The United States second after borrowing the crisis to cause financial crisis, beautiful couplet Chu Ning leaves imprint of bank note machine " faucet " , released to the market " great scourges " the dollar fluidity like, driving ceaselessly with dollar asset value expand, from now on, american building city also is in second borrow the crisis to die dish hind entered again rise passageway, plus the whole world a few hot money flow to this market, drove American estate to go up quickly further.
We notice, the house price of city of nearly 2/3 United States is in the fourth quarter began to rise last year, association of realtor of American whole nation (NAR) newest announce statistical report to show, the United States achieves the history again into house price new tall, median price rises 4.9% compared to the same period, to two hundred and sixty-four thousand eight hundred dollar, for successive the 77th month go up compared to the same period raise, the rate that the amplitude of American house price should increase than American compensation at least one times faster, in other words, hard the house price of the burden or hire make a lot of person that buy a house potentially " hope the room is promoted sigh " .
Michelle Meyer of beautiful Lin Meiyin's analyst publishs in 21 days grind express in the newspaper, "The United States shows room sale to had reached peak, future very be a hard job to economy provide power. " , report data shows, sale data cannot be climbed further from beginning to end after will achieve 5.72 million last year in November litre, sale showing a house sees what the top causes greatly, and existing house price is already adjacent with second the level of period of the peak before borrowing crisis happening.
And the core of this backside is logistic, we also emphasize for many times, although, american economy moves currently good, but rely on American however greatly too leasehold and too much, fast, and interest rate passes low cause, but couplet is in the beauty store accelerate add breath hind, regular interest rate can strangle this kind of economy that drives by debt and building city prosperity.
Bring another subsistent risk thereby, danger opportunity is late, but the likelihood won't be absent. To this, according to observation of TheEconomicCollapseBlog of website of American finance and economics, the expression with American estate the closest market, resemble extremely 2008 second the market condition that borrows crisis eve, arrive from Manhadu south California arrives again bank of the East China Sea, sound of alarm of building city bubble as one falls.
For instance, the data that occupies Redfin of dealer of house property broker says, no less than issues graph data place to show, be in up to September 16 all around in, complete beauty hangs out his shingle there is more than 1/4 to depreciate in the residence of for sale, even, the photograph is inferior to price secondhand room sales volume also appears steep fall, fall compared to the same period achieve 17.9% , data shows, the United States is secondhand in July room sale sum total achieves a level of nearly two years of half lowest, for successive the 4th month drops, was 2013 since the longest drop repeatedly period.
Occupy foreign media VentureBeat to reported recently, show according to a findings report of Team Blind company, the house price of Silicon Valley is complete already also out of control, employee of science and technology of nearly 59% Silicon Valley cans not afford a room, what still included a few yearly salary that work in big company to exceed 300 thousand dollar even is young the person that buy a house, appear more apparent below the setting that this drives inflation to go tall in global trade barrier and oil price, because, the rise that includes a series of housing materials cost such as cement, rolled steel, glass also will raise a building to make cost.
Occupy Forbes additionally to observe, new York building stops atone for behavior (owner is lost redemptive the house property power that its guaranty gives a bank) violent wind rises to come to 11 years top level, to this, robert Shiller of winner of award of Nuo of Peng rich cite says, this may be American house price should move toward new of turning point of a crisis germinant, theEconomicCollapseBlog continues to remind, as beautiful couplet store add continuously breath, american house price will die possibly dish, in other words, beautiful couplet store after delaying this crisis artificially, and new York Manhadu building city or a vane that had become city of completely beautiful building.
A report that issued July according to Brown Harris Stevens of Peng rich cite says, this year 2 quarters, of Manhadu secondhand room with 5 years since the biggest discount work off. For instance, on east area (Upper East Side) median of three-room flat sale price relatively on year the corresponding period steeps fall 16% . Again for instance, this year the 2nd quarter Manhadu the number buying a house of the area relatively the corresponding period decreased last year 17% reach 2629, achieve the lowest of the 2nd quarter clinchs a deal since 2009 quantity, in other words, the bleak picture after at present the building city of a few cities of American is performing crisis of 8 annuity be in harmony.
Occupy Real Capital Analytics additionally to point out in the newest report that issued July, since China buys the home to come from 2008, appear first the phenomenon of house property of United States of wholesale usu. in anticipation of or in order to bring about a fall in price, no less than issues graph data place to show, china buys the home (enterprise) in the American real estate that sells inside the 2nd quarter this year add up to amounts to 1.29 billion dollar, far over in endowment the 126.2 million dollar that buys, since be 10 years, appear for the first time go out to sell a position completely.
Meanwhile, place is analysed above no less than, beautiful couplet store imprint the building city that come out or the hour that also receiving tall house price to drop, american building city or brewing new second borrow the crisis, in the meantime, large finance orgnaization also can face enormous pressure, this kind of circumstance also begins normalization monetary policy in other country hind, energy of fund of city of building of dollar circumfluence fill will become more difficult, because, narrow as dollar and difference of advantage of the currency that be not the United States, the advantage of American asset can be reduced, is the costly house property of city of partial United States or the risk that face bluff type to drop as a result, the house price of the British London that place of Zerohedge of website of finance of United States of this no less than analyses resembles a stone be in euqally at present straining and face collapse dish of the risk same, the American building city that overmeasure is worth makes go up by the side of place cliff personally " Pang fraud " still greeted collapse finally momently.
To this, we use Roger of big alligator of wall street finance this the analysis points out, american every 4-8 year can appear financial problem, this causes market vigilance with respect to need, the United States is close 10 years since had not produced very severe banking crisis, this is different common, and press Roger this earlier some suggest even if, "The only method that we protect ourselves invests the domain with him hep place namely " , "Prepare by worst circumstance please, exclusive survival will be the investor that those know what to those do " . (be over)
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