Civil / southern seven
Resemble " butterfly effect " , begin from Beijing, the heat that chummage of city of a gleam of rises ferments continuously diffuse. This is the issue that follows everybody be closely bound up almost, so " chummage " became the hottest this year in August topic.
In whole episode, what be returned to be a culprit is intermediary and capital. The fountainhead of incident, out exposing to the sun is like the card that is forum of Tsinghua water wood to contend for incident of the source that grab a room with chorion. Room of orgnaization store up, fool case of raise up the price; Capital intervenes long rent apartment, play financial lever; Rent a house ineffable carried brushstroke loan on the back; Long hire apartment to explode again and again thunder, hangzhou is long rent apartment " go bankrupt incident " ; Freely formaldehyde room... chummage rises " boiler " , was swung completely it seems that long rent apartment.
Another kind of reality is: As since this year the outbreak of house price the gender rises, after the dream that most youth has one flatlet is undone, lease rises, lease is comfortable the bottom line that is finally. The structural change of the market that rent, demand changes, increase the wage income level that goes up without general, chummage " go up " make person is accepted hard. The life is in Kunming, what kind of case be?
Kunming: Consign of room of opening season, clothbound sends a part to riseAccording to the report, go one year, in city of line of countrywide just a little, 13 cities chummage goes up more than 20% . The data that comes from Chinese estate to evaluate a center shows, city of 4 a gleam of of countrywide rented price index annulus to rise than all fronts in July 2018, the index of the price that rent of Shenzhen, Beijing rises compared to the same period posture already lasted to exceed 19 months. Go up with the hire of Beijing, Shanghai, Shenzhen among them the fiercest.
Examine data of net of quotations of Chinese house price: Hire of a month is Kunming 28.05 yuan / yuan / month / ㎡, average total prices: 2459 yuan / month / set, with photograph of the corresponding period was compared last year rise 20.20% , with on comparing of phase of the moon rises 0.79% , chummage is overall show rise trend. Among them, price of west hill region is top, it is 30.5 yuan / month / ㎡; Show tribute area lowest, it is 18.5 yuan / month / ㎡.
Overlay of season of graduation to apply for a job, opening season, chummage is seasonal demand jumps, hire also subsequently when the river rises the boat goes up too. Nicer a sector of an area held along the line of downtown, subway opposite higher level, green jade with gold an area for exemple, an one-room flat is about 3000 yuan or so. With small make up the village near the company (inside 2 annulus, subway along the line) for exemple, 2100-2300 of 50 ㎡ single boarding house yuan, two-room flat 2300-2800 yuan, three-room flat 3000-3500 yuan.
Seek advice from 21 centuries the building of praedial Kunming area is rented board piece, did not appear to rise considerably. According to 21 centuries praedial in-house personage is analysed, as a result of graduation season and opening season overlay, appeared of partial section rise, but also be individual sex and seasonal busy season phenomenon only. Nearly two years, the village in Kunming city disappears gradually, the low source carrying a room with inferior hire is squashed to give the market. This also is the factor that cannot ignore.
"In addition, consign of room of a big clothbound enters Kunming city, it is the chummage bullish that market place sees important phenomenon. " house price is rising, more and more individuals or family lost purchasing power, turn to the one part person of the market that rent a house from the market that buy a house, to living environment and character ask somewhat, and at present the essence of market main trend decorates a room gradually consign, provided better living environment, consequently source of this part room can have prep above at present the hire of the market fixes a price. Be located in new and high area board piece building of clothbound of business of famous development of some whole nation dish, near future firm consign, simple furniture is purchased to rent namely after owner receives a room, the sources of 100 3 rooms room of the left and right sides that make the same score rice hire 2800 yuan / month.
The report of catenary home academy shows, at present China rents a building to have 46 million only, will answer the 160 million population that rent. The personage inside course of study is analysed, compare with photograph of city of a gleam of, at present the building of Kunming rents supply and demand keeps balance, the integral price that room market hires inside short time can not have too big go up. But can see by afore-mentioned specific scenes, of Kunming house price soare, begin to react gradually go up in chummage.
Long rent apartment, it is instantly city white-collar optimal choiceIntermediary, capital, long renting apartment is the target of public criticism in this storm undoubtedly. But this round of chummage soares " boiler " , whether this by long hire apartment to carry on the back?
At present Beijing hires room market structure is " 4411 " -- 40% it is intermediary, 40% it is sublessor, 10% it is owner, 10% it is long hire the orgnaization that rent, countrywide total body length hires apartment city to occupy rate it is only 2% . Specific go to Kunming, long hire house market how?
Be in Kunming actually, 2015, had the length that is a delegate with citric apartment to rent apartment. Kunming already had 10 much parents to rent apartment at present, include apartment of high-end apartment H, state-owend enterprise " benefit guest " apartment, and apartment of Me+ international youth, violet get apartment, mango apartment to wait, the brand develops Shang Longhu " coronal contain " this year also be born Kunming.
The environment is bad, decorate dated, communal form a complete set bad, landlord is strong, safe hidden trouble... the tradition hires a room to face too much situation. It is building empty buy at the same time, it is the youth's huge demand that rent a house at the same time. Long hire apartment to carry the kind that rent, rise room source centrally, undertake unity a standard decorate and manage, put in the market next. Compare the market renting a house at the tradition, long hire house price transparent, form a complete set is perfect, decorate more delicate, "Carry a bag to be entered " , hire means can pay by the month even by the quarter, of course hire also level of whole of prep above market.
