(The article jumps over sound to cast by public date consider (Yslcw927) is arranged, offer reference only, do not make operation proposal. If be operated by oneself, notice a storehouse position control and risk conceit. Notice a storehouse position control and risk conceit..
Fall in the circumstance of US stock fusing and a lot of element recently, a whether can drop again the eye that this problem greeted us afresh
Tell the truth nevertheless, although A short-term meeting has wave motion, but return the 2400 dotty position by last year very hard.
The reason is very simple, MSCI index brings into A in undertaking, foreign capital buys A continuously high grade share.
MSCI brings into A, basically be to be aimed at Shanghai at present deep 300, in card the composition of 500.
This is brought into undertake group by group, about every quarter rises of 5% bring into scale.
Every bring into MSCI A the scale of 5% , the A that can have 150 billion market prise about be bought.
By 2018 when, MSCI brings into A plan, finished only 5% . Still had many times 2019, can increase the rate of progress planned speed of 20% to the end of the year. 80% meetings that leave consider when undertake bringing into again in future.
MSCI is exponential fund, the cycle of hold share is longer.
150 billion what concept be?
The exponential fund of domestic mainland, also be investment Shanghai is deep 300, in card 500 composition give priority to. At present A the total dimensions of overall index fund, it is about 700 billion.
This is the scope that domestic index fund expanded ten years to accumulate.
MSCI every quarter rises now of 5% bring into A, a quarter has 150 billion, 20% be dimensions of overall index fund about.
And still can have twice this year bring into. Will be on August 27, will be November.
The current A on market high grade stock is less and less, return the position by last year very hard also.
Short-term A may give existing fluctuation the wave motion of hundred, but too won't big.
When the optimal opportunity that the stock market enters, decide you leave the body home of bovine city one round
20 years 100 times, how will come true? Of life fortune accumulate, have a few processes, the person of law of familiar duty field will be exceedingly clear. The growth of individual fortune won't be a flowing curve, however an a flight of stairs rise.
For instance, have period of time, even time of a few years, the apparent change with your compensation too big it doesn't matter. But, what when you ability accumulates is enough, when once have,rising job, your pay may appear to rise severalfold. Spend period of time possibly again next, let you by new opportunity again considerably raises.
Here, those who say is not the thing of duty field, the thing that invests however. Between the stock market, the growth of fortune also can present an a flight of stairs model, is not a flowing curve. And the capital that the intermediate thing that you want to do allows you as far as possible namely does not get loss.
Protect capital, this is the greatest article of creed or faith of Buffett. What does very clear capital mean because of him, mean in next time can bring among the opportunity severalfold even the fortune of ten times.
We will look, how many money is hiding in the stock market. Abide by a discipline only. In the operation in bovine city, rest in Xiong Fu. Begin to be calculated from 1996, what do we get?
This is to go up the lunar string of card index, so, concern is understood or do not look not to understand, our redo a more severe exacting the hypothesis of a bit. 80% what seized bovine town only namely then. Remain 20% we were let off.
Arrived in January 1996 in June 2001, the index rises 300% , plan 80% , 2.4.
Arrived in June 2005 in October 2007, the index rises 460% , plan 80% , 3.68.
Arrived in November 2008 in July 2009, the index rises 97% , plan 80% , 0.76.
Arrived in May 2014 in June 2015, the index rises 160% , plan 80% , 1.28.
Final, invest from 1996, our accrual can be 63 times. If not according to 80% computation, the result is 114 times.
This is average income, redo assumes, those who rebuke we put a bank during city is fixed, year change 3% interest rate (have have high low, with inferior computational) . The result can become 154 times. Time of 20 years, assets grows 154 times, about year changing is 27% the left and right sides. This is equivalent to is a Buffett.
So, the simplest method, bovine city full storehouse is fried, xiong Fu puts money to the bank. Next result is, you are stronger than Buffett. Of course, this is theoretic result. Still need to have a bit, you need to grow of Bibafeite from job time only, capital is big, so you are fiercer than Buffett.
Write this paragraph to want to tell everybody only, ursine city what is not done stronger than blind do sth over and over again, empty storehouse you are champion.
Next each inquisitive is certainly, now is what phase, how should do next. It is clear that the thing above is written down, so how to after you knew, do. We needed understanding to be clear about now.
Bull is when Xiong Fu ends when entering. Next when the end of bovine city. So, do not need what capability, when is needing to know only ursine city end, when be bovine city end. Today, we for, the standard that Xiong Fu ends.
1, Xiong Fu ends need to have enough dropping, from the point of historical experience, a drop an interval in 40%-75% in the center, if just dropped 30% , you say Xiong Fu ended, that Shang Zao with respect to character.
2, Xiong Fu ends need to have enough time, a the shortest Xiong Fu was 2008 drop, have the time of 12 months only about, and other time often have 3-4 year time.
3, Xiong Fu's end needs to have feature of " of " mad bear, what this feature says is final drop.
