Civil / Mo Kaiwei of person of comment of famous finance and economics, independent economist
On September 15, 2008, market prise once row United States of the 4th join Hang Leiman's brother, because investment is sub product of guaranty housing loan is undeserved incur is tremendous loss, go bankrupt to United States of the area austral new York the court applies for to go bankrupt protection. Of Lei Man's brother go bankrupt become crisis of banking of the whole world 10 years ago detonate a dot, the people of the whole world up to now remain fresh in one's memory.
10 years ago, lei Man's brother topples with a loud crash, make adapting world the main event of economic history, to global economy progress produced main effect, and on bake in a pan tremendous moulage. Be regarded as the problem such as the trade war attrition of heat and exchange rate at present, greatly, also be the child of crisis of the banking 10 years ago.
The financial crisis 10 years ago already far go. The thing does not forget before, the division of funeral affairs. Anyhow we cannot forget, because this is serious,try to sum up and think over to the financial crisis 10 years ago, can let us avoid to be immersed in so tremendous catastrophe in future.
In 10 years after this, our country economy realized oneself to span type develops, become the dynamical source that global economy grows. In the decline tide that sweeps across the whole world, the contributive rate that our country increases to world economy exceeds 30% . Pass commerce and investment, world of Chinese effective help is multilateral walk out of the crisis.
But, hidden danger of a few risks appears likely in the development in our country economy, because this wants,to erupting once more the crisis has enough thought vigilance, should come on stage at the same time effective, scientific development policy reachs superintendency mechanism, accomplish against a rainy day, eliminate the financial crisis that produces likely in budding condition.
In light of the feasibility condition that runs from finance of economy of current our country, tripartite face is worth to think over deeply, it is, in be on guard financial venture respect, whether does the work that we do reach the designated position; 2 be, optimize industrial structure before be on guard the backing of financial venture, we are carried out so that whether reach the designated position at present; 3 be, driving supply side to reform is to be on guard those who dissolve financial venture is important " stepping-stone " , we are executed whether enoughly complete. "Think carefully " square feasible far, such reviewing is necessary really.
After financial crisis, our country publishs a series of measure that strengthen finance to superintend, be on guard financial venture defends the position with be in more significant, undertake perfecting to superintending a system, laid a foundation to consolidate at present finance is stabilized greatly. Current, our country lifts all sorts of finance to superintend storm, break the law to financial industry violated compasses behavior to have effective repair. What cannot ignore is, financial industry market still is put in a few random elephants, partial risk hidden danger has the power that grow in intensity instead.
This superintends authorities to always should maintain superintendency vigilance of height with respect to requirement finance, often ring superintendency alarm bell noisy to financial industry, superintendency system of farther will of all kinds banking undertakes editing, complement and perfect, establish the superintendency mechanism of more normative, science and reflective delicacy, call the protracted battle that a finance superintends.
Optimizing industrial structure is to be on guard the backing of financial venture. Real estate held majority resource for a time, make the development of hypostatic economy faces a variety of problems. Current, our country is estate surely " the house lives to be not fried " attribute, the investment of market of strive keep within limits to building city mechanism behavior, decided " price of house of keep within limits rises " total fundamental key of building city adjusting control. So far, various government already published even more this year measure of 200 estate adjusting control.
Just announce according to national statistic bureau August the whole nation 70 big in data of urban house price, 67 are in rise posture, although effect of adjusting control of city of this specification building is not apparent but already preliminary get effective, the effort that accordingly building city adjusting control needs to fall even heavier, all sorts of measure that come on stage even more severe. Should adopt policy of more meticulous building city adjusting control, eliminate all behavior pretending to be ignorant of sth in order to gloss it over in adjusting control of the city that move a building, leave real estate finally Xiang Jiankang, can develop course continuously.
In addition, driving supply side to reform is to cast off economic predicament, be on guard those who dissolve financial venture is important " stepping-stone " . "Stepping-stone " solid, the propulsion that side of hang on supply reforms. Accordingly, we answer resolved, the breakthrough that reforms supply side has decided mainly, truly cleared all dust in our economy domain, get rid of the stale and take in the fresh, main and collateral channels of developing of dredge economy finance, let Chinese economy restore vitality of opportunity of survival of healthy, coruscate, undergo the test that comes from all sorts of financial economy risks finally.
Textual publish Yu Xinjing to declare