The sources of energy
Crude oil - American WTI crude oil ends last week 7 drop repeatedly, close tall 33 cent, the crude oil before closing quotation is shown go up situation, basically be to be answered the influence that fill by nominal.
Last week arrange of 5 international the sources of energy (IEA) expresses, oil price may go low further, rebound to still need time, although more and more evidence show,supply growth to put delay as North America, the trend of this be issued to lower levels of oil price will end, time may be in this year second half of the year. Oil price is in 6 months had tumbled greatly in the past nearly 60% , WTI of price of two old crude mixes international Bulunte crude price falls to 50 dollars at present / bucket lower part, because be in global economy growth is low below confused condition, the light qualitative high grade crude with Canada supplied the United States to had exceeded market demand level. Although oil price drops greatly, but the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) holds to not reduction of output. Arrange of international the sources of energy (IEA) still says inferior oil price will begin crop of keep within limits finally to carry brace up demand.
Arrange of international the sources of energy (IEA) is reporting the growth of daily crude output of Canada and United States anticipates the lieutenant general to reduce 95 thousand pails to mix 80 thousand pails respectively this year, colombia and Russia reduce 175 thousand pails to mix 30 thousand pails respectively. This orgnaization still says, the crude oil of North America area supplies speed of growth rein in and do not have faster, because a lot of petroliferous business had been been it seems that,be on guard short-term price drops had done to rushing.
The 2nd old crude oil consumes the whole world country -- Chinese economy shows fatigued and weak sign, know exactly about sth decreases according to showing bank room is borrowed and foreign investment invests amplitude to fall directly to two years of low hind, chinese Central Bank announces new measure will support economy.
Last week office of information of news of energy of 3 United States (the data that EIA) publishs shows, when Zhou Meiguo amplitude of crude oil inventory exceeded greatly on January 9 anticipate, because crop is swift and violent,growth continues to swarm into the market. In the meantime, finished product oily inventory also increases. Increased 5.4 million pails when inventory of crude oil of week United States on January 9, the analyst anticipates increase 417 thousand pails. Benzine inventory increases 3.2 million pails, the analyst anticipates increase 3.5 million pails. Include derv and warm oneself to increase 2.9 million pails with oily refined oil inventory, the analyst anticipates increase 2.1 million pails.
Natural gas - price of 5 natural gas drops last week 1% , because anticipate weather is relatively mild and future puts delay two weeks to central heating demand. Nevertheless, close when price of week natural gas tall nearly 6% , drop repeatedly before this 7 weeks.
Last week office of information of news of energy of 4 United States (the data that EIA) publishs shows, up to became on January 9, natural gas inventory reduces 236 billion cubic metre foot, exceed an analyst to anticipate reductive far 224 billion cubic metre foot, achieve what came in Feburary from last year the biggest odd week drops, prep above last week reductive 131 billion cubic metre foot, the 190 billion cubic metre that all is worth 5 years foot. Nevertheless under last year reductive of the corresponding period 268 billion cubic metre foot.
Foreign currency
Dollar of foreign currency – and euro lost territory of man of 5 add luck is young last week recover, this before today accident of Swiss Central Bank cancels lucky man upper limit to jar the market, and dollar add euro suffers Europe Central Bank comfortable anticipate drive, refresh is nodded high 11 years.
Collection of man of luck of 4 euro add must record the oldest odd-numbered days to drop last week, drop more than 18% , because Swiss Central Bank cancels 3 years to come euro / lucky man the acceptance of 1.2 floor level, the stock market also steeps fall because of the Swiss economy that is anxious to depend on exit badly. Still be in several days ago, official of Swiss Central Bank still uses what carried out when euro region crisis 2011 at beat back to connect the lucky man that shrink and ebbs to collect the milepost that leads 1.2 floor level to make policy. Manner of Swiss Central Bank turns 360 degrees, drive euro of lucky man add to be after the message for a time violent wind goes up 30% . In a week before resolution of interest rate of Europe Central Bank, swiss Central Bank takes action, increased the market to be adopted soon to Ou Yang large-scale quantify comfortable so that Swiss Central Bank may bear hard,percussive guesses. Abolishing lucky man upper limit while, swiss Central Bank tries to carry the cash saving interest rate that reduces commercial bank and bank of centrally of other finance orgnaization 50 base point come - 0.75% , will hit the new fund that controls man of flow direction luck, last month Swiss Central Bank from 20 centuries policy of negative interest rate is adopted first since 70 time.
