Since the beginning of the year, global synchronism anabiosises end become the topic with new market.
This year first quarter, add besides Indian GDP fast accelerate to compared to the same period 7.56% , the economic dilate pace of mainstream economy system all was not carried fast, the manufacturing industry PMI of various places also has glide.
Europe faces political situation queasy the be a burden on that with the near future a series of heart laws go on strike, japanese economy regain is atrophic, american steel aluminous custom duty is hit press Canada and Mexico, the dollar goes strong to apply the financing that controls rising market country. Wall street information is mentioned before this, the whole world has even from " synchronism anabiosises " change direction " synchronism puts delay " trend.
Nevertheless, accident is, a series of economy data of 5 show last week, american economy was maintained add strong situation, scene is shown in one numerous country.
Although have trade war be anxious, but American economy is basic the surface is solid, appear inside global limits one alone big impetus. The GDP of 2.2% is added first quarter fast, it is the low inside year unexpectedly likely.
Be in successive after two months add blame farming newly to anticipate not as good as, obtain employment market returned to the right path eventually May, add 223 thousand person newly, unemployment rate falls to 18 years low 3.8% .
The data of other United States that Zhou Wu publishs shows, residential build is active, annulus of American build defray was compared in April rise 1.8% , anticipate than the market fully 0.8% taller percent, since achieving 24 years highest add fast. Index of ISM manufacturing industry also is climbed come high 58.7, the median that analyst of same prep above anticipates.
Even if the car sales volume that meeting be thinkinged glides inside year, also prop up in what duty changes to grow with economy below, still maintained good performance. The car sales volume May recorded general, Feiyatekelaisile compared to the same period two digit grow, this Ford, cropland, day is produced, Yue is amounted to case inferior waited for majority of other vehicle look forward to to also be handed over transcend expectant report.
American Atlanta couplet store the newest data June 1 shows GDPNow model, this model is right 2 quarterly GDP of American year change what Ji Huan comparing grows to anticipate, had risen to 4.8% . England " independent newspaper " mention, although Atlanta couplet store anticipate probably on the high side, but the data such as consumption, bldg. and car output shows, american economy is growing with 4% right-and-left speed.
How long can be fast growth maintained? Magendatong CEO Jamie Dimon thinks, the growth momentum of American economy is OK " go down easily continuously " . Dimon last week 5 say, this round outspread likelihood just took American economy to the position of 2/3.
The negative effect of trade war cannot small gaze, but export trade is occupied mediumly in American economy than relatively lesser, the investigation of ISM also shows, american company still was not affected specificly at present temporarily.
Zhou Wu ISM releases the United States in May manufacturing industry index, mention in the report, public figure of carriage appliance trade says, "We present sales volume is exceeded anticipate, also did not see the end of business dilate temporarily. Nevertheless we worry about the custom duty below 301 clauses guidance very much, in emphasize those who search Chinese commodity to replace. In emphasize those who search Chinese commodity to replace..
Export trade is occupied mediumly in American economy than having 12.4% only, and inside global limits, this one proportion exceeds 28% . The data of mark general shows, the battalion of 500 companies receives mark general, about 70% come from American mainland.
Beautiful couplet store added in June breath is already final, cease to be able to be carried likely to adding fast, viewpoint of Gus Faucher of chief economist of CNBC cite PNC says, at present American economy has enough tenacity to defy add breath and other and negative effect.
"I think 3 quarters after this year, we can see the economy of more than 3% grows. " Gus Faucher says to CNBC.
