Everybody is good, I am dish bird conduct financial transactions hires investment expert especially: Captain.
There is a network rumor last week special fire, fund of water saying the bridge explodes storehouse.
Is bridge water fund what? About it, say a Title casually with respect to deal full:
By the whole world top class investor Daliao founds, ran a few years 50, RMB of administrative financing amount to exceeds 1 trillion yuan, pair of strong fund with the biggest whole world...
Explode is the storehouse what meaning?
Cite a case simply, you take 100 thousand yuan, added 2 times lever to borrow 200 thousand, taking this next 300 thousand go investing. But tasted the price to drop when investment about 33% when, was equal to you to drop all capital fortunately, you explode storehouse.
So, if this thing is true thing, the super big news that can be a resounding whole world really then.
Nevertheless, came out to refute a rumor when edge of king of president of division of China of crossover water fund, masses eating melon also came loose.
But the word says, explode storehouse leave of absence, loss is severe the thing is true.
And so great negative pass on a message can circulate come out, because everybody was given to psych out by this prices,be probably.
1
Market of even if capital has the moving logic of its oneself, but the fuse of this prices, it is this epidemic situation that is ignored painstakingly by foreigners really.
Time is returned on Feburary 3, the A after year trade the first times of open quotation day, suffer epidemic situation effect, type of card index bluff drops on, heavy defeat 7.72% . But after that, grail counts day of Lian Yang, answer quickly go up, prices is quite beautiful.
This and Chinese common people are right country, believing not to have nothing to do to what the country carries is. Since these 9 months, we also saw home is prevented in epidemic situation really the science that accuse, rapid, powerful.
Except Wuhan, countrywide other city already did not have mainland many days to add diagnose case newly continuously; Of Wuhan of epidemic disease area increase diagnose case load newly much also day is maintained be in a digit, also had even " 0 " record.
If do not have accident circumstance, the eye is being looked at can meet spring very quickly.
Did not think of from Feburary the bottom begins, the Euramerican country that there is look on sb's trouble with indifference to do not have the epidemic prevention job oneself to should return a responsibility at all however only before this,
According to national Wei Jian appoint message, global epidemic situation has diffused 159 countries and area.
And at present till, already more than 30 countries entered urgent state, case of illness of diagnose of global accumulative total exceeded 200 thousand, dead case of illness also exceeded 10 thousand.
Terrible is, to country of a lot of wests, "Without collectivistic idea " in at present epidemic situation a very old corrupt practice is in answering.
More terrible is, some countries already " abandon cure " , and do not eliminate to more countries and area join this procession:
Sweden announces epidemic situation external no longer, incorrect doubt is like patient of case of illness, light disease to undertake detecting; England hopes to make more person catch a disease and achieve " masses immunity " ; France also is carried " group immunity " ...
This also is why London goes to Shanghai 180 thousand yuan of a piece airline ticket can the second is smooth, why a lot of those who be in Europe have defend recognizant Chinese, appear a little additional it seems that however kind...
Mount Hua hospital affects division director Professor Zhang Wenhong to say: According to the circumstance fighting epidemic disease of current whole world, this field epidemic situation ends in this summer basic already impossible, cross year of risk or bigger and bigger.
Appear in abroad when epidemic situation hard when pilot situation, the economic atmosphere of whole world can suffer embroil, it is personally in global industry catenary, who also cannot escape by sheer luck.
This, brought huge uncertainty to us. This uncertainty comes from the risk of the input outside the condition not only, also come from the risk of global economic depression.
2
Time come over to say prices.
US stock 4 fusing inside 10 days, among them the oldest odd-numbered days drops a Yuan Chao 2008 the state when financial crisis, chasing after an US stock to see prices resemble in the evening everyday is to chase after beautiful theatrical work to be stimulated euqally...
Although say, be aimed at an US stock to see a fall after a rise is collapse even dish anticipate, we had early, this epidemic situation just quickened its arrival.
But the market when can good, where going to just is a bottom, depend on greatly epidemic situation of this whole world, and the evolve and causes to global economy effect as a result of this epidemic situation.
