Since 2019, although pily market is bearing to supply enough pressure, but the city after as before many investor are valued. The near future, as cast store undertake continuously, cotton florescence price drops somewhat.
Nevertheless, bull enthusiasm is not decreased, 1909 agreement maintain a warehouse the quantity is maintained in the corresponding period higher level. Below current condition, downstream consumption state has very main effect to prices.
Be based on this, the author is respectively by March and by April, undertake spin industry survey to Jiangsu and Shandong early or late, with period resolve these question.
Say the condition of cloth factory above all. The home spins fabrics market to go up, the part is versed in the factory is mirrorred, decrease compared to the same period 30% , the order of 50% , even big plant appears stay the machine, case that have a holiday. The factory thinks, market big environment is bad it is the biggest reason.
On clothing fabrics market, the situation of each factories is different, because some factories pay attention to control of technical innovation, cost, manage somewhat gain, but it is difficult that some workses appeared, the fraction factory of survey, arrived to stop engine problem with respect to experience.
Additional, when prices is good, weaving factory presses order production more, and when prices is bad, weaving factory can reduce order, turn and strengthen the production of groovy cloth.
Current, be in order to decrease, the position that groovy cloth production increases. The factory with sufficient financing, short-term inside although increase the production of groovy cloth, the works also can bear, and the plant with capital bigger pressure, increase the production of groovy cloth, cause management difficulty probably as a result of the addition of inventory, be immersed in then stop machine or shutout corner.
Fabrics market whole behaves poorer reason, the market analyses as follows: Global economy be issued to lower levels, bring about demand atrophy; Periphery competition ability promotes, each chain has industrial catenary to southeast Asia, India even the condition that Africa changes.
Next, say to catch the circumstance of the factory. Noisy water explosion affects market of whole dye raw material, current, dye price rises considerably, catch cloth quote to go up subsequently tone, downstream production cost raises.
In addition, through two years much pollution is administered, the amount that acquire a plant decreases apparently, main reason is the investment that acquire a plant requirement of cost tall look forward to, production is strict. Theoretic, acquiring a plant is the bottleneck link of whole spin industry, behoove has relatively enough order. But at present, company report, the order that acquire a plant also is not very ideal.
Finally, say the condition of cotton mill. Cotton mill profit is in compress ceaselessly, at present somewhat gain. The circumstance that visits from Shandong looks, gauze price is relatively strong. Additional, the raw material of Shandong most cotton mill and finished product inventory on the low side, warehouse for finished product is put in 20 days of less than. This has a doubt, the life that cloth factory spins a factory with dress, home is very sad, why is the day of cotton mill opposite is have an easy time very much?
Sum up simply, namely: The groovy stock up of cloth factory adjusts with what order produces, make its slow to the extent of slow down in demand of gauze reduce scope at the order of cloth.
However, enter May, the management of cotton mill becomes poor gradually, gauze price drops, the evidence that finished product inventory adds is shown.
The place on put together is narrated, environment of whole of current and downstream industry not beautiful, together with future 3 months are downstream seasonal off-season, short-term inside improve very hard. Will for a long time look, spin garment industry transfers be trend sex to southeast Asia, domestic cotton consumption may be durative drop. Can say, downstream current situation does not support cotton price to rise.
