As the end of paschal holiday, zhou Er (on April 23) we begin to see exchange rate appears eventually more substantially fluctuant. Euro / the dollar falls to level of 3 weeks of lowest, dollar / lucky Lang Sheng comes to 2 years many top level, button yuan / the dollar falls to 3 months low. Dollar add all rises except all and main money outside yen, yen gets yield and the be a burden on of 112 col obstruction.
Kathy Lien of president of BK asset management is written civil point out, new house sale increases assist to support a dollar accidentally, maintain risk preference, but euro and bay yuan go low, the inflationary data that because investor worries about Australia and German IFO Zhou San,publishs glides the accident. Although heavy goods rises in price, but inflation anticipates Australian consumer to be in all the time drop. Euro area respect, because German Central Bank thinks economy increases a likelihood,lose at anticipating, foreground still is negative.
However, zhou San's biggest event risk will be the monetary policy statement of Canadian Central Bank. Lien is written, although oil price rises, dollar / add still go tall yuan today, because afraid Central Bank may discuss investor,lower interest.
Backdate comes in March, the Central Bank conveyed Canada to be anxious to what economy grows, the uncertainty that points out future increases breath opportunity increases, cause a dollar / add yuan drop to 2 months low. At that time, they worry about customer pay, housing and inflation.
Speed 7 weeks, of retail sale anabiosis and of CPI rise will alleviate the part is anxious. However, this can't change the columbine clique trend of the Central Bank possibly.
Besides monetary policy statement, we still will hear a long Boluoci and assistant president Weierjinsi's speech.
From this month first since, dollar / add yuan hand in in the narrow cut of 1.3290 - 1.3400 all the time cast interval to hand in cast, achieved a breakthrough now. Lien points out, if the improvement of data of near future of desalt of this Central Bank, pay close attention to uncertainty, dollar / add yuan the likelihood rises to 1.35. However, if this Central Bank delivers an upbeat mood, we may see a dollar / increase yuan of rapid fall after a rise to 1.333.
The monetary policy meeting that Zhou San of Japanese Central Bank begins by a definite date two days, japanese economy is behaved not beautiful. Show according to newest report, dweller consumption is added fast put delay, favorable balance of trade closes narrow, confidence drops, line of business of manufacturing industry, service and industrial production are added fast put delay, inflation is in low.
The outside thinks generally, japanese economy is in appeared to contract first quarter. These won't make the Central Bank change monetary policy, but the assessment that they may reduce pair of economy.
Japan and beautiful national capital have motivation to come to an agreement quickly, but this matters to a lot of things, american president Telangpu expressed the dissatisfaction to favorable balance of trade of Japanese a huge sum already publicly. Yen faces risk of be issued to lower levels, but the market is possible also won't make what response to Japanese Central Bank.
