Civil / " Tsinghua finance is commented on " senior editor Mr Wang Ye
As the enterprise in succession answer of go back to work is produced, chinese manufacturing industry purchased manager index in March (PMI) picks up considerably, again regain dilate interval. Line of business of service of national statistic bureau investigates center, China content shedding and purchase federation to released data to show recently, PMI of Chinese manufacturing industry was in March 52.0% , than going up the month rises index of activity of business affairs of manufacturing industry of blame of 16.3 percent; is 52.3% , than going up the month picks up integrated PMI of 22.7 percent; yields the index is 53.0% , than going up the month picks up 24.1 percent. Think inside course of study, purchased manager index in March relatively rose apparently Feburary, reflect current and most business as go back to work answer advance what produce in order, company production manages the month on circumstance comparing to be improved somewhat, but of PMI pull considerably rise and unexpectedly flavour economy has begun get warm again after a cold spell, PMI whether continuance dilate goes situation, later period goes situation still remain to observe.
Business go back to work answer produce accelerate manufacturing industry PMI to pick up quickly
From the point of data, market supply and demand was improved somewhat in March, the enterprise purchases annulus comparing to increase. Manufacturing index and new order index are respectively 54.1% with 52% , relatively on the month picks up 26.3 are mixed 22.7 percent. Among them, index of new order of manufacturing index prep above 2.1 percent, indication manufacturing industry is produced can restore somewhat. Purchase capacity index for 52.7% , than going up the month picks up 23.4 percent, the enterprise purchases an activity relatively on the month is active.
Center of investigation of line of business of service of national statistic bureau is high statistical division Zhao celebrates river analysis, our country advanced new coronal as a whole in March pneumonic epidemic situation is prevented accuse to develop the job to obtain positive result with economic society, business go back to work answer produce accelerate apparently, china purchases manager index going up the month drops considerably the annulus on base is compared pick up.
Chinese content sheds Wen Tao of information center expert to think, got new hat in Feburary influence of pneumonic epidemic situation, economic progress appears " block a dot up " and " breakpoint " , pressure of be issued to lower levels is increased. Epidemic situation got effective control and go back to work in March answer produce relevant policy result release pull those who moved economy to move to restore a gender to pick up jointly.
Data shows, up to on March 25, the whole nation purchases a manager to survey a company in, large and medium-sized rate of business go back to work is 96.6% , relatively findings rose on Feburary 25 17.7 percent, produce life order to restore steadily.
Another name for Guangdong Province drives negotiable securities chief economist Li Jilin expresses, PMI belongs to annulus to compare index, reflective example enterprise produces management photograph to compare the change in Feburary. After domestic epidemic situation gains initial control, answer of go back to work was produced in March accelerate, macroeconomic photograph is outspread to appearing in Feburary, and 50% it is vicissitude line, because PMI can pick up this in March,arrive 50% above.
Manufacturing industry PMI picks up and do not mean economy already get warm again after a cold spell
PMI index is the quota of go ahead of the rest that economy monitors, 50% divide waterline for vicissitude, PMI prep above 50% when, mirror economic dilate. Manufacturing industry PMI rose March to 50.0% above, whether to represent economic get warm again after a cold spell?
To this, controller of center of investigation of line of business of service of national statistic bureau is in answer when the reporter asks, express, normally the circumstance falls, when PMI successive 3 months above is the same as to change when, ability mirrors the trend sex that economy runs to change. "Economy whether get warm again after a cold spell sees future even a few months purchase manager index whether continuance dilate goes situation, later period goes situation still need to pay close attention to closely. Later period goes situation still need to pay close attention to closely..
"Findings shows, although manufacturing industry PMI picked up considerably in March, but company production management pressure is greater still. " Zhao Qinghe expresses, the enterprise proportion that reflected capital insecurity and market demand inadequacy in March is respectively 41.7% with 52.3% , respectively than going up the month rises 2.6 look from external environment with 4.1 percent; , epidemic situation spreads quickly in the whole world, growth of world economy trade is pounded badly, bring new grim challenge to our country economy. Index of order of new export of our country manufacturing industry and entrance index were respectively in March 46.4% with 48.4% , although annulus comparing picks up somewhat, but be in inferior level.
The bank that start line of business is presiding economist Lu Zheng appoint point out, in example of statistic of manufacturing industry PMI, main investigation target is commonly advocate business Wu income is occupied taller large and medium-sized enterprise, and get this second epidemic situation the small small company with negative bigger effect, the circumstance can not get be reflectived well in investigating data, because this can reflect economic trend to good, still remain to observe.
The State Council develops Zhang Liqun of research center researcher to think, PMI index was in vicissitude line to go up March, do not show economic activity already restored in the round. What should understand current domestic and international economic situation adequately is all-time and austere and complex, height takes epidemic situation seriously to produce the severe impact with 3 big demand to the society, fulfil a series of arrangement deploy of conference of central the Political Bureau in the round, answer of go back to work is produced with expand inside need more close together ground to join rise, ensure Chinese economy bottom picks up impetus gets consolidating ceaselessly with strengthen.
In bank of Chinese the people's livelihood chief researcher Wen Bin looks, next phase still should add strength of greatest outrage and periodic adjusting control, policy of finance, finance, obtain employment should coordinate hair force, get through go back to work answer produce each link to block a dot up, increase capital to ensure strength, cogent reduce cost of hypostatic economy financing, make sure economy continues to improve evidence actively, implementation trend sex improves.
The article edits: Mr Wang Ye
