This world was full of crammer and deceit, the truth just should master in hand of small number of people, most person end gives birth to a likelihood to also do not know the world firstly is after all how. A lot of books about the stock, article and in all sorts of information, was full of false beguiling information euqally, support wears mixed person to cheat and be formed a food chain by deceit. Of course, have the person with a few exalted moral character really, told everybody altruisticly his experience, but we discover pathetically, if we do not have certain arrangement of ideas, these truly useful experience, although we perhaps had seen a lot of alling over, but we can resemble every time like throwing rubbish, the ground throws it at the same time, after waiting to pass ceaseless effort and setback one day, we just discover we took a labyrinthian route. Yes, we went for ages, as a result ability discovery returned start. Suddenly turn one's head, that person wanes to the close in lights however place, this should be the regulation that has designed in life game, the stock market and life are same, turning ceaselessly all the time circle, return start from start, unripe be born not to cease.
The stock market, and similar game, it is a very good place that exercises a person. Here, you can see your real image, it is one side mirror, can illuminate a yourself, it can make your life more mature. If you had understanding hind to the stock market, you encounter problem hind in the life, can come with the stock market corresponding these problems, you can discover the principle is same unexpectedly, all things are actually same, no matter how change, they are same regular.
I am not clear that how someone else takes a fancy to national stock market, my individual looks, the game of Chinese stock market is regular, saying is to take care of average investor, it is to take care of large main force actually, namely the society disengaged capital collects the tool that come back afresh, so major average investor still regards as only come here to play, not too those who take seriously is good, throw body home especially go in, that is more troublesome issue.
Of course, although do not throw body home to the stock market,have a kind of person, have other opportunity, he also can throw another place, this and person are concerned, it is the stock market gave a chance only just. Want to score a success in Chinese stock market, the effort with a lot of more devoted need goes in, if the hope takes bit of money from the stock market anyhow, it is a kind of sluggish performance actually. If throw this energy another industry, what perhaps can accomplish a trade is topmost, but do not eliminate somebody to like the way that this kind of singles fights the stock market alone, do not like the life that interacts with the person, that energy throws the stock market to also be no problem, the stock market also is a kind of industry after all.
The intent that I enter the stock market and very much person are different, although make money,also be my purpose, but what I want to know more is the basic regulation that the stock market runs, as the computer it is to pass 0 logistic concept is combined and come with two 1, I want to know the stock market whether by similar 0 come with 1 combination. If you ask whether I knew now, then I can say only, even if now, I know the stock market is what appearance after all not completely also. I am a part in human game only just, the god that how can the part in game know to design game considers these game regulation.
Mistake 1: Since share price had dropped so much, can it still drop how many?
Once share price drops go down, should continue possibly to drop a lot of, you cannot easily find that ground, hold the shareholder of this kind of thought, absolutely ineludible drop the fate of trend bedding bag.
Mistake 2: Critical view 2: Can share price still rise how many?
This mistake and a mistake are identical, it is the shareholder feels easily " prices " the deep-seated concept be caused by that won't go up to drop greatly greatly.
Mistake 3: I can compensate how many? Share price has 3 dollars only.
Different share has different value, do not think cheap stock nots allow to drop easily. You must think, if your think of a way is right, why can you still have so the stock of low?
Mistake 4: Final, drop all that go will rebound come back.
"It is with RCA company exemple. It once was a very successful company. The share price of RCA rebounds the price time 1929 used 55 years. Can see, it is exorbitant at that time the degree of the price has many tall. Hold in the arms so prison a stock thinks it will rebound to won't do completely to the idea of a certain price eventually. Company of clothing of the Johns Manville company, mobile building company, double knitting that discharge button, floppy disk company- - company of Winchester CD drive, remember these companies, their share price drops after going down, did not rebound forever go back. The share price that does not await these companies rebounds. The share price that does not await these companies rebounds..
Mistake 5: Circumstance how terrible is gotten cannot again bad, I should be bought.
"Mere the circumstance because of the company is very gloomy and the share that buys it. Get when circumstance how terrible cannot again bad when when be being bought namely, be very dangerous.
Mistake 6: Rebound when share price 10 dollars when, I sell piece
"Once you say this word, share price won't rebound forever 10 dollars- - forever won't. " fry the key depends on, you think the price can rise to be bought, can drop to sell, and cannot can pay close attention to specific figure. Such meetings are cloggy oneself analysis.
Mistake 7: Because did not buy the fund of into compensate
Remember, do not want assume sth as a matter of course think the stock that goes up very well was not bought, it is oneself loss, if such coming down, can bring about you choosing when have a kind of pressure, concern is missed. Be like water in fact 3000, I take one gourd ladle only, can look for those to determine undoubted share only, and cannot want to cannot miss an any good shares.
