Tumbledown stock and oil and the gold that develop flourishingly form contrast, this was offerred for bit money rise potentially space, but main area still needs to pick up.
Bit money (BTC) the 3rd week when be about to enter its new halve cycle, be apart from 5 numbers only 550 dollars, but, can this is opposite after all what effect does this week price produce?
Cointelegraph group studied the likelihood is in future is helped inside a few days or block up most substantially the main factor of close money.
This Zhou Chuantong market opens bureau hardship. In remonstrant activity of the United States, donald Telangpu's president is softer to the reaction of Hong Kong to chinese mainland, worry about already panicky stock.
As a result of this kind of uncertainty, avoid risk capital is rebounding. Since May 27, gold rose in price 50 dollars left and right sides, up to when distributing news dispatches, trade the price is 1, 743 dollars, be close to the perch since 2011.
Andelieyasi Andongnuopu Lowes (Andreas Antonopoulos) think, american oil also is in drop, this may make of place add close money collier to be benefited.
Cointelegraph of no less than reports in that way, money shows nearly a few Zhou Lai bit with macroscopical motion " unhook " increase, and the latent capacity of follow gold still exists.
Current data shows, only the 2nd quarter, bit money already brought the redound of nearly 50 ％ .
Redound of bit money quarter. Data sources: Skew
2, double fall difficulty is adjusted pass intoIn all conditions same situation falls, bit money still faces the difficulty that adjusts downward inside time of 3 days.
Self-correcting is one of functions with bit money the mainest network, can ensure the collier maintains drive to participate in trade the ability of test and verify.
Before the place before be like is narrated, bit money is without the Xiong Fu because of it by December 2018 have twice adjust to back end downward.
Bit money breaths out rare rate to reckon a month pursues. Origin: Blockchain.com
Differ with difficulty, ha Xi leads a Zhou Huan to be climbed slow litre, zhou Yida arrives about 9.5 billion Ha Xi. Adjust will be in short-term inside urge this one ascendant climate further.
3, collier undersell decreasesThe halve last month makes BTC income of the collier reduced 50 ％ , but outflow of the capital after incident happening was quickened. Since period of time, the BTC that the collier sells is morer than what they earn.
In 10 days of in the past, this kind of trend has disappeared, poured out of a quantity to also decrease greatly.
Pool of bit money mining pours out of 1 year period chart, origin: CryptoQuan
The apiration that sells BTC asset is reduced as coinstantaneous as customer activity - Hodlers is compared from the capital of bourse evacuate from December 2018 any time since low are much.
In addition, although the price is fluctuant very big, but the bit money supply that there are 60 ％ now is in a year or longer in had not moved. In 5 the middle of a month in the past, the case is really such.
Exiting foreign currency to whether make clear city of investor expectation ox is the topic that analyses group contention currently.
What is Hodlers after all?" Hodlers " , not be word clerical error, this is make a statement newly, unlike " Holders " . "Hodlers " it is to point to: The firm hold of bit money person, having the cordial He Zhongcheng like religion to bit money, no matter how market environment changes (politics of price wave motion, law changes) , they are met sturdy hold bit money, do not sell absolutely piece, they are certain bit money is sure to become the dictate of prospective money world.
Holders is the person that point to general hold or investor, they are bought / the purpose of hold bit money is to get income from inside price difference. Reach certain height when bit currency value or anticipate, or when the price may fall greatly, they can choose to sell the number that gives hold the currency. When bit currency value appears to steep fall quickly, can distinguish very easily piece " what person is Hodlers, what person is Holders " , popularly, when slump in price, "Firm hold person " can choose to continue to be bought, and " general hold person or investor " meeting option usu. in anticipation of or in order to bring about a fall in price leaves.
Because, is Hodlers (firm hold person) exist, they " buy only do not sell " , consequently, as the elapse of time, they hold some bit money measures to be able to increase only, won't decrease, from this the proportion of their hold can increase ceaselessly, become the supply with bit current money monopolist. Nevertheless, at present these " firm hold person " identity information still cannot be tracked, learn.
Last year when December, peng Bo points out, have 1000 about " gigantic whale " (super player, amount of hold bit money is huge) controlling of 40% current medium bit money, these " gigantic whale " the group that make is having the control power with supreme dominate exclusively on bit currency market of the whole world, these " gigantic whale " can operate completely bit currency value. These " gigantic whale " it is true probably " firm hold person " .
4, can turn costly case without futures breachThe bit currency futures of Chicago Commodity Exchange will be in the place that price of closing quotation of distance Zhou Wu is apart from small paragraph one only to open it seems that.
On the market " breach " decrease reduced bit money abrupt up or be down shift to come " fill " opportunity.
Cointelegraph of no less than often points out in that way, apt of BTC / USD makes up for the breach in futures. Two weeks of in the past not exceptional also, the space with the differ size in a few days after opening by fill.
The breach of futures of CME bit currency is 9, 510 dollars. Data sources: TradingView
5, " Stock-to-flow " , exciting hour begins again" Stock-to-flow " it is model of a rate, stock-to-Flow (S2F) rate model is to show available capital or the amount that lay in asset are divided with the amount that produces every year. Stock-to-Flow rate is a main index, because S2F is medium higher target cost reflected asset annual of inflationary occurence rate reduce. Gold is one of capital fund with Stock-to-Flow top rate, rare the first selection that the value that lack makes its become global investor.
Arrive according to the very accurate stock on the history the found person of current price model, in 9, on the core price drop of 500 dollars, the expression of bit money is accorded with completely forecast.
Cointelegraph of no less than reports in that way, produced a hinge on this model on June 1 " red dot " (" red dot " the red that analyses a system to go up into the stock for instance buys signal, here is understandable nod to invest BTC first-rate hour) , this is previous the beginning of already adumbrative bovine city phase.
To the flow of the stock, every bullish phase raises the price an amount level - this, to the high point 2024 the likelihood is achieved 576, 000 dollars or taller.
" Stock-to-flow " the relation with BTC:
Forecast about the price August 2020 also follow bit money halve of area piece award was concerned in May 2020. Halve will reduce individual area piece yielding bit money measure, this should be met push tall the price of this asset. According to chart, can observe the index of bit money S2F after halve predicts to be 55.92, this will make its intrinsic value is close to gold very much. Recently, well-known analyst PlanB also forecasts bit money likelihood to broke through the market prise of 1 trillion dollar 2028, this is forecasted is to be based on Stock-to-Flow rate model.
" Stock-to-flow " explain with the relation of BTC:
With the analogy shows this: If we regard the value of bit money a drunkard, so Stock-to-flow is not his real attendant dog, and more resembling is the route that he takes. Drunkard can loaf about everywhere on the road, can stop sometimes, slip, miss a turning, wait in the cut on the road even; But as a whole, he can come home along the direction of this road. In short, bit money resembles is drunkard, and Stock-to-Flow is the way home.
Statement: This week bit money is serious hotspot analysis is simple belong to " area piece new hotspot " analyse opinion to market susceptibility, reprint please must state " origin - area piece new hotspot (Chengwf.com) " , thank!
---"Area piece sees a drop newly " time of official outgoing message: On June 2 0 when 30 minutes, bit money (BTC) the price at that time is 9538.32 dollars.
Textual: This week bit money has 5 things to be worth to pay close attention to - stock, port and Hodlers(2020/6/1/23)
