The person is in actuation when, thinking or will be very confused, do a thing to also be met turn things upside down, did not have art of composition; Or brains becomes a muscle, do a thing to go very easily slant, break break do not come back.
Cite a small case, for instance X basketball is hit well, unmanned in friend circle can enemy, playing a ball game is handy, have rarely when be not being arranged. But one day friends call up Y of another basketball ace to play a ball game together, the X that below basket originally nobody can block is built continuously by Y cap, do X is furious very. At the beginning in X heart random, he what how had not been defeated is very easy flustered, do not know how to just can escape of Y force kill go up smoothly basket, hit so that do not have art of composition more and more, also made Y farther enlarge an advantage of course. Later X with respect to fire, he is not believed on the take by storm below basket basket does not succeed, take a ball to issue take off shoot a basket with respect to basket then, cover a cap or be disturbed by Y every time as a result, cast every time do not go in, can get each to take its disgrace only finally.
Actually OK also so say, the person is in actuation moment, cerebrum is very easy short circuit. Below the control of short circuit cerebra, the thorny issue before cross-eye wants to make seasonable and proper response is impossible almost. We hear such news constantly in the life, somebody beats after the building commits suicide, its friend says him is very quiet at ordinary times, communicate very easily, had not heard he and who has been accumulated complain, do not know he can have the place of what take things too hard even; Or after someone moves a knife to chop a person to commit a crime, saying is never had wanted to want to throw a person before oneself, just also conflict because of bagatelle with the person that is thrown rise. That why can we often hear such news? Spoken parts in an opera because the person is in, is actuation when make a few issues that want to won't think repeatedly at ordinary times easily, caused oneself or pair of harm that are pair of other thereby.
In investment, impulse also is no good. Because you are in actuation when, if cannot restrain oneself, do not issue many wrong sheet, sheet, sheet of this very easily, this smooth sheet is rough, these most can magnify deficit scale or it is to miss profit opportunity, the capital loss that causes from this still wants to be assumed by oneself. Have more very person, after impulse invests, bought share fell, did not stop in time next caustic is even more actuation instead, still produce such state of mind even -- " it drops more I am bought more, father does not believe it to go up not to rise " , the result is all money after be being bought, the stock still is in drop, want loss 1/3 finally even 1/2 above just is chopped come out, it is with his money is impassable really.
Investment is for asset rise in value, we are good in investment market because,the profit that gets not easily often is met temporarily actuation and spit entirely go back, return meeting injury and capital sometimes, get disastrous, equipment finally even to suffer harm.
Fry make money 3 gist dotOne, maintain capital
Stock market risk and accrual become direct ratio, answer to put capital safety in the first place. Buffett of investment Great Master says: Investment stock market the first it is safe; The 2nd safe still; The 3rd it is before remembering well two. Capital is a seed, do not have a seed to cannot sow, cannot harvest more.
On investment market, maintaining capital is more important than making money. Can say, what before the stock invests, should consider first most is how not deficit, maintain capital, consider next how gain. If capital was done not have, that makes money can be theoretic only.
An any wars, want to obtain triumphant Lidoude to rely on actual strength. Actual strength is strong, a stratagem which ensures success big. If will invest battlefield of market assimilate to, so, capital is the actual strength of investor, actual strength is stronger, likely gains also can be jumped over big.
2, comply with the market
Experience shows, him market can say, the market is right forever, always despise the person of market ability, can eat to have a deficit greatly after all.
The stock market is right forever, wrong is us forever, we cannot change the world quite, can change exclusively have ourselves only. We look at the complexion of the stock market obsequious, overcautiously only, ability is in the stock market remain invincible.
On stock market, no matter how is the person forecasted, it is wrong likely, only the market just can give out the rightest answer. For example, before Chinese oil appears on the market, have how many person boasting " ' in oil ' it is an Asia most profitable company " , forecast share price to be able to rise ceaselessly, can result how? The person that perch is bought suffers a prison, final share price drops however defeated release price. Still have, people is valued " the prices before the Olympic Games " , can result how? Appeared of the unprecedented on field of A stock market 10 even shade, 10 short trade day Shanghai points to drop with respect to accumulative total 19.2 ％ , make how many investor acedia to extremely.
