Be breathtaking! 10 thousand divisions are indebted 10 thousand much, exceed the country such as New Zealand, Kuwait GDP.
Recently, explode a Tianjin is the biggest group of room of day of state-owned room look forward to always is in debt more than 180 billion yuan, the likelihood is put in risk of fiducial break a contact, frightened everybody to jump, let the market begin to pay close attention to risk of debt of room look forward to.
Have the say 10 thousand families of industry bibcock all the time, before announcing its sale was one hundred and ninety-six billion one hundred and fifty million yuan in April, bright look of outstanding achievement of it may be said. Meanwhile, end 1 quarter, building city capital talks know, of 10 thousand divisions always be in debt achieved one thousand and twenty-eight billion nine hundred and twenty-seven million breathtaking yuan, along with the indebted rate level of 84.04% , the history that already all achieved a company is new tall, it is to let ate melon masses to be stupefied more!
Concept of 1 trillion indebted what? Exceed the country such as New Zealand, Kuwait GDP, 3 years laborious makes people of Hainan complete province with one's shoulder to collar the fortune of creation, ability fill and level up of 10 thousand divisions indebted.
"Lose " but the 10 thousand divisions of enemy state
Small make up understanding to arrive, wind data shows, 2017 annual, 136 appear on the market of room look forward to average indebted rate is achieved 79.1% , achieve since 2005 the most exalted.
Appear on the market in these 136 in room look forward to, indebted tot of more than one billion four hundred and ten million and sixty-five thousand four hundred and eight yuan room look forward to 67, occupy than 49% ; Indebted more than 30 billion yuan room look forward to has 37, occupy than for 27% , among them, 10 thousand divisions, greenbelt accuses, before Baolide produces a kind 3, be in debt to all exceed 500 billion yuan.
Arrived this year first quarter end, asset of room look forward to indebted rate rises to 79.42% , indebted rate achieves room look forward to 13 years new tall. First quarter end, indebted rate exceeds asset the A of 80% appear on the market room look forward to is close 40, among them still A of 10 thousand divisions and greenbelt accuse, what must want to say is 10 thousand divisions is indebted also break through eventually -727379968, achieve one thousand and twenty-eight billion nine hundred and twenty-seven million yuan.
10 thousand much tall what concept is be in debt? By GDP of our country city made contrast 2017, can discharge having 7.65 million population, the Changsha City of Hunan provincial capital (1.02 trillion yuan) before, row whole nation 14.
Take GDP of our country each province contrasted 2017, follow closely Xinjiang (1.092 trillion yuan) later, OK and direct platoon is in the Gansu Province (767.7 billion yuan) save with Hainan (four hundred and forty-six billion two hundred and fifty-four million yuan) before, 3 times what Hainan saves more adjacent. 3 years laborious makes people of Hainan of that is to say with one's shoulder to collar the fortune of creation, ability fill and level up of 10 thousand divisions indebted.
You think, "Lose " rich but enemy province, is enemy city over. Then you can look down upon 10 thousand divisions.
By data of GDP of world each country made contrast 2017, already with New Zealand (one hundred and seventy-two billion one hundred and fifteen million dollar, add up to a RMB 1.09 trillion yuan) equal, far exceed famous oil rich nation Kuwait (141.7 billion dollar, add up to a RMB 905.3 billion yuan) .
Small make up want to say, 10 thousand divisions are really " lose " but enemy state.
Fall lever is real-estate industry consensus
We know real-estate industry serves as high indebted industry, developing business basically is need not oneself spend how many money to be able to take the ground to build a house, theoretic development business own reserves at least 30% , but actually development business is had a plenty of action, although that 30% not be oneself likely.
Maintain dead audacious, starved to death and recreant, this is estate company absolutely live law. Accordingly, someone says this is the industry of white wolf of an empty glove.