Mistake 8: This is the company with great the next
"Critical view 9 very important. Without giving thought to when, hear when you ' this is next... ' when try to interrupt your thinking not to hear the word from the back rapidly, because the word from the back will be stirring forever. The company with great the next had not succeeded forever. "Allow to await you to next what hear what when, do not manage it is. Do not manage it is..
Mistake 9: Share price rose, my view is right for certain
Card answers before share price rise, also do not continue rise on behalf of future, do not tell prices and forecast viewpoint and ability kidnap to arrive one case.
Clinch a deal the configuration of the quantityOne, shrink quantity
Shrink the quantity is to show the market clinchs a deal delicate, most investor goes to market later period situation very self-identity, the opinion is very unanimous. Have two kinds of cases normally, the first kind of circumstance is investor looks weak hind city, cause a somebody to sell, do not have a person to buy however, shrink quickly so quantity; The 2nd kind of circumstance is the city after investor is valued, only the person is bought, do not have a person to sell however, shrink quickly again so quantity. Shrink the metaphase that the volume happens in the trend commonly, the city after everybody is right goes situation very self-identity, should encounter drop shrink quantity, should go out stoutly bureau, it is certain to wait for a quantity to shrink degree, begin when be being attacked on to the limit of one's capacity, buy again. Same, encounter rise shrink determined average answers when the quantity, hold wait for go up, etc rush on share price lack of power, when huge amount is given off, resell goes out. If pursue,1-5 place is shown.
Graph 1-5 shrinks quantity (Yin Tai resource)
2, to the limit of one's capacity
To the limit of one's capacity happens in the turning point place when turn of happening of tendency of the market commonly, difference of each city after square force is right increases the market gradually: While one part investor visits the town after sky stoutly, the city after another part investor is right however looks stoutly much; A few investor in succession undersell while, another part investor is in however induct with great quantity. If pursue,1-6 place is shown. Nevertheless, the authenticity that tell to the limit of one's capacity to be being measured at shrinking is fluky, because this quantity is complete,can buy oneself by banker sell generation oneself. As investor, want to learn to combine the price with different index and opposite share price to undertake an analysis. Want to analyse the intention that showed main force only, can answer neatly.
Graph 1-6 to the limit of one's capacity
3, dash forward put huge amount
Dash forward put huge amount to be able to happen in any phase, rising in the process dash forward put huge amount to show various force already used almost to use up normally, it is very difficult that city continues to rise after; And drop in the process dash forward the last time that puts huge amount to be empty square force more commonly is released centrally, the possibility that city continues to drop greatly after is very little, of short line rebound to be likely before; If encounter,go against outward appearance is sudden to the limit of one's capacity, when in the market one calls empty sound attack on to the limit of one's capacity, this kind often transitory the prices that has 9 days only, drop quickly instead subsequently, make a lot of attack on to the limit of one's capacity chased after prison of tall investor bedding bag that day, and if be breakthrough some the to the limit of one's capacity of important pattern, often explain configuration holds water, city will originally along configuration after some development trends undertake.
Like what graph 1-7 place shows banner bank group, in a paragraph of period after dropping, receive to grow next hatching, morrow dash forward put huge amount, go up continuously wear 3 all line, clinch a deal then the position that the quantity still holds to the limit of one's capacity, this specification succeeds by share price explore, be about to begin new round go up situation.
Graph 1-7 dash forward put huge amount (banner bank group)
4, gentle to the limit of one's capacity
Gentle to the limit of one's capacity is to point to clinch a deal the quantity lasts in early days low after confusing, appear suddenly similar " hill form " configuration of successive and gentle to the limit of one's capacity. Appear this kind of circumstance makes clear commonly actual strength capital is in intervene, appear in bottom after gentle to the limit of one's capacity, share price can rise along with the quantity, the share price when the quantity shrinks can be adjusted appropriately. Adjust after lasting for some time, of share price rise can accelerate stage by stage. What investor needs to notice is, when share price after the raise on gentle to the limit of one's capacity, its adjust extent to should not be the low under early days of to the limit of one's capacity, because if,be adjusted low the cost region that crossed brunt to build a warehouse, show the market cast pressing still is very big, the possibility that city adjusts after is larger. Clinch a deal the intuitionistic feature that measures gentle enlarge measures what capital nods to present even the route flowing parabola form to rise namely, circuit does not have acuteness inflection point. The rate that change a hand should be in 5 ％ of 3 ％ ～ . The reason of gentle enlarge is as suck prepared continuance, exterior chip is increasingly exiguous, make stock price rises stage by stage thereby, but because be brunt is sucked conciously,prepare, be in so its are sedulous under adjusting control, share price and clinch a deal the level that the quantity is restricted to be in to change blandly, cause the attention of the market in order to prevent.