Such, more or less once vowed solemnly forecast, analysis, say or state with certainty, be in " the market " before this teacher almost collapse of itself, error is great, injudicious again and again. The reason is in: The stock market is not had formerly " master " , "Master " namely the market; The stock market is not had originally " god " , "God " namely the rule.
3, set stops caustic
Almost all person that fry a success, should make strictly before investment make caustic plan. Want to had arrived at oneself to make good deficit point beforehand only, caustic should stop on the horse, cannot have the least bit and fluky idea.
Stop caustic is a stock the important step that oneself protect in trading, like the brake plant in the car, encounter sudden circumstance to want " brake " , ability ensures safe. Stop the ultimate goal of caustic is to save actual strength, improve capital utilization rate and efficiency, avoid small fault to make a gross error, bring about even be completely annihilated. Stop caustic can avoid to suffer bigger investment risk.
Stop caustic since a kind of concept, also be a plan, it is an operation more. Investor must stop from strategic height understanding caustic invests medium principal port in the stock market, because be in the stock market of high risk, it is to should live above all go down, just talk to go up to develop further, stop action is in the key of caustic to come down at can letting investor live better. Can say, stop caustic is one of the most crucial concepts in stock market investment. Stop caustic plan is to show the investment with be in significant is decision-making before carrying out, must make the plan that is like caustic of far more than accordingly, the it is the most important to stop one step in caustic plan is a basis all sorts of elements (like main technique or fund condition) will decide to stop specificly caustic. Stop caustic operation is to stop caustic plans carry out, if stops caustic plans cannot melt into stops really caustic operation, stop caustic is be an armchair strategist only.
All-purpose all lineAll line, full name is " mobile and mean line " (Moving Average) , english abbreviation is MA, this index is with " average cost concept " for theoretical foundation, use statistical in " mobile and average " principle, the average mark of the share price inside cycle of will proper time or index is in price chart become a curve repeatedly, the case of historical wave motion that uses indication share price or index, the trend of the city after be forecasted with this is moved toward, provide operation basis for investor. Be based on all line index is in trade the applied experience of actual combat, investor need just is faced from the following all line index undertakes grinding sentencing.
The moving trend of share price is divided commonly for accident two cycle. It is to cannot mix between this both apply, long-term all the line can be judged with the share price trend that makes long cycle only, short-term also can serve as reference with the buying and selling of short line only. To solid two cycle have dish of accident in the operation each advantages and disadvantages, cycle is too long the operation that gets short line not easily is direct, the integral trend with periodic too short not easy instead big judgement. All-purpose all the line is accident of give attention to two or morethings two periodic integrated application index, it can give out to operate guidance clearly in any positions of share price.
All-purpose all line namely 20 days all line, its meaning depends on cycle is not very long also not be very short, the trend that can be close to of price of real report be derailed most so, his low bend is meant short-term inside the trend has the sign that improve, share price if can instant stand firm goes up at going up to explain share price future looks, can represent the bear trend on trend pure technology only otherwise. This one all the line is a course long its are in test and verify the metabolic action between share price, can in any moment any positions give out a signal of clear operation buying and selling, this also is " all-purpose " the true meaning that 2 words are in.
