Multilateral make halt commissariat export, did opportunity come the farmer this year?

As we have learned, vietnam announced intermit recently the exit of all rice, will check themselves with this the supply during epidemic situation is enough. In fact more than Vietnam, still the Si Tan of Russia, Kazakstan, exit that also releases the crop such as wheaten, potato, carrot is banned, saierweiya also halted the export of sunflower seed oil.

From above we can see, there had been more and more states now in succession open crop exports a ban. Why does each congress release such ban?

From the point of time node, one kind when the export ban that this moment releases crop also saw each country furnishs to him country agriculture products is anxious. To the country of the Northern Hemisphere, now already beginning of spring, when this moment should begin spring ploughing to produce just about, but this moment appeared however epidemic situation, and epidemic situation is in each countries already diffuse leaves come, and had not gained more effective control temporarily.

Consult the processing way that our country answers epidemic situation, a very important measure is segregation. The with respect to can serious influence business production after segregation, the normal spring ploughing that also can affect agriculture is produced. We know " season of a year depends on spring " , if this spring is wasted, it is a huge loss to agriculture. Wait like agrochemical especially farming if be not supplied,asset is tasted on, the farmer cannot begin agricultural production normally, criterion from the back the output of regular meeting occurrence produce falls. The fluctuation of price that appears to avoid inadequacy of crop of later period produce to bring about is too big, control export now, increasing reserve of goods and materials to be not broken is the plan of a before last.

It is our country above all what grain crop achieved the history last year is new tall, be in 6.6 trillion tons. Our country is one produces grain big country, can realize autarky completely, besides specific agriculture products, for instance soja, in domestic demand big, but output is little. Autarky of implementation of other agriculture products is basic do not have a problem.

And our country is having food of many entrance exotic nation all the time, because have,be more the demand of high-end crowd, 2 because soja held many entrance amount,be. The soja in all food that the whole nation imports one year was held 80% . So, besides soja, other grain crop is affected ought to not quite.

Because each national capital got bigger impact, all trades and professions got pound now. Our country all the time since it is very big to the demand of soja, because it can make oil not only, still can use the feed that become a pig. And the live pig of our country breeds amount of livestock on hand to measure now on the low side, need to enlarge live pig breed aquatics to measure namely now, can enlarge the demand of soja at that time. So, the demand of soja can want than last year certainly this year taller, also meet naturally to the demand of soja more.

If each country produces suffocate suffocate or crop is reduced, that soja rises in price is to run not know clearly. Of domestic soja growing an area is increasing all the time, but far insufficient still. So the price estimation of soja of second half of the year can rise this year.

Individual opinion, offer reference. Also welcome everybody to express him view.