A? Also follow open this one drops drop endlessly prices, cannot resemble blood is answered quickly in that way at the beginning of Feburary.
This A where is the bottom, unmanned really can say clearly. Next, the course that concussion builds a base is destined so won't fast, may compare the sort of prices when before be close to, sweater war the plot of a play relapses.
Nevertheless a bit everybody wants to make clear, a with the US stock different.
The US stock goes up repeatedly 10 the coming year, and the time that Dow Jones index spent 3 years only goes up to be close to 30000 a little bit from 20000 bits.
And A? Never mention it 3 years, before time spins, index of the card on in those days is 3000 bits two, now still is 3000 bits two.
So, prices of 10 years of immobile and the condition that economy grows not be identical, this kind of lopsided eventually is to want by broken, the slow cattle prices that the captain mentions with everybody for many times can be late but won't disappear, a up the space is very large.
3
Bottom does not know which, but up the space is full of an imagination, the A that this is instantly.
This moment, "Should copy a copy, when to copy a copy " it is the topic that most shareholders can care probably.
Captain first unavoidable common ground uses a piece of picture to respond to everybody:
Neither one person can make sure he is copied in bottom, joining the famous investment master on the world also is such.
For instance Buffett is in on lunar end adds the aviation amounting to the United States that supported 43.5 million dollar, in this month a period of ten days adds the new York that supported 359 million dollar plum grand bank, the result also is to copy was in on half half way up the mountain.
Probably, pay no attention to " copy a copy " itself, just be the marrow that copies a copy.
Buffett also has said: "Copying a copy is impossible. Actually, the price is a kind of game, meet low when be being bought, consider price factor not overly. Consider price factor not overly..
I see now also saying not less accordingly from media " need not too care about the price " , say " I am greedy when other people is scared " , say " already was gold pit at present " , say " each green dish it is the opportunity that add a storehouse " ...
Can copy without the person in bottom, relative value is inferior go, this logic itself does not have a fault, the fault uses a fault in them with respect to the fault opportunity.
Contrary, the captain feels, what at present everybody should do most is " control a storehouse, look to be moved less more, need not be eager to entering the arena " .
If your financing is sufficient much, the enough over and over again that prop up group by group " copy a copy " , and even if drops very miserably finally you also the word of rise superior to, that did not say when me.
But if your capital this not much, or psychology bears if force not very is tall, do not suggest you see really green dish buy.
We take a risk to participate in bottom rich play chess with its, be inferior to waiting for a trend a few more Anacreontic again take advantage of an opportunity and for.
A what trouble does the person majority that money has a deficit in the stock market have? Believe oneself operation too namely.
But actually the ability of our everybody is done not have so powerful, perhaps you have a few to fry skill, but more moment we make money should rely on integral general trends.
Everybody thinks, are when having a fish, you to like to take head of piscine body, fish or piscine remaining part?
Besides " mom loves to have piscine head " , I think great majority person likes body having a fish, because the carapace in end of piscine head, fish is meaty little, taste laborious awkward, the flesh of piscine body is the part with whole the most delicious fish however.
And the prices of the stock market resembles this fish same, concussion builds the process of the bottom to resemble now is piscine head, when the ability when having apparent ascendant tendency is piscine body part.
Most and common shareholder, it is good to have body having a fish. After all piscine body is not short also, to sufficient we " into can attack, retreat can defend " space.
That, when may arrive piscine body part?
Etc appear positive line of a to the limit of one's capacity says again, again successive perhaps 3 days rise also is a positive signal.
Have rise apparently buy again when the trend, although buy the bottom before the price compares a trend wants a bit taller, but we were helped escape on big probability drop drop endlessly risk, and what to calculate really again than rising with slow ox of future.
This time says again " the value is relatively inferior go " , it is more appropriate that I feel.
Good, tell this about copying the thing of the bottom, do you agree with the captain's viewpoint? The welcome leaves a message the idea ~ that shares you