In operation of analysis of technology of real time stock, the reference that we have business is a basis share price is the same as all the correlation of the line and decide, and all the line is to represent the average cost of share of average of the investor inside cycle of a time on common sense, as all-purpose all line (20 days all line) cannot ignore more with the close sex between share price. When all-purpose all the line reachs from exalted fall after a rise relatively low hind, on configuration expression is all the line glides from perch from " steep " shape arrives low go smooth gradually, the meaning is the market of place be pregnant with to had had from deficit with the investor cost inside 20 days relatively to gain profit the likelihood of change, at this moment share price drops situation already somewhat slow down perhaps said to get inhibition, stop to drop and begin to rise on real significance when share price, breakthrough of with one action is all-purpose all the suppress of the line is accompanied have clinch a deal when the synchronism of the quantity magnifies, the trend that represents share price had gotten turning round thoroughly, by drop situation turn it is litre of situation. Right now operation point is all-purpose all buy namely near the line nod or share price breakthrough is all-purpose all when the line decisive intervene. (noticing premise must be to want those who clinch a deal to have cooperate, otherwise all-purpose all the line also will lose a sense) hold after buying an operation to end wait for go up, share price rises ceaselessly all-purpose all the line also is followed over move, rise to appear to some pressure zone time when share price make go up case, all-purpose after the line catchs up with subsequently, all begin to make the same score, the metabolic configuration of share price also appears in all-purpose all the situation of transverse concussion on the line, once this kind balances condition to be broken, share price falls subsequently wear all-purpose all line, be considered as first-rate to sell an opportunity right now (attention at this moment clinch a deal the quantity is enlarge put small all insignificant) .
All-purpose all line all-purpose because it is in,be of share price any time and position can accurate make signal to drill. Its operation point depends on wanting only wear on share price all-purpose all line and have clinch a deal measure enlarge cooperate to be thought to buy signal, defeat below share price all-purpose all the line is thought to sell a signal. An integrated cycle is considered as on periodic combination, no matter be long term,invest short perhaps line accordingly all applicable, master and had used this technology to analyse theory especially to spare investor or office worker is having special sense.
All of the line grind sentence a pointOne, all the direction of the line
All the line can represent a trend, trend direction is all the first element of the line. All the line has two kinds of way normally, one kind is up, another kind is to be down. All the direction of the line and historical data are concerned, if all of before the current value of the line is compared one phase all be worth big, so all the direction of the line is up; If all of before the current value of the line is compared one phase all be worth small, so all the direction of the line is down. In the center long-term all when the line moves up, in expressing, long-term trend above goes up prices is given priority to, the share price that appears here drops is short-term callback normally; In the center long-term all when the line moves downward, in expressing, long-term trend drops below prices is given priority to, the share price that appears here rises is short-term normally rebound.
That is to say, all of the line tilt the big current that direction and share price run is photograph be identical, namely short-term all line direction up, criterion share price is short-term be in or be about to enter rise trend; Short-term downward, criterion share price is short-term be in or be about to enter downtrend, if plan institute is shown.
Plan institute is shown, china can 5 days of international all line, 10 days all the line mixes 20 days all the line appeared in March 2015 abduct head up go situation, and line of share price K is located in all the time all line upper part, this adumbrative share price will be in in short-term appear one rises situation.
2, all the relative position of line and K line
K line is located in all the upper part of the line, express share price prep above all the cost maintaining a warehouse of the most investor inside line correspondence cycle, it is easy to also mean share price to rise to be compared relatively; Conversely, it is easier to drop.
If plan institute is shown, after Huang Shan travels to walk out of concussion interval from March 8, 2015, line of share price K is located in all the time all the upper part of the line, and all line direction up, mean share price to will rise continuously situation. During, share price ever a few times the callback comes all near the line, but all because get all of the line prop up and rise afresh.
Apply all K line and all when the line judges share price to run a current relative to positional relation, need pays close attention to mainly all the direction of the line, namely all line direction up, and upper part of line of price Yu Jun, demonstrative share price is in rise in the trend; All line direction is down, and lower part of line of price Yu Jun, explain share price is in drop trend.
3, all the inflection point of the line
All the inflection point of the line is to point to from beginning to end is ordered in this, all the moving direction of the line produced adverse change. In becoming long-term all after the line moved for a long time up, share price innovates again feebly tall and give now to drop, all the line also moves subsequently, formed a wave crest then, this kind of inflection point is adumbrative original ascendant current may transform for downtrend. In becoming long-term all after the line moved for a long time downward, share price can no more innovate low and appear rise, all the line also moves subsequently, formed a trough then, this kind of inflection point is adumbrative original downtrend may transform it is ascendant trend. In long-term all the inflection point of the line has higher referenced value, can make investor grasps the optimal opportunity of stockjobbing effectively. And short-term all the inflection point of the line is more, reliability is relatively inferior also.
