranger opening 2018 15.23 million person, reduced 2 million person than going up one year.
Why difference of each district birthrate is so vast, and does whole show now to fall posture? On March 20, camp of gold of king of assistant director of institute of Heibei university population points out, each district fertility-rate and development level are relevant. The area that develops the more, town changes a standard taller, photograph of urban population birth apiration relatively want at countryside a few lower. "The standard is changed in town of very multilateral remote region low, birthrate is met relatively tall. Birthrate is met relatively tall..
Each district birthrate general falls
According to the data that national statistic bureau publishs, countrywide human fertility was 10.94 ‰ 2018, this was 1949 since historical lowest value. The case of each province is similar also, birthrate all presents downtrend.
Shandong birthrate was 17.54 ‰ 2017, there were 13.26 ‰ only 2018; Birthrate was Fujian 2018 13.2 ‰ , was 15 ‰ 2017; Birthrate was Gansu Province, Heibei respectively 2018 11.07 ‰ , 11.26 ‰ , was respectively 2017 12.54% , 13.2 ‰ .
As to Beijing and Shanghai, although birthrate is in 2017 already under 10 ‰ , but still dropped 2018 apparent, have 8.24% only respectively, 7.2 ‰ .
On March 20, chinese mouth and development research center express when deputy researcher Huang Kuang, the female that marriage of of the right age bears now is decreasing, and educational level rises, this brings about a knot legitimate child scale drops.
"The marriage Yo concept that involves tall divorce to lead pair of youths continuously also is affected very big, the sense of legitimate to the knot of a few youths child such as the star divorce incident of ceaseless exposure also produced an effect. " say when Huang Kuang.
Ningxia statistic bureau releases a report to point out, 2018, ningxia human fertility is 13.32 ‰ , drop than 2017 0.12 thousand bits. Basically suffer effect of two respects element: It is to bear new politics already be born 3 years, "Comprehensive two child " policy is in 2016, concentration was released 2017, policy released effect to be changed infirmly centrally 2018, 2 child are borne tend smooth; 2 it is Yo age woman (15-49 year old) and bear exuberant period Yo age woman (20-29 year old) the number decreases, the birth idea that since together with implements family planning policy, forms is returned not from go up at all change, cause Ningxia to bear still lie relatively inferior mode.
On March 20, party school of Beijing municipal Party committee teachs Pan Jianlei to point out, chinese fertility-rate can go low ceaselessly, this and the fall of birth apiration are concerned, after somebody asks two 2 child policy comes out, birthrate can rise considerably, actually unlikely, countrywide birthrate is small 2017 rise, be in later 2018 fall after a rise.
Shandong no longer the first, beijing Shanghai ferry and northeast birthrate on the low side
A data that deserves attention is, why the fertility-rate of Shandong was in 2017 the whole nation row the first, arrived did fertility-rate drop considerably 2018 4 ‰ above?
To this, camp of gold of king of assistant director of institute of Heibei university population thinks, because Shandong situation is more special,this is, 2017 is the 2nd year when unlock 2 child, 2016, the birth number of 2 child is more 2017. Past Shandong implements family planning policy strictly, the 2 child of keep long in stock are released in these two years bigger.
"The birth of these a few years of one child time is deferred, even some of husband and wife does not give birth to the child, this brings about birthrate rein in apparent. " king gold camp says.
In addition, why is the birthrate of 3 provinces in Beijing, Shanghai, Tianjin and northeast the whole nation most after leaning? For instance Liaoning birthrate is only 2018 6.39 ‰ , tianjin 6.67 ‰ , 7.2 ‰ of Shanghai, of the birthrate of and other places of the Hainan before only the rank leans, Qinghai, Guangxi arrange an in part. Jilin and Heilongjiang have not publish the human fertility data 2018, but 2017, the birthrate of two ground all did not exceed 7 ‰ , all attribute the level by mat in the whole nation.
Jiangsu, Zhejiang develop the birthrate of the area is not tall also, control in 10 ‰ , 11 ‰ about.
Party school of Beijing municipal Party committee teachs Pan Jianlei to think, develop area town changes a standard tall, the dweller is in city life cost is high. Be in to husband and wife city life, if have 2 children, if press average wage level merely, support hard quite actually.
But the situation of Guangdong is relatively special. The town of Guangdong was changed 2018 rate exceeded 70% , belong to town to turn the area with higher level, but birthrate is 12.79% , before leaning quite likewise. Analytic personage points out, the culture of this and place is consuetudinary about, some areas are much child the ideal be current of much happiness, although life cost is higher, birth level also is not met too low.
