One, market reviewing
The mouth did not have the market anticipation to gentle of Sino-US trade war and American president Telangpu recently the critical beautiful couplet of block store monetary policy lets a dollar go weak, index of dollar of Zhou Er evening is to drop more more than 0.50% , hind situation 95 integer close all possible by be dropped to defeat further. Gold exceeds from early days drop go rebound in situation, international gold price already rebounded from the 1160 dollars of the low inside year to 1200 dollars col around, international silver-colored price rebounds the force is a bit a bit weaker, but also approach 15 dollars integer to close.
Lung-power of frequency of Chinese people silver-colored line frequency holds out a RMB, exchange rate of RMB of close a week already was nodded high from early days 6.95 around return the lower part of 6.85, the RMB appreciates of certain level strong touched inside dish of golden price turn over bounce to spend, zhou San is early, gold TD is handed in cast at 264 yuan of upper part, silver TD is handed in cast at 3500 yuan of upper part, still wear in continuance rebounding posture.
2, main area analysis
As a result of this Zhou Sanmei couplet store will announce conference summary and Zhou Wubao Weir general speaks on the annual meeting of global Central Bank in Jackson · Huo Er, the market is right beautiful couplet store attention is spent rise somewhat, unexpectedly Zhou Yimei country presidential Telangpu once more " grab lens " , the critical beautiful couplet that the mouth does not have block store say: The beautiful couplet that to Bao Wei Er leader issues store add breath " do not feel excited " , beautiful couplet store ought to do more to help him carry brace up economy. Basis " confederative reserve act " beautiful couplet store have the power that does not get interveningly independence to make monetary policy, but presidential Telangpu shows to tightening up monetary policy resents again, more or less to cause an effect to the market, also increased beautiful couplet at the same time store the pressure that increases breath place to be faced with further, the dissatisfaction that respect of the White House communicates pair of strong dollars lets dollar index this Zhou Lianxu fall after a rise, till at present the United States shows the posture of the callback has not end, defeat 95 psychology integer to close as follows, criterion the extent of the callback is increased, the support that rebounds to gold also will last.
In addition the Sino-US trade that the focus that this week market pays close attention to another times begins today namely negotiates restart, basis " wall street daily " message, on August 22 - Wang Shouwen of undersecretary of Department of Commerce of 23 days of China will hold class of deputy ministry of problem of Sino-US classics trade to consult with Paasche of Ma Er of undersecretary of American Ministry of finance, from the point of the opinion on public affairs of Chinese government, this China has make the sincerity that yields with alleviating Sino-US trade conflict upgrades certainly. According to the report of Peng rich company, chinese Ministry of Foreign Affairs reiterates: "Wish to settle the trade dispute with the United States through friendly negotiation, dynast diplomacy is the crucial factor in relation of Sino-US two countries all the time, the hope continues to develop its the action in bilateral relationship " . The in seeing not hard square sincerity in the manner from the Ministry of Foreign Affairs and strive create the effort of friendly atmosphere in talk of Sino-US November head, as a result of,do not pass Sino-US between on economic actual strength not quits, at present Telanpu manner still relatively strong, still be in press to negotiate to be applied further, like still censuring China and European Union at the same time, operating money.
Chinese Central Bank makes known his position truly in Zhou Erming: RMB exchange rate is decided by market supply and demand, china won't be done to RMB exchange rate emulative devalue, also won't come to RMB exchange rate answer the tool that ministry of trade friction substandard disturbs as the tool. Can unscramble be is to be commerce negotiation to create atmosphere on one hand, also be to alleviate this money devalues on the other hand the pressure of stock market be issued to lower levels. Can cast short-term wife the trend that civilian money devalues continuously pauses, short line is adjusted (appreciate) probability is rising, this internally dish the it is certain to turn over spring line to will have dilute of golden price.
3, technical area analysis and operation proposal
Go from what gold TD4 hour pursues in light of situation, in 261.5 around arrange continuously after forming short-term bottom, spread out rebound, already broke through the course in cloth forest belt at present, MACD index already also went up namely at Zhou Yi wear 0 axes, but at present golden price has rebounded to 265 yuan around, the place is the changeover of the obstruction that prop up with main earlier stage, short-term inside if the major interest without golden price is good,still break through hard temporarily, the proposal awaits a callback to come enter afresh again near the course in cloth forest belt buy.
Short line is politic:
Gold T+D: 263 around buy, stop caustic 261, the target looks to 266
Silver T+D: Rebound weak force, continue wait-and-see.
(offer reference only)
4, important information reminds inside day