Will see the case of overhead profit crankshaft below, if plan institute is shown.
If plan institute is shown, from September 2015 the middle ten days of a month begins, 30 days of overhead profit crankshaft all the line begins abduct head to move up, and share price moves at 30 days all line upper part, this explains share price is in benign ascendant interval. On January 4, 2016, overhead profit crankshaft jumps to drop for nothing and receive line of a big negative, 30 days all the line also drops subsequently, inflection point appears. This is the signal that prices reverses, before rise prices evolves in next likelihoods to drop prices.
Flood dragon dragon goes to sea, say one this world defeats multi-line again, it is to show one unplugs the ground and the big positive line that have is broken through continuously up short-term, metaphase and long-term all line, closing quotation price is located in these all over the line, if plan institute is shown. Flood dragon dragon goes to sea, be one kind go up apparently attack signal, metaphor share price is long like lie the flood dragon dragon in the sea, abrupt rise high into the air and case, fly towering.
Investor is in go to sea according to flood dragon dragon when configuration undertakes operating, should notice the following.
(1) flood dragon dragon goes to sea configuration goes out to drop now commonly evening or low price interval, early days share price goes situation for the horizontal stroke dish arrange or small concussion.
(2) flood dragon dragon goes to sea express to be attacked on abrupt hair force with all possible means, it is strong bullish signal, investor is unfavorable continue to look empty.
(3) flood dragon dragon goes to sea after configuration appears, radical investor is OK and bold follow-up, and dovish investor can observe a few days again, when share price stand firm all on the line when again average is not late.
(4) the substance of big positive line is longer, closing quotation price is apart from all the position of the line is higher, bullish signal is stronger.
(5) forming flood dragon dragon to go to sea configuration while should have clinch a deal the to the limit of one's capacity of the quantity cooperates, if clinch a deal,the quantity magnifies without synchronism, criterion the reliability of signal will be a few poorer.
(6) flood dragon dragon goes to sea when forming, all the line may be bull is arranged, also may be nominal is arranged, also form golden fork likely.
(7) on week K line or attempt of lunar K line dragon of occurrence flood dragon goes to sea configuration of this kind of technology, bullish signal is more strong, investor can weigh a storehouse to be bought.
If plan institute is shown, june 2011, amount to in ST (600074) dish of entire level that is in level sex bottom. On June 22, 2011, this to the limit of one's capacity rises, share price breaks through 5 days continuously, 10 days mix 20 days all line, receive line of this world of smooth foot of a bareheaded. See this kind of case, radical investor is OK and right amount buy, dovish investor can observe a few days again, await share price come to a stop all intervene again after the line.
It is above all 5 days all line gold is forked 20 all the line begins, at this moment 20 all line by drop abduct head up. Through the callback appearing of period of time after rising, 5 days all line by checkmate, share price is in 20 all the line stops drop, right now 5 days all the line is down bend to become up abduct head, share price stands on 5 days again all line share price begins to rise again.
The essence of 5.2 law is take advantage of an opportunity and for, the beginning of prices of a short line in balancing city is sure stand effectively on 5 days of lines to begin with stock or exponential value, and defeat 5 days of lines to be with dropping effectively terminative; And the beginning of prices of a central line is sure stand effectively on 20 days of lines to begin with stock or exponential value, and defeat 20 days of lines to be with dropping effectively terminative.
The technology wants a place
1, 20 days all line as share price lifeline, must appear on raise trend
20 all the line is a trend commonly rely on a line, when 20 all line up share price is to be in ascendant trend commonly, when 20 all line by become up downward, with respect to the delegate the trend begins a turn.
2, 5 days all the line stands by 20 days gradually downward all line, but two lines do not intersect
5 days all line and 20 all the line does not intersect, share price of the first specification did not drop broken 20 all line, the 2nd specification 20 all the rate of the line is rapidder, prop up stronger, 5 days all the abduct head of the line is not affected 20 all the speed of the line.
