2018-09-09 00:09 | "The ox plays musical instrument " date of small letter public
(one)
The business is having change, trade war appeared recently new trend.
On September 7, one day in, the United States carries 3 channel, released 3 signal.
Signal one, library heart ask a price of Luo Youman day.
When 7 days accept CNBC to interview, the name of a river in Shaanxi and Henan provinces of heart of library of presiding economy adviser says the White House, the United States still continues to negotiate with China, but American ask a price is very specific: "0 custom duty, 0 camp, 0 allowance, stop intellectual property theft, company him American of American is had. Company him American of American is had..
The United States is very clear, but China also very hold to, reject ask a price of all over the sky, ill will to censure. Kudeluo admits, the United States raises this ask a price a few months, but China did not agree namely.
Signal 2, telangpu gives out new menace.
After a few hours, be in " aircraftman date " when the reporter is being accepted to interview on private plane, telangpu brandish of big stick-means of intimidation. He says, adding to commodity of China of 200 billion dollar after imposing custom duty, the United States still will be added to commodity of additionally 267 billion dollar impose custom duty, "If I am willing, will very fast. Will very fast..
50 billion + 200 billion + 267 billion, without doubt, this will be the trade war of unprecedented. This still does not include the measure that China strikes back, telangpu is creating the history, but not be meddlesome really.
Signal 3, the United States still tries to expand new ground.
Still be 7 days, the word of personages of 3 know the inside story says quote of Peng rich company, the government is considering Telangpu the government order of a travel that starts period of abstruse Ba Ma, allow the United States to be opposite participate in " baleful network activity " entity or individual undertake punish. What this action aims at is Chinese enterprise, american government may with punish alleged " steal " behavior of American intellectual property, course of study of the state-owend enterprise in freezing is in the beauty asset, or course of study of the state-owend enterprise in preventing goes to the United States deal.
According to the report, even if is in Telangpu the government is in-house, afore-mentioned act also cause fireworks, allegedly American money grows Munuqin to object strongly, but American commerce represents the hawkish special support such as Laitexize.
A day in, 3 signal, a few make known one's position and act is quite meaningful.
The United States grinds knife the scrape, step by step press hard on, have the state that does not amount to a target not to stop greatly.
(2)
How to look?
A word: This is war of a trade, but now, it is battle of a public opinion and psywar more.
In fact, the United States just releases information often recently, it is ceaseless Xiang Zhongfang is applied pressure, try to force China to be able to 't bear pressure, make major concession finally.
In the autobiography " trading art " in one book, telangpu ever spoke of 4 phase of deal:
It is to raise breathtaking target;
2 it is ballyhoo;
3 it is decision-making sway repeatedly;
4 it is to achieve direct result.
He writes so: "The condition that an outclass anticipates lets adversary do not know how to start -- capricious change uses force to adversary -- give out second actor condition lets adversary be eager to accepting finish sth -- achieve the result that wants at first.
Come round to look from eye, telangpu weichis rich of Sino-US classics trade apparently, regarded as brushstroke " big business " .
The word that uses a friend says, current situation, like really the dot gambles like gambler, capital of one party flatter oneself is very much, sometimes also no matter the shop sign is good the card is bad, completely pushs capital before the desk, force the be scared in heart of the other side, compromise finally.
Telangpu knows well greatly among them tactics, be in so crucial node, launch new offensive ceaselessly.
Want to know, to levy of Chinese all commodity, telangpu has said early before actually.
But the outside thinks generally, this action fine long hair is brute. Accordingly, when effect of this minatory limit is reduced ceaselessly, telangpu harp on the same string one, continue to be taken apply to China pressure.
In addition, through faceless news source the suggestion will freeze Chinese company assets, stop Chinese enterprise and American deal, without doubt, also be to exploring search right China new chip. Try to be planted with this terrible consequence, force China to compromise finally, sign a treaty signed under coercion.
Make known his position as to Kudeluo " 0 custom duty, 0 camp, 0 allowance " , more is offensive of public opinion propaganda, appear American attitude is very positive very cordial, but actual it is feline be bored with however heavily.
Did not forget, the European Union expresses publicly recently, agree with a car 0 custom duty, the European Union can cancel the custom duty of car of all United States, but the custom duty that the United States also abolishs all Europe car. But the first reaction of Telangpu is however: This is no good, you are European the European car that the habit buys you, you do not buy car of our United States...
Is then this still 0 custom duty?
(3)
The United States starts trade war in the round now, circumjacent angry rancorring Mexico, Canada, also do not have good look to the European Union, it is more to Japan all sorts of beating.
But apparent, weichi with Chinese rich, be among them one the most intense, free and easy rises and fall, soul-stirring, the country that affects China carries, also produce major effect to world situation.
Sino-US actual strength is comparative, decided to have the capacity that get the better of without one party. And powerful without heart, answered wisdom, fight what nevertheless Telangpu makes fun of a horizontal stroke this kind for certain " trading art " .
How to do?
Since be public opinion battle, psywar, if that is panic-stricken, undoubted in the middle of one's heart's desire of the other side.
Best method, namely calm, easy, self-confident.
This also is not A Q, this is rational choice.
Because of worst result, nothing more than Sino-US internecine, a few enterprises of Chinese and industry affirmation can suffer serious blow, but the United States also won't all over and retreat. Otherwise, also won't 150 guild of American publish open letter, admonitory United States imposes tax measure, what harm finally is American enterprise and consumer interest.
Not savor a bit suffering, the likelihood does not have the sincerity of the negotiation. To China, had stridden this bank bravely only now, have no alternative. Had made worst plan, strive for best result; The contempt on the strategy, but must take seriously highly on tactics.
This is the crisis without doubt, but crisis crisis, in danger organic. Go 40 years, china's most serious crisis period, it is 90 time without doubt first, western severity punish blocks, chinese economy for a time be between the beetle and the block, but new round of reforming and opening, just about thenceforth begins, make Chinese economy realized phoenix Nie .
Final, beautiful national capital feared China is made, want to seek all sorts of excuse restriction.
Look from the most optimistic point of view, without breathless pressure, break the momentum of wrist without hero. Still be that word: Carry out more extensive reform and open, it is us to reforming and opening 40 years of best gifts, it is us more dozen of the biggest a magic weapon that wins battle of this one trade.
To China, very as important as American relation; But more important, still be the business that does good him China. Make the market true in resource configuration have conclusive effect, let reforming and opening bring more and solid acquisition to feel to people.
Such China, so giant inside need the market, so laborious China people, no matter be trade war, still be public opinion battle, psywar, what do we have to you can be fear of?
(primary problem is " Sino-US trade war appears new trend, telangpu makes known his position this inside have a mystery! " . Edit Fan Chengyou)
