Chinese city changes a process to had been finished actually. Someone says Chinese city changes a process to just have 58% , reach a developed country the difference that 75% still have 15% , future will have 100 million farmer go into town. Will tell from this, the demand of estate is huge. However, be really such? The expert is after all " bricky home " , statistical number is exterior phenomenon only, he is statistic only population word, however oversight population structure this one important data. If we this occupies a population structure considering, with respect to meeting discovery, chinese city changes a process to had been finished. Contrary, rural depression, sex of agricultural population structure is short of breaking is prospective 10-20 year the problem with the food most serious safety that menace goes to China.
Change from Chinese town in light of, those who enter a town is 70-90 time is medium young, and the old people that those who stay in the country is 50-60 time, this is the fact that nots allow to ignore. As a result of the 4-2-1 construction that family planning place produces, the proportion that these people hold population construction is the largest, near 40% . Although, look from the number, chinese rural population has 560 million, but if consider these people,occupy rural population 80% , have 4.5-4.6 near 100 million people, as a result of the characteristic of structure of Chinese agriculture industry, actually these people had not entered urban likelihood, the purchasing power that although enter,also does not have house property to the city (the house price of a county has been fried 10 thousand) . And the problem as a result of the age, these old people because body problem, can exit the group of work population gradually. Such countries are facing the grim situation of barren of land put down, as a result of,more main is these " bricky home " the city of clamour changes a course, make the city changes development without foreword, statistic passes someone the house that China builds is already enough 4 billion person lives, be a city change development without foreword, took up overmuch fertile land, red line of 1.8 billion mus of land has been broken through. As a result of the characteristic of special mountainous little Campagna of China, do not suit large-scale agriculture to develop. Agricultural crisis of China, food safety is already special and austere. From the point of the data of Chinese statistic bureau, the crop of summer grain crops this year is reduced 4.3% can know, food safety problem of China is already special and serious.
Another problem, the mortality of the population that is China is exceeding human fertility, be in namely 2019 - Chinese conference appeared 2021 NPG. And as a result of family planning, the proportion of old people mouth of 50-60 time is the largest, the marriage that Chinese city changes a process to give China kid is borne with enormous pressure. The Chinese's first time bears the age to move after year after year is backward, marry rate year after year is reduced, china cannot have avoided population bluff in fact appear. Population can be in 2022-2030 year appear huge drop. Predict to 2050 actual population of China will be less than 800 million person only. Although the country is encouraged,bear, although,the housing that but bear place of a child more,produces, education and obtain employment cost had been national subsidy also hard the economic cost wide gap of fill and level up. The country need not let bear, cannot force a youth to bear however.
Now, the house has become the heat of people topic, but, house problem is the exterior problem of economic problem only, the problem that population and food safety problem compare a house far is serious. What the house can live is a few poorer, even a few people can leave a city to return a country. But, the person that 80-90 time is born does not know till the land, had received very hard on the craft of the farm of generation person. Food crisis of China appears already inevitable. What population problem comes than the problem of the house far is serious, if China did not come poor leave the ghost town that lives without the person only, that ability is most dread affection.