3, share price is in drop all near the line when clinch a deal quantity relatively early days rises apparent decrescent
Price falls the quantity decreases demonstrative brunt to did not go, brunt drops without the plan broken 20 all line. Stand again when share price so on 5 all line specification drops is one is washed merely dish.
4, should notice 5 days all line and 20 days all the line begins from golden fork at present 5 days all line to 20 all frequency of line abduct head (unique skill)
This is a core of 520 war doctrine, why to want to pay close attention to 5 days all line to 20 all the frequency of head of the abduct after the line draws close? This and wave theory are concerned, what we should do is best be 5 days all line 20 all line from the first time after agglutinate diverge draw close, draw close for the first time successful rate is top, the 2nd times successful rate was reduced, the 3rd lower, have a risk possibly still.
It is the 5 billow in wave theory rise substantially, those who do is 2 billow the prices after 4 billow callback, among them 2 billow hold the biggest, because of 3 billow go up the the longest, fastest. And of 5 billow go up grow without 3 billow commonly, still have do not innovate high risk; Explain wave was lengthened the 3rd times, the time of this kind of circumstance happening is less, already had better not do 3 times before probability so.
Optimal buy a place
1, radical model investor, can adjust at share price to 20 days all line that day, decisive intervene, short line of try to gain rebounds
This kind must notice 20 all the speed of the line, can adjust in share price when rate is rapid to 20 all when the line decisive receive, if speed still chooses slower,the 2nd kind trades means is relatively safe.
2, dovish model investor, can be in 20 days at share price all the line stops apparently the share price after dropping begins to rebound to stand again on 5 all the line intervenes at this moment
Magical all the golden triangle configuration of the lineA. Nominal arranges: Long-term all the line is in on, metaphase inter, short-term subjacent, all the nominal of the line arranges delegate share price to be in drop in prices, its did not end. (wait-and-see)
B. Valence holds in the palm form: Arrange by initial nominal, to, short gold fork is medium, short golden fork is long, medium golden fork is long, form close triangle, those who represent share price drop situation of short duration comes to an end, have stop drop the likelihood with firm look forward to. (operation period)
C. Bull arranges: Valence is held in the palm after forming, short-term all the line is in on, metaphase inter, long-term subjacent, form all the bull of the line is arranged, express one round new to rise prices begins formally. (affirm signal)
Magical all the price of the line holds in the palm prop up and buy a place
(1) valence asks the band that prop up: Valence is held in the palm after appearing, form close golden three-cornered low arrives to be nodded high is the golden triangle belt that prop up, make hold radiation in the palm again; Support action to arriving since callback of prospective share price. Share price is held in the palm in valence move over the belt that prop up hold, shrink the quantity answers tread out to see configuration of bottom K line can consider to add a storehouse now.
(2) valence holds in the palm buy a place:
A. The first buy a place: After golden triangle appears, shrink the quantity answers the belt of triangle stepping on gold that prop up, build bottom warehouse.
B. The 2nd buy a place: Breakthrough of to the limit of one's capacity rebounds the first times to be nodded high or platform pressure, add a storehouse.
Through all the line chooses a law to single out often appear very easily to go up greatly even harden, for instance Lu Xi is changed labour, also be successful swell reaped 29 profit of the dot, so does such stock still have? It is to return some for certain, but if you do not know the logic of backside, also can let you gain profit temporarily only, and cannot long gain, we come to this see Lu Xi chemical industry:
Lu Xi chemical industry is one can grow but short big ox, early days prices did not say, subsequently this drop time walking also is the opportunity adding a storehouse that pointed out this configuration clearly.
And all the ox that the line chooses a law to single out can be found everywhere, the stock that short line goes up greatly, the constant force share that for instance near future choosing comes out so far go up also was to exceed 18% , if pursue:
Graphical feature: (1)5 day all the line mixes 10 days all group becomes short route system. (2)60 day all the line affirms long term trend.
