The high temperature weather since 2019, let some countries erupt drought, argentina causes soybean reduction in production because of agricultural policy, korea brings about commissariat because of severe drought lean...
The Australia conflagration of dynamic of 2019 second half of the year affected stock raising and agriculture badly, let Australia this barn the grain crop data this year glides badly extremely likely.
In Feburary 2020, african Ethiopia pulls alarm of a plague of locusts of noisy know clearly. The desert locust grain production to Aisaierbiya, Egypt, middle east, Pakistan caused more serious damage.
Opened year of whole world new coronal of this unprecedented to erupt of pneumonic epidemic situation greatly 2020 certainly will also can affect global grain crop. The United States and Canada are the main source of global commissariat, grain crop holds global grain total output larger proportion. Current, case of American epidemic situation is quite severe, if America epidemic situation continues to diffuse, will be produced to global agriculture and food safety makes huge impact. U.N. was warned recently, this meeting causes food inflation, a global food crisis is potential on the verge of breaking out.
Up to on March 30 morning at 10 o'clock
Arrive again to Europe from the Asia America, each country government keeps apart measure in executive society, travel with virus of keep within limits, and consumer begins the life goods and materials such as food of panicky sex corner.
Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO) how does Brazil of senior economist A express, this is not to supply a problem, "Epidemic situation caused people to change in the behavior of food safety aspect " , and this may cause global provisionment crisis.
A few traded in the past since day, soja, oaten go tall all the way with the futures commodity price such as wheat.
As the Chicago wheat with fiducial whole world futures price rises this month more than 8% , case Ben Zhoubiao raises American beef trade price to since 2015 top level.
The world is the greatest the Kazakstan Si Tan that flour exports one of nations already prohibited the product exit such as wheat flour, vietnam also suspended new rice exporting a contract.
And our country is the grain import country with main whole world:
Occupy national statistic data to show, our country saves city to have the province dearth of 50% . The province with enough food has a few province such as Heilongjiang, Jilin, Inner Mongolia, Henan only, self-sufficient rate 150%-375% ; And Gansu Province, Ningxia, Jiangsu, Hunan, Sichuan just use quite, self-sufficient rate 102%-107% .
In the meantime, academician of Wu Kongming of academician of assistant dean of Chinese agriculture academy of sciences, Chinese Academy of Engineering predicts, harm of Chinese meadow corrupt noctuid will be more serious this year, after March gradually northerly change flies, will reach northeast area June, enclothe all commissariat then advocate produce a division, cause grain reduction in production.
Wu Kongming expresses, food safety is first class important matter from beginning to end in Chinese development history, it is the cornerstone that steady economy grows. Look from the international situation this year, new coronal is pneumonic epidemic situation causes very big effect to trade of global economy, agriculture, look from angle of plant diseases and insect pests, the calamity such as corrupt noctuid of desert locust, meadow is serious, to the commissariat of Africa, Asia production brings very big impact, constituted menace to global food safety, make global food supply is changed to shortage. China is population big country, cannot import of pure support grain, must make sure very native commissariat is safe.
National level buys price at releasing early rice lowest on Feburary 28, 2020. And early long-grained nonglutinous rice and in late long-grained nonglutinous rice has 0.01 yuan / jin go up. The element such as value of supply and demand of cost of production of integrated consideration grain, market, domestic and international market and industrial development, via approval of the State Council, the early long-grained nonglutinous rice that produced 2020 (third class, similarly hereinafter) , in late long-grained nonglutinous rice and lowest of round-grained nonglutinous rice buy valence to be every 50 kilograms respectively 121 yuan, mix 130 yuan 127 yuan. In farming endowment head look, epidemic situation of the abroad end Feburary does not have too great progress almost, but end on March 27, each country diagnose 445947, add partial country prohibited recently food outlet, it is inevitable that commissariat rises in price.
How much does grain price want finally to go up? Let our wait and see what happens. Grain price rises is benefit more to whole industry catenary good, investment meets the whole such as seed, pesticide, chemical fertilizer to increase relatively, go out Wu labor situation is not Anacreontic, had planted the ground in the home without fail please.
(farming endowment head achieve formerly, reprint ask give chapter and verse for)