Before two achieved basically, need the 3rd requirement, there still is not the sufficient qualified of Xiong Fu's end now that is to say. And according to the analysis before, if of Shanghai city clinch a deal amount about atrophy arrives 60 billion the left and right sides, and had better explain the market is enough and panicky continuously.
Xiong Fu collects stop one's hand, bovine city carries greatly all right. Not be for oneself in Xiong Fu now and then penny gaining a point glad, once harm,ask to oneself capital decisive from.
Can be at ease bold the pattern of 5 old techniques that copies a copy:
The first kind: Double bottom
Mix when grail experienced after dropping for long, the sign with occurrence sure look forward to, the configuration of double bottom is formed in the meeting on K line graph, and on the right side of appear into the enlarge that pay an amount, once this moment breaks through neck line position, it is us bold when copying a copy.
The 2nd kind: Ternary bottom
We often tell a thing not to pass 3, mix in grail appear after dropping for a long time look forward to is firm, ternary base is formed on K line configuration, and in the last bottom on the right side of occurrence to the limit of one's capacity, at that time once break through neck line position, bold build a warehouse.
The 3rd kind: By head shoulder
Grail and after section chief period drops, stop drop look forward to is firm, the K line configuration of head shoulder bottom is formed on K line attempt, right shoulder clinchs a deal quantity enlarge, break through neck line position next, it is bold at that time build a warehouse.
The 4th kind: Harden of bottom to the limit of one's capacity
In bottom position if to the limit of one's capacity appears a harden, no matter be short line or it is wave band, can be better average place, be so after occurrence harden is OK follow-up.
The 5th kind: Casing is arranged
Grail or be after dropping for long, can have a horizontal stroke dish the position that liquidate, let K line form a casing, be in when bottom the quantity clinchs a deal to magnify stage by stage on the right side of casing, bold average is when breaking through casing coping finally when.
Trading in a few days is one kind trades mode, english name is Daytrade, basically be to show the time that maintain a warehouse is short, do not leave what pass the night maintains a warehouse to trade means. Trade in a few days catch what city cost can break away from immediately after city to trade opportunity, after entering town if cannot gain profit immediately, leave quickly with respect to preparation. Because this kind trades,means is in city time is short, the risk with susceptive so fluctuant market is inferior.
The first type trades inside day: Low is not broken -- buy a condition
1, K line is in ascendant trend in. 2, oscillation is finished after open quotation.
The 2nd type trades inside day, drop urgently to be bought urgently, delay drops delay is bought
Condition 1, 3, 5, on 15 minutes of graphs, k line shows ascendant trend. 2, 3, 5, often perhaps appear on attempt of line of 15 minutes of K rupture type drops urgently.
The 3rd type trades inside day, time-sharing line is shown curium flute profile conglomerate form, wait-and-see
Condition 1, time-sharing line changes fluent former days pattern, show toothed model. 2, time-sharing line shows conglomerate form oscillation
The 4th type trades inside day, curve goes up on not urgent, next arc go up not slow
Condition 1, on curve goes up, the quantity clinchs a deal when going up appoint shrink should drop carefully. 2, next arc go up, clinch a deal quantity appoint when shrinking, should take care to go up.
The 5th type trades inside day, the passageway closes line of keep to the side, 3 lines return to rely on red line -- buy
Condition 1, go up in 3 minutes of graphs, drop the passageway already closed, 5, 10, 20 all the line already went smooth agglutinate, standing by red 60 all line. 2, go up in 5 minutes of graphs, gules 60 all the line begins to make the same score, or had gone smooth.
The 6th type trades inside day, high point dish do not become a base, low dish do not become a top. Backhand
Condition 1, K line rebounds, do to already lost, or K line leaves high considerably. 2, K line fall after a rise, close already end, or K line is in upgoing situation, now fall after a rise of the oscillation after open quotation.
The 7th type trades inside day, support threefold, come up the 4th times strong top -- buy
Condition 1. Ternary top is formed on time-sharing line, best and parallel.
The 8th type trades inside day, all the line closes to be opened again -- buy
Condition 1, all the line is in in rising, 2, 5, 10 all line first time closes passageway be issued to lower levels, k line is in 20 all around stop drop.
The 9th type trades inside day, dagger supports, much Chan Meng runs; dagger bottom, empty Chan Meng runs
Condition 1, line of head day K receives back, rush on K Xian Xiaoyang today. 2, line of head day K accepts this world, k Xian Xiaoyang plays detective today.
Buying a share basically is to buy tomorrow, hope bought stock tomorrow can go up. Fry have a few main factors, quantity, price, when, the time that intervene is namely when, this is most important, intervening time is chosen well, calculate a stock to be chosen a few poorlier, also can have earn, but intervening turn is bad, even if choosing was opposite also won't go up, and return prison of meeting bedding bag. Alleged good beginning succeeded namely half, point of choice buying and selling is very main, in good average the point gets involved, won't cover not only prison, and can sit those who enjoy litter be carryinged is happy.