Graph 1-8 gentle to the limit of one's capacity (Yuan Xingneng source)
The gentle to the limit of one's capacity that those who need an attention is different position is having completely different technology sense, be in among them relatively low a gentle to the limit of one's capacity that after be being measured with chronically, appears just be to have technical sense most. Gentle to the limit of one's capacity is long term likely the p reaper of brunt builds a warehouse behavior, although perhaps be met,be in so later appear one rises prices, but still can walk out of a callback to wash commonly dish go situation.
Clinch a deal the quantity also has pattern, should clinch a deal the quantity builds circular arc base, and when share price also forms circular arc base, the city after often making clear this will appear bigger rise opportunity. No matter how, clinch a deal one of element of a few gist that the quantity just affects the market. The market is an organic whole, investor cannot come to them look apart absolutely, have integration analysis, integrated judgement only, the conclusion that reach just is met more accurate.
Actual combat of cloth forest belt applies graphic:1, buy signal: The course in cloth forest is representing the main moving trend of the market. Break through the strong feature that share price indicates when the trajectory in cloth forest line to begin to appear up below from the trajectory in cloth forest belt when share price. Share price will rise, the proposal meets low buy. Sell a signal namely conversely.
2, sell a signal: The price passes through up on an archives will be formed when trajectory. Enter signal to buy conversely.
3, sell a signal: When line of price edge resistance rises, although was not broken through but begin to turn round. When the price falls along supportive line, although did not drop,defeat but beginning to turn round also is to buy signal.
4, advocate rise billow: Share price horizontal Pan Zhen swings or slow go up, BOLL presents parallel narrow course, share price moves in in course and on between course, some day drops suddenly the course in defeating, but obtain in next course however prop up, after concussion, the course in the breakthrough is being attacked on is touched on near course, encountered pressure to answer look forward to of the course in walking firm, break through up at this moment on course will produce big prices to get probability very big, at this moment classical digging pit starts configuration.
5, arrogant a configuration: Share price horizontal Pan Zhen swings or slow go up, BOLL presents parallel narrow course, share price moves in the course in BOLL to mix on between course, quicken suddenly one of these day, broke through on course, the bag mouth of BOLL (fluctuation course) also present the state that open, the probability that produces prices at this moment is bigger. At this moment classical acceleration rises configuration.
The trend dogs advantage: You won't miss any bigger shift in the market absolutely. Dog target time is longer, trade cost is lower.
The trend dogs defect: Your index cannot differentiate a distinction between bigger profitable shift and profitless shift of fleeting.
The trend dogs the biggest question is, the market always does not have a tendency. Technical index can give you the option of demonstrate direction and opportunity, but its index respect in floating to expecting the price rate is insufficient. Seek the market that demand rises. Demand is to drive the market to appear to rise for a long time continuously the motivation of the trend, trade to get big gain very easily in the trend that rises continuously. Because supply shortage,the market also is met and rise of course, the price that shortage drives picks up often is brief. Your target is not the first obtains accurate forecasting, should make money however and control a venture.
Among them basic idea is to should find a standard to decide when the market becomes have a tendency, enter town along the direction of tendency of the market, end in the trend next or the market is exited when signal is proved to be a mistake. This is a kind of skill that abides by very easily, if you understood ever since concept and constant ground follow can gain many money.
The law that makes money in the market is stanch deficit and scroll profit. However, anticipate theory: From go up at all think average person is very conservative however to profit in the adventure on deficit. Our behavior and I emphasized 20 trade for years criterion is antipodal. The expectation value that learns you is the profit that each risk dollar can make the opportunity with many course, accordingly, the time that you play game is more, expect to be worth with respect to what realize game more likely. Extremely successful forecast also can cause the capital with your total play away even. How to do? You can have an accuracy rate to be of 90% trade method, but you use it to do business to still be met compensate drops all money. Expectation value is negative, this is you trade in the time of 90% successful but final you meet what compensate drops all money to trade however system. We are put in the psychological tendency with intense correct pursuit to investing behavior, this hampered we realize real potential gain.
Remembering expectation value and successful probability is not one and the same, people existence misses the trend of gain to each deal, because this often is succeeded probability is very high enter systematic place to attract. But these systems are very frequent also with loss of a huge sum close together and relevant and bring about negative expectation to be worth. Although your system has very tall expectation value, also still may be out of pocket. If you trade in some,go up risked too big risk and was defeated, so you will earn a capital possibly hard.
Investor is met normally all the time when market shift just enters the market in the begining. You must the probability that land of leave no stone unturned increases triumph. Before raising the method with victorious best probability to be in city namely, the direction that ensures the market is being forecasted according to you is mobile. These " tortoise people " earned a lot of money through doing business to breaking through a dot. If the market had been achieved 20 days new tall, they enter city bull the market; If the market had been achieved 20 days new low, they become short seller into city. The program with another triumph very expensive probability. Trade in its when the market when the top price closing quotation of limits, it is in more the probability of higher-priced open quotation is very high, vice versa. Reliability is 70-80% .