Last week 3, american retail sale glides considerably accidentally dozen press yield of American national debt to go quickly low, dollar overall is answered remove. Data of American Department of Commerce shows, month of retail in December sale leads the United States glide 0.9% , since be 11 months the biggest drop, the value is before rise 0.4% , anticipate to glide 0.1% , exciting investor undertakes accrual to partial dollar bull finish. Nevertheless, because obtain employment market is improved, gas price glides, the market anticipates the sale will appear in January pick up, will drop in December also get hopeful correction. Nevertheless, disappointing data raised beautiful couplet store the likelihood defers the possibility that increases breath time point first, at present major analyst thinks beautiful couplet store increased the likelihood in June this year breath.
Index
Stock market of exponential – United States last week 5 rebound, because evidence shows American economy is in dovish anabiosis on orbit, consumer confidence index rises to 11 years of perch, in the meantime, add dollar reachs euro to glide further, accident of Central Bank of the Switzerland before this abolishs upper limit of lucky man exchange rate. Swiss stock market weighs defeat, because the market worries about strong luck man,meeting injury reachs the Swiss economy that depends on exit.
Stock market of 5 whole worlds rebounds last week, before American stock market ends this 5 drop repeatedly; European stock market also go up raise, because anticipate Europe,the Central Bank can roll out further stimulative step. The increase sharply when closing quotation of American stock market, 3 big point to rise even more 1% , can say in order to be long after classics is depressive rebound.
The United States in December consumer price index (CPI) collection must come 6 years the biggest drop, core CPI keeps balance, make probably beautiful couplet store adding on breath more careful. Data shows, CPI month will lead the United States in December drop 0.4% , record since December 2008 the biggest drop, will glide in November 0.3% ; CPI annual rate will rise in December 0.8% , for since October 2009 lowermost level, relatively the amplitude photograph of 1.3% is not less than decelerate in November. Beautiful couplet store the official thinks, because oil price drops,bringing about inflation to glide will be temporary, strong dollar is alleviating inflation goes up pressure, this may make beautiful couplet store the official feels some are unwell. However, last week 5 additionally data shows, american economy is growing strong, although inflation is moderate, the factory will yield in December rise, and consumer confidence index touched in January 11 years of perch. The nearly 0 standards that begin from December 2008 in the decision begin to add during ceasing, beautiful couplet store the signal that the official will need to guide these mutual conflict. Although labour market and economy go strong ceaselessly, inflation won't achieve beautiful couplet very quickly it seems that store the of 2% target standard that establish. Actually, a few economist think, inflation may be immersed in the United States first this year the interval that lose a value, just may rebound next. However, of core inflation fatigued and weak, and global economy foreground is bleak, the likelihood makes more beautiful couplet store feel disturbed.
Commodity
Commodity – gold comes 5 litres last week 4 months are exalted, when rise 4.5% , record so that the biggest odd week goes up since August 2013, because accident of Swiss Central Bank abandons upper limit of lucky man exchange rate, the market is acuteness and fluctuant, investor is sought avoid danger.
Gold already from 2008 financial crisis is benefited in the fluidity of Central Bank infuse later, but more monetary stimulation measure aid euro region however went up strong dollar, hit conversely control gold price. Coffee last week 5 successive the 2nd day considerably be issued to lower levels, because forecast is the biggest,cultivate the rainfall that Brazil will greet the country to be badly in need of, stimulated sequel to sell dish. Cocoa also continues drop situation, because the treatment data of Europe and North America is exhausted weak. Raw sugar continuance goes up situation, touch turn after 5 weeks of perch drop, because of technical buy dish dried up.
Cocoa glides in weak market, abrade data records the North America before this two years to come to first degrees drop, allusive chocolate rises in price to had begun to make the demand that consumer reduces pair of this one sweetmeat. The abrade data that the Europe before this publishs also not beautiful. Raw sugar price turns to drop, before this early dish before period of time continues one day go up, yinbaxileiyaer is strong, reduced its to be opposite of the raw sugar with dollar valuation carry brace up and the market undertakes selling going out.