Market sense:
(1)5 day, 10 days all the line shows share price is short-term trend. As share price little scope fluctuates, 5 days, the line can produce gold across ceaselessly or 10 days all die across. Among them individual gold across has bottom sense, individual death across has coping sense. And the midway condition that many across can be share price change only. That death across that perhaps has coping sense to find out that gold across that has bottom sense among them, need introduces a delegate 60 days of medium, long-term trend all line.
(60 days when 2) represents medium, long-term trend all line change is slow, when be being used alone, very hard sensitive land catchs the bottom of share price and head.
(3) becomes 5 days, 10 days all line gold across up when, already had profit on behalf of the buys on average person inside 10 days, can attract short line guest to enter town so. If right now 60 days of mean lines are under this gold across, delegate right now 60 days of people that buy on average have profit each, can attract right now medium, long term the guest enters town, go up to share price conduce so action, conversely conduce drops action.
Operation method:
(Mean line is 1)5 day price a week price is average line, trend of wave motion of short line of share price of reaction of can sensitive land, suit short line operation.
(Mean line is 2)10 day price two weeks of prices are average line, short line share price is fluctuant in can more acute reaction trend, in suiting, short line is operated.
(Mean line is 3)60 day price one season price is average line, steadily reaction share price is long term and fluctuant trend, suit long term operation.
(4) for give attention to two or morethings 10 days of 5 day, short-term values all the sensitivity of the line and 60 days of long-term prices all the stability of the line, join them short, long union all route system.
(5)5 day, 10 days all the directional gold of the line is forked up, right now if 60 days all line also can direction up, aid go up.
(6)5 day, 10 days all the directional dead fork of the line is down, right now if 60 days all line also can direction is down, aid drop.
The principle is very simple, can be in in the price and quantity upper part of 5 days of lines when average is entered, can be in in the price and quantity when falling, 5 days of lines sell piece
Be pregnant does the short line, friend that becomes wave band happily to may emphasize attention this method, although say the line is lifeline 30 days normally, but 5 days of direct imports with also have very important in short-term operation, make us informal search all the time stock, the lake that is overlooked to I hope by Miss Dong a few days ago for instance establishs share (600619) , with do 5 days of lines to make wave band, can arrive to earn firmly almost not compensate, will let us look below a few pieces of graphs.
The time that buys nods:
When operate, set 5 days of lines only inside day K graph, measuring 5 days also can be installed only on column, later daily stare at dish, can be in in the price and quantity upper part of 5 days of lines when, buy and all the time hold, let us see this piece of picture below. This is a share that I seek casually, everybody can see the prices after be being bought.
Sell a time the site
In K line complete under 5 days of lines, and measure can column is complete under 5 days of lines when the choice checks inventory sell piece. The sea in pursueing as follows establishs share to be in in the June 27 closing quotation price this year 11 money, check inventory at that time sell piece, hind city as expected the hand goes what a concussion drops to go situation, also pursue without K line among and measure can column at the same time prep above the circumstance of 5 days of lines. This on July 17 when received line of a big negative, closing quotation price is in 9.32 yuan, according to this system the operation avoided every hand loss near the result of 170 money.
It is accidental state, let us see the sea establish share to end today's take situation picture.
Besides, what everybody should notice is, although this is not accidental, still should note 3 respects, the spot of your buying and selling that this can make is more precise. Let us look.
This treats form with respect to need, what the value that adds 5 days of lines and K line differs is very far, that undertakes decreasing a storehouse with respect to need, be the operation that check inventory even. Such situation often says the perch that is share price commonly, upper part still has a pressure, cannot break through up. This is moment undersell, perhaps checking inventory is right choice. Conversely, in K line with 5 days first mutual agglutinate when can add a storehouse appropriately.
In the meantime, when using this kind of method, everybody needs observation good from rate, namely BIAS, it is to pass the difference per cent between computational market index or closing quotation price and some mobile and mean line, in order to reflect the index of the price inside certain period and degree of its MA deviate, if apply 5 days all if line law undertakes operating, if good from rate achieve 20, each shareholder friend was about to take care, this explains share price of this paragraph of time is to go strong, but a bit unusual. This moment needs careful operation, decrease a storehouse, perhaps have the operation that check inventory.