Share an index that copy a copy to everybody again finally, this is figure index, proposal advocate use in the graph all route system, appear when attached drawing " copy a copy " when signal, should pass advocate inside the graph all route system will try to choose, should appear for example " copy a copy " do not be eager to be being bought when signal, can wait 10 days all line up when consider to be bought again, still have can be through looking before occurrence signal, clinch a deal the quantity has enlarge to try to choose, anyhow is not each " copy a copy " signal can be carried out, should pass all the line perhaps is measured can wait for other index to assist will try to discriminate, particular case is OK oneself hold. Formulary code is duplicate come over hard to avoid causes partial pattern error, if cannot guide successfully, can seek my source that get!
Formulary source is as follows:
Short trend: ((3*SMA((CLOSE-LLV(LOW, 27))/(HHV(HIGH, 27)-LLV(LOW, 27))*100, 5, 1)-2*SMA(SMA((CLOSE-LLV(LOW, 27))/(HHV(HIGH, 27)-LLV(LOW, 27))*100, 5, 1) , 3, 1)-50)*1.032+50) , COLORRED;
VAR2:=(2*CLOSE+HIGH+LOW+OPEN)/5;
VAR3:=LLV(LOW, 34);
VAR4:=HHV(HIGH, 34);
Long trend: EMA((VAR2-VAR3)/(VAR4-VAR3)*100, 13) , COLOR00FF00;
By judgement: SQRT(SQRT(FLOOR(SQRT(MA(1/WINNER(CLOSE)*100, 4)/10000))))*5;
VAR5:=CROSS(short trend, long trend) AND grows trend <25;
Bottom: S<10 AND of TICKLINE(short trend judges a bottom > 0, 0, 30, 6, 1);
STICKLINE(VAR5, 0, 50, 8, 0) , COLORRED;
DRAWICON(VAR5AND judges a bottom > 0, 60, 1);
<10 AND of DRAWTEXT(COUNT(short trend judges a bottom > 0, 8) AND VAR5, 50, ' copies bottom ');
DRAWTEXT(CROSS(short trend, long trend) AND grows a trend > 25 AND grows a trend > REF(grows a trend, 1) , 50, ' is pulled quickly or short top ');
VAR6:=CROSS(short trend, long trend) AND grows trend <50;
<30 AND of DRAWTEXT(COUNT(short trend judges a bottom > 0, 5) AND VAR6, 30, ' short line buys ');
Think knowledge is more and current A the operation skill of level and formulary code, or have any doubt, can pay close attention to public date to jump over sound to cast consider (Yslcw927) , operation of the city after more and stock technology analyse a method to wait for you to learn, dried food in a steady stream is constant!
Choose a principle:
1, chase after go up reduce cut of the person that drop: Avoid by all means is chased after go up kill drop, always go up a 3% above Mo Zhui, would rather miss, cannot err!
2, actuation negotiant behead: Before intervening make operation plan strictly, had set stop caustic is nodded and hold period, disappear buy dot and target price not to move, after be being bought handle affairs strictly by plan and operation record, do not want impulse to be bought, after be being bought, be at a loss.
3, grail advocate drop paragraph of not empty storehouse person behead: Bovine city is not abiding, xiong Fu is boundless however, concussion is normal, advocate drop beard avoid; is in grail advocate drop paragraph must empty storehouse, avoid grail advocate drop paragraph risk.
4, participate in coping person behead: The stock that coping feature appears does not want to participate in as far as possible, the stock that coping affirms is resembled please like treating plague, those who avoid is wary not as good as!
5, behead of the person that do not gain profit between 3 climate: All intervened the stock that cannot gain profit represents you that day already misdeem stock trend, the proposal goes out in time bureau, deepness is covered prison from intervene that day cannot gain begins.
6, be filled with turn behead of the person that have a deficit: The operation of all gain holds a storehouse to win in the stock turn before having a deficit protect this going out in time bureau, remember Baobendi forever one, give bureau succeed add to value this to wait for a trend to ameliorate at any time accessibility, but arrive from gain small arrive fortunately a prison, you are met compunction unceasingly and be sure to miss the next time opportunity, want the market not to close only, the opportunity has every day.
7, more than caustic person behead: The share that all deficit exceed 4% stops in time caustic, the society stops the beginning that caustic is gain, stop without the society the proposal of caustic exits the stock market instantly, the person that the hostage that bedding bag exceeds 10% always holds in the hand will not say to had seen this is stuck henceforth.
8, cost of filling storehouse booth person behead: Treat deficit to trade, do not try cost of filling storehouse booth forever, this is the source of deficit, because had represented you to misread a trend, want take advantage of an opportunity and be, do not want antagonism trend, the storehouse can be added with higher cost after gain only, already judged pair of trends on behalf of you, add a storehouse to let profit run above iron rule and everybody are shared, I can control a venture only, run deficit, but I am certain should control a venture only, ran deficit, stabilize the issue that gain is success will come when conditions are ripe continuously!
Statement: This content by jump over sound to cast consider offer, do not approbate its to invest a viewpoint on behalf of investment wall bulletin