Long in hiring apartment to basically have market, type is mixed distributed condition of two kinds of industry. Condition of industry of collect Chinese style just consolidates operation by the brand a property, unified decorate, operation management, rental, it is with H apartment and apartment of Me+ international youth exemple; The owner house source that distributed industry condition is in each villages dispersedly by operation square collection, rental, government has after decorating, it is with citric apartment exemple.
"The building is leased, but the life is not. " the living environment with high quality pursuit and life, long hired apartment place to bear the weight of more life pursuit of urban white-collar. For instance citric apartment is aimed at strong finish school or dozen of youth that spells Kunming arrives first, hire a room in order to close to give priority to, decorate young vogue, deploy furniture home appliance, a room all valence 800 -- 1000 yuan. Me+ apartment decorates be fond of of style suit youth, deploy communal kitchen, book, the billiards room, room that watch a movie bear the weight of recreational function. Face a city white-collar and the talented people of a few high administrative levels that take Kunming newly. It is in order to be aimed at the apartment of H of the crowd that rent a house of demand of high quality life exemple, the single boarding house of 31 square metre, deploy the furniture home appliance such as chair of sofa, eat, chest, TV, air conditioning whole form a complete set, hire 3500 yuan / month, more similar than circumjacent form a complete set apartment wants tower above more than 1000.
"The age is under 40 one full year of life; Maiden / married without the child; Specialized subject of university of record of formal schooling reachs above; Do not raise pet; Have formal job... " actually, from safe angle consideration, long hire apartment to be able to undertake to tenement setting is investigated, accord with ability of the level that rent to be entered. What hire a room to differ with traditional intermediary is, long hire apartment to still offer chamberlain to serve, gas content provides canaliculus home, Bao Jie, maintenance, water and electricity acting capture, acting even receive express delivery, wash clothes... expend besides every months of chummage, water and electricity accordingly, return so that pay brushstroke serves cost.
So does the length of Kunming hire apartment after all to go up? Keep normal at present small rise the current situation, citric apartment long hire apartment to did not appear the circumstance that price of house of landlord drive up and hire rise considerably. "According to rental circumstance, timely adjust the price. For instance the closest graduation season is mixed opening season, certain area better room cause is very close spruce. The value basically is decided by supply and demand. " citric apartment staff member says, probably Kunming market is heated up slow, but industry competition is existence, more and more length hire apartment brand to appear, the demand that rents a settle or live in a strange place also is changing all the time. "Prospective consumption upgrades in more apartment product of high end predominate, add go up service excessive price, rising in price is inevitable. Rising in price is inevitable..
According to " China 90 hind household spending trend is investigated " data shows, of 50.51% 90 hind the condition that still rents a house, only the person of 19.88% has his house. 2020, the whole nation hires room number to will be achieved 190 million. Public data shows, catenary home freely owns a building 400 thousand, exceed 1 million to rent a settle or live in a strange place; On north of chorion apartment layout wide wait for 8 ground greatly, more than 170 thousand; I love contain of the photograph below my home banner to have cause of 270 thousand flatlet. The room look forward to of before the 1/3 dimensions such as 10 thousand divisions, Long Hu, answer star, Xu Hui is ranked 30 develops relevant business.
The viewpoint points out, future hires room market structure likelihood by " 4411 " to " 541 " evolve, namely 50% long hire an orgnaization, 40% it is the groovy market such as intermediary, sublessor and owner, 10% it is the building is shared. According to grow the system capacity that rents apartment to look at present, it still can't control market price standard. House price rises, can not afford a room; Urban white-collar, medium produce estate to become the main force that rent a house; Consumption upgrades, living character demand rises... long hire apartment to bearing the weight of the market demand of instantly, what can foreknow is, clothbound, provide service of life form a complete set, chamberlain, company group the length of social function rents apartment is the market that rent inevitable trend, also be this generation youth to living the inevitable choice of demand.
If everybody cans afford a room, who still rents a house?Buy a house, still rent a house? Can can afford to humble abode, who still rents a house?
This summer, a lot of youths leave Beijing. What become city youth to cannot bear when house price is heavy, whether can be chummage also become crushing last their straw? Be in a series of length to rent apartment after the problem erupts, each district government and relevant section publish measure to be hired with firm housing.
Rent apartment besides commercialized length, still have the presence that ensures sexual housing. Ensuring sexual housing is the policy that the government gives out, housing ensures means from " give priority to in order to make work " progressively to " hire carry out to develop simultaneously, give priority to in order to hire " transition is adjusted. But the current situation is, the youth close the door on that the doorsill of policy works great majority in the city.
Feasibility condition is, father at the same time controlling housing market and land, bring about house price rocket, increasing person can abandon buying a house only, turn and choose to rent a house, this is pushed again went up to hire room market. Across did not perfect the system that rent a house again, right of the price that rent a house, housing does not have safeguard.
But if appeal the government has control to the price, can you solve the problem that chummage rises really? Can you jump over control to rise more like house price again?
Economist Ma Guangyuan puts forward, the attention of public policy is couldn't get since the market of China that rent a house is long-term, what the government needs to do most is the public policy system that perfects the market that rent a house; More orgnaizations share the market that rent a house and should be being encouraged is not limitation; Chummage rises prime cause or supply deficiency, the government needs to enhance the information exposure of the market that rent a house and public system, is not administrative price or in the sky buy duty; Excessive gold melts, excessive lever is very dangerous, can destroy the market that rent a house, government should intervene for a short while, severe check, severe canal, avert bigger tragedy. But he emphasizes, government must not control chummage, did not compare this worse choice!
After canning not afford a room, "Hire reside somewhat " wish, who will safeguard? After all, rent a house from first time, to get married the house that establishs course of study to have his, rental room will accompany a youth a lot of year.