Small make up think, in the past nearly 30 years, be in the need that town changes, real-estate industry flourishs continuously, the logic above is no problem. However, express to want as near future country long-term, from carry out estate adjusting control severely, sturdily, emphasize wanting to guard the bottom line that does not produce systematization banking venture for many times. Instantly, be restricted to buy be restricted to make work price fixing and be restricted to borrowed the development business that waits for policy to making the past actuation to be immersed in awkward condition.
Weigh even the daring vanguard Sun Hongbin in the industry: "We 2018 with respect to a target, go namely lever, this industry with respect to a risk, buy namely expensive, control buys the section pool of the ground, fall indebted rate, go lever, make a company safe. Everybody should take this adjusting control seriously, vicissitude of the market also cannot be ignored. Vicissitude of the market also cannot be ignored..
In fact, 10 thousand divisions had taken bitter taste of the savor on the ground in impulse. The bottom got project of control oneself of academy of classical learning of Haidian area halcyon with contest of 5 billion yuan of high price 2016, very Rangmoke headaches. This project clinchs a deal floor price is 36016.57 yuan / square metre, add build after install and be being decorated, the totle drilling cost that contain tax amounts to 58019 yuan / square metre.
So that, of the project start hire has been as high as 10 years 1.8 million, and be one-time paid. Although such, this project controller expresses: "Below good position, hire completely and do not go considering to eliminate the cost beyond land, the investment return rate with whole overall project is not to exceed 3% . The investment return rate with whole overall project is not to exceed 3% ..
The data shows, project of academy of classical learning of halcyon of 10 thousand divisions adds up to have cause of 1000 more than flatlet, allegedly at present what the autograph makes an appointment with intent hire a guest to have 60. Price of day of 10 thousand divisions rents the road of the room,
Meanwhile, share price of 10 thousand divisions also from drop 40 yuan all the way, have 27 only at present.
Share price of A of 10 thousand divisions took closing quotation on May 21 situation
Cash reserve in a bank of 10 thousand branches flows bad also
Some time ago, from the Hua Dong of group of peaceful standing grain the company is sprint first half of the year index, requirement chief inspector and above level administrator cancel to June 30 from May 4 all and off.
Chongqing limited company releases sea real estate in " against time, seize every minute, fight bravely 60 days " proposal, proposal faculty abandons this day coming June 30 all and off (reach holiday on the weekend) , work overtime push each business work.
The reason has only, room look forward to lives to its the angst of the state: Indebted rate amounts to historical perch, and cash shedding is critical step by step however. Below the premise that cannot rely on financing, to alleviate cash flows pressure, only capital of rapid turnover, quick sale, fast steam again.
A running fire of past of garden of green jade laurel 3 internal documents, the demand rises accelerate rate of turnover of project of 345 lines city, newspaper to build the speed, career that offer money. "The design gives a picture inside that day (all night) " " the start working after the project picks a brand 20 days fines " " 3 months open quotation has reward " " be more than 7 months open quotation to dismiss... " , the strategy of the enterprise is complete employee undeserved person, the client is undeserved person, the house should imprint only bank note machine...
And what this changes is: On June 24 16 when 50 minutes or so, shanghai acts according to town of virtuous area bay to produce safe production accident one case, be in build village building site to produce mould bases collapse accident, already sent 1 person to die at present 9 people are injured.
Those who produce a collapse is to be located in Shanghai to give virtuous division on sea farming highway in propose village building site, eyewitness says: Building site fastens village of garden of green jade laurel.
Bring inspect section according to place, those who produce a collapse is a 6 layer levels that are in the selling office building that build, at that time, the worker does concrete to irrigate in 6 in building a course, level mould bases makes an appointment with the 300 limits of smooth rice to produce a collapse suddenly, bring about many worker to be pressed, in advance of spot worker immediately saves oneself, dial instantly call the police the phone appeals.
Fire control, public security receives newspaper hind to be driven quickly go to the spot, rescue many personnel that be stranded, current, already affirmed 1 person dies to additionally 9 people get hurt.
