Recently, south Africa was brewing medium land reform causing the attention of 10 thousand lis of American president Telangpu besides.
On August 22, american president Telangpu is being pushed allege in article, "South Africa government the land of farmer of forcibly occupy white man " , he asks at the same time admire of bitter fleabane of · of Michael of American Secretary of State of abstruse research land " free commandeer " and " the killing that is aimed at farmer " problem. This its happening is in the United States the problem that wisdom library card entrusts an institute to was published on August 20 is " Telangpu ought to warn south Africa on land commandeer problem " after editorial. Card holds the editorial warning that institute print sends in the palm to say, the violent land repartition that happens in Zimbabwe acts and subsequently and the economic crisis that come can be regarded as lessons drawn from others' mistakes, this editorial urges Telangpu to appear personally, admonitory south Africa does not adopt too intense land reform proposed law.
South Africa of careful make a thorough inquiry brews medium land reform act, is same? And whether is south Africa met again the footstep of Zimbabwe of prep close behind, Iran, Turkey, Nigeria and Angola, be pounded by tremendous politics (for example oil price drops, american punish, violent land reform) , bring about native money to break down, be accused then by canal of strict foreign currency, make at the same time cannot foreign investor undertake the money is changed?
Local time on July 31, lamafusa of south Africa president expresses publicly, allow free to ask for the ground, emphasize this action developing to south Africa economy crucial. Visual China data pursues
South Africa won't become next Zimbabwe
Well-known, zimbabwe take-overs in the force that the left and right sides executed 2000 land of white man farmer brought very confused situation, this brought about what food produces to break down not only, more caused whole economic system break down collapse, and till now, zimbabwe just is able to anabiosis gradually. Can south Africa confront same destiny?
Reason of predatory of Zimbabwe happening land and selfishness and corrupt politician tries in vain to having land possess oneself of close connection. From the point of the viewpoint of my individual, the economy that Zimbabwe land reform causes breaks down won't happen in south Africa. South Africa is having powerful and perfect citizen society and independent judicatory system, this both and joint action, already forced Yagebu Zuma of the president before south Africa to resign at holding oneself responsible for a serious mistake this year in Feburary.
The root establish checkup at media of society of south Africa citizen, news and judicatory orgnaization and make judge the mechanism appears already come out boldly, object the corruption of politician, and their doing also by newspaper fair at numerous. In addition, south Africa still is had run good economic system -- industry of the financial industry that this includes to perfect, mining, agriculture and manufacturing industry. Under photograph comparing, zimbabwe does not have strong opposition and mature citizen society, and its economy scope is very limited also, and excessive rely on agriculture and mining industry.
Although south Africa is in of ancestor horse government treat expression of next the last few years to owe beautiful, but rank in corruption, in weak country index and rank of gross domestic product of average per capita, it still is in better than Zimbabwe state. South Africa also is put in corrupt politician undoubtedly, but the anti-corruption campaign of south Africa is being begun like a raging fire. I think this conduces to national stability.
A of land reform fallacious: Contend for black and whitely
If what Telangpu imagines,the land reform of south Africa also is not in that way, it is over or across the racial issue between white man and black. Actually, the village god with the greatest south Africa is possessory it is a black -- Zu Lu king, gudeweier Ciweilidini (Zulu King Goodwill Zwelithini, was born 1948, 1971 succession the 8th Zu Lu is kingly, it is the traditional leader of clansman of south Africa Zu Lu. In contemporary south Africa, zu Lu king is grasped no longer have lay crown, but responsible this a group of things with common features culture and religious general affairs -- complier is noted) through Yingeniya fiducial foundation (Ingonyama Trust) have 28, the land of 000 square kilometer. The target of south Africa government is to be the impoverished population of country and urban district to offer active land ownership contract, so that they can obtain basic economic safeguard, but the opposition with the biggest land reform one of sound originate actually want hold together active old the Zu Lu Wang Benren that make, only such his ability retain oneself are right the ownership interest of land, and don't imagine that is possible of his Zu Lu clansman has any rights and property to his land.
