The intermediary outside occupying reports, will come 4 days on April 3, north will hold Foreign Minister meeting in Washington about, congratulatory north holds water 70 years about, undertake consulting with respect to its future development. Regard beautiful Su Leng as the child of battle, after Russia disintegrate, north is made an appointment with not only did not disband, ceaseless instead enlarge is allowed, cause in-house and contradictory ceaseless increase, cohesive affinity drops, appear the awkwardness that martial resource configures as tremendous as strategic goal existence contrast is actual. So, north did not develop about whether plain sailing? Exist what variable?
Above all, the footing manner that American government restricts to north is the main factor that influence north did not develop about. After Telangpu appears on the stage, carry out " the United States is preferential " strategic systole policy, aim spearhead north to make an appointment with for many times, complain north makes an appointment with European member country to build the United States on defense issue " car " , did not expend defray to raise the 2 ％ to GDP by requirement general. For this, secondary begs Telangpuduo these member countries increase military expenditure, allude the protective strength that may reduce to brief ally to north accordingly. In Feburary 2017, telangpu is sent even push civil say north is made an appointment with " when already was being passed " , without the value of existence, continue before north made an appointment with a peak to meet in July 2018 " cannon " north is made an appointment with, country of requirement Europe member partakes for the U.S. Army pressure of matters pertaining to defense. Regard north as agreement dominant country, the prospective development that the United States restricts to north is having crucial effect, its footing manner can affect the future that north makes an appointment with to develop prospect necessarily.
Next, process of unifinication of European Union matters pertaining to defense is accelerated ceaselessly, make major impact about to north. As beautiful Ou Mao aegis difference is increased ceaselessly and independent consciousness enhances European country ceaselessly, the European Union is willing no longer do a military affairs to go up " dwarf " , make an appointment with in north to the United States in have absolute dominant power and consequence to begin dissatisfaction. In recent years, the European Union is strong advance " common matters pertaining to defense " , the hope combines unit through building, enhance ability of own military affairs, and more active when processing involves oneself safety issue. The European Union makes an appointment with frame extrapolate to move in north " found an army " , inevitable meeting causes resource competition, make contrary, challenge north regards Europe as the leadership position of main defense orgnaization about.
Again, north makes an appointment with ministry of each member country contradictory and heavy, go up in a lot of problem viewpoint difference is bigger. For example, in treat north to make an appointment with outspread problem to go up, law heart two countries agrees with the United States not completely " north makes an appointment with globalization " view, different idea north expands without limit about, object north making an appointment with appropriative world military police, advocate Europe should put forward to make clear the strategy, avoid to fall " north makes an appointment with globalization " trap, promote process of unifinication of European Union matters pertaining to defense actively, raise oneself to counterpoise in the dominant in European safe work. North is made an appointment with inside other in young member country, especially Baltic coastal state and the Eastern European country such as polish, Romania, because of the deterrence of dread Russia, be willing to place oneself safety in more US-led north makes an appointment with a body to go up. Additional, north makes an appointment with member country to treat the manner of Russia to also be put in difference. The member country of European north regards Russia as menace, the view takes strong step to Russia, the country such as law heart is based on the consideration of respect of cooperation of the sources of energy, maintaining intimate contact with Russia. These contradiction that adjust hard and difference, make an appointment with prospective development to bring more uncertainty to north.
In the meantime, we also want to see, because north makes an appointment with the minatory challenge that faces at present to be centered quite, include what upgrade ceaselessly to defy with Russian military affairs, the condition of area of middle east North Africa with the terroristic, random fascicular elephant that fears more instead more and the challenge of network safety domain that grow gradually, these ask north enhances collective defence and deterrence ability further about. In at present finite circumstance issues whole of actual strength of European military affairs, north still is the cornerstone of European collective defence about, europe wants to break away from the United States and north to carry out own matters pertaining to defense about not quite actual still. In addition, the United States is made an appointment with through north not only can the martial force that the palm accuses European country, OK still north of have the aid of undertakes a few local wars act about, achieve seek hegemony strategic goal of the whole world, also won't abandon north making an appointment with easily. Accordingly, how north didn't develop about, will depend on greatly this disappear those of all sorts of international elements grows and complex and interactive, the strategic Bo Yireng that all sorts of forces did not develop around north about will be long-standing.
(the author concerns for international of university of national defence science and technology outside the institute army vice director of research center of matters pertaining to defense)