AgriSA is the commerciality farmer alliance with the largest south Africa, its basically are formed by white man farmer. Ceng Gong of this agricultural federation leaves announce, they understand the necessity of land reform, be willing to make compromise for this, provide assistance for new black farmer at the same time, will help land reform gain a success. In addition, the defense minister before south Africa not repairs Wa Laikeda (Mosiuoa Lekota) leading the name is " people congress party " small-sized opposition, he criticizes the land reform policy that makes its in black hand from land of the plunder in white man hand publicly, also objecting this at the same time is " Vs of white man colonialism. Black aboriginal " argument. Laikeda points out, farmer of every white man ever paid relevant price for his land, and the right that have European, India or should enjoy equality.
Although a lot of people hope to inspect this controversy about land reform racial issue, but in fact it is not. When analysing political risk and understanding Africa politics, the most important is to want to consider society, economy, history and other factor inside, and will phyletic cut a point as the analysis. Pass merely " black Vs. White man " or " Vs of Zu Lu's person. Division Sa person " (the main people that person of Sa of division of Zu Lu support of the people is south Africa -- complier is noted) the practice of politics of Africa of perspective look upon criterion already outdated, this kind of means already also cannot offer accurate analytic reference point of view.
Land reform, impoverished great majority and general election
The agriculture of 80 ％ above uses south Africa in the hand that the ground grasps in farmer of commerciality white man. 1994 Mandela becomes south Africa allow when black president, have farmer of 55000 commerciality white man about, at present this one word is 36000 people about. The hope of land reform policy with blame big country remands land be snatched by white man government in 20 centuries the land of first Black people of land is possessory. 1994 the target of set is remand inside 5 years the land of 30 ％ . Arrive all the time however 1999, the land that is less than 1 ％ only is finished remand. Till now, 2018, the land that just also has about 8 ％ is able to remand.
Up to now, be not the land reform with big country to plan still is the failure of a dismay making a person. The budget is not main problem, main problem is the difficulty that when negotiating price of sell one's own things, encounters, and still give right person land. And among them the most difficult is how to be new black farmer to provide support -- they need professional knowledge and capital without operation farm place. Change character, the complexity of land reform does not depend on a government not be willing to sell land without sufficient financing or white man farmer, and the support that searching new black farmer to provide field of new agriculture, commerce to them at the government without sufficient capacity. Show according to statistic, the new business farmer of more than 50 ％ failed finally.
On the countrywide conference with the big country of the 54th blame that will hold in Yaohanneisibao last year in December, "Free is collected " policy gets be admissived formally. This dispute country is big in Zumapa is to promote equestrian policy, although this are factional,fail to make the candidate of their choose -- Zu Ma's ex-wife, delamini - Zu Ma (Dlamini-Zuma) be elected for clannish chairman. And Lamafusa is forced to support Zumapa is the land reform policy that formulate.
On August 23 England " financial times " in a published editorial, lamafusa mentioned the case of Zimbabwe obscurely, he writes so: "South Africa the derive in the experience from other country lesson, no matter be of the front,still be negative, but the mistake that south Africa won't repeat those other countries to had made. " he says then: "' free is collected ' one of element that conception is more sweeping land reform plan, its aim to ensure the earthy land ownership of all citizens can get admissive, no matter they live in public land, informal living area or commercial farm. " notable is, the poor that first consideration makes do not have land obtains Lamafusa land.
Look in me, lamafusa lists the person that gives those to need to acquire land most already clearly: The person that lives on public land (a rural area that in Zu Lu the tribal leader control such as king leaves) , live in informal living area (urban slums) with commercial farm (farm hand) medium person.
South Africa is brewing medium land reform now basically is to stem from need in what vote won in presidential election 2019. Current, by before Youliwusi Ma of chairman of alliance of blame country old young person draw bit (Julius Malema) the leader's south Africa the 2nd great opposition, party of economic freedom fighter (Economic Freedom Fighters) all the time since very this land reform that has populism tendency plans praise highly -- distribute land freely to the poor, because the poor is the main advocate of party of economic freedom fighter. Blame country is in greatly 3 main cities were lost in local government election 2016, they have draw over to live likewise the demand of impoverished most constituency -- although have government of a black, the daily life of most person also was not benefited because of the economic progress of south Africa.
Gained few economic opportunity only in view of population of many poor Black people, this kind of way with blame old state cannot say incorrect -- the government changes through economy will serve for the interest of impoverished great majority. The careful and harmonious premise that act even if destroying economic current situation finishs the program that offers economic transition.
Look Telangpu is complete by misdirect, in south Africa, without the killing of systematization of dialogue person farmer, also do not have what be aimed at white man farm merely to collect.