Capital catenary is nervous, development business does not have cash repay a debt, can think all sorts of method to take advantage only -- accelerate plan to sell a house, reduce construction cost.
As the Xiaobai that buy a house, we know wall put oneself in another's position far from inside it is what appearance, the quality of reinforced concrete has much difference. We do not know the quality problem of which one place brings deadly risk likely even. We can buy the house with throughout history the poorest quality this year.
Does the indebted rate of Chinese room look forward to have many after all tall?
Well-known, estate is capital concentrated model industry, so indebted rate house does not fall high to also become social consensus all the time. Can go nowadays below the big setting of lever, go whose lever? It is to go of course the lever with those higher leverage, real-estate industry also should be be the first to be affected it seems that.
1, integral leverage 70% the left and right sides
In light of the data that gets from the Choice data terminal of next graphs, the indebted rate of real-estate industry is being reduced all the time in the last few years, arrived after 2013, entire industry maintains the average level in 70% indebted rate. Is this data like as direct as us sense abhorrent? Whether to have very big difference really, we can treat the condition of the indebted rate of look forward to of surveyor's pole room downward.
2, constant is in debt greatly scale is the largest, be in harmony achieves indebted rate highest
The indebted rate case of look forward to of typical 2017 room
We see the indebted rate level of look forward to of surveyor's pole room again, lowest is medium the sea is landed 57.62% , highest it is be in harmony is achieved, be as high as 90.27% . It seems that we know Chinese real-estate industry truly from the ability in the indebted rate of look forward to of surveyor's pole room indebted level.
Garden of laurel of big, green jade, be in harmony achieves constant and the indebted rate of 4 companies is in greenbelt 85% above, in front 3 indebted rate is high very good understanding, these 3 companies are to advocate wolf sex culture, unusually feral in market fight closely, what lever uses is very smooth also be very normal thing; In 10 years when develop in high speed of past China estate of course, the use of tall lever also helps strength their break through brambles and thorns-hack one's way through difficulties, rush ahead all the way, become the room look forward to before the rank leans.
The typical style that be in harmony starts is to buy buy, ceng Yiyi spent the investment market that is in China to be derived " Sun Hongbin annulus " , don't have money how to be bought? Should borrow money in a large-scale for certain, so flourish ascends head of a list of names posted up also is the thing in reason.
Allegedly, of garden of green jade laurel poplar not very likes to listen to him before the boss from which the sea digs the takes bookishness slightly CFO Wu Jianbin that come over. This also compares good understanding, you compared the indebted rate of the one sea in falling and garden of green jade laurel to be clear about.
Poplar the boss cannot be borne for certain let him so early go lever, as expected ginger is old still hot, lever helps strength of garden of green jade laurel expand, garden of green jade laurel is in the laurel that with one action picked estate is presidingly 2017. Of course, the environment is changing, poplar the boss also is changing, gao Zhou of prate of garden of green jade laurel turns nowadays, I believe also is going conciously lever.
Constant makes a chairman once said to want to fall the indebted rate with old constant to 50% greatly, although be in 2017 Hong Kong doing empty orgnaization citron to suspect constant is big is endowment not pay a debt in kind or by labour. Greenbelt serves as the state-owend enterprise of Shanghai, indebted rate is so high, I indeed bad understanding, who knows to leave a message to me.
See indebted rate be in the enterprise between 80%-85% again, basically have 10 thousand divisions, green city and happiness of an ancient name for China. With 10 thousand divisions some closer year come the posture of rapid dilate, indebted rate can maintain this level to be pretty good, at least or the garden of green jade laurel that measure level than be in together and constant gist are low.
I believe to be in these 3 companies, everybody had better surprise still is happiness of an ancient name for China, because every other concerns Yu Huaxia for some time the hearsay of insecurity of happy capital catenary, before paragraph time has more write long article from media for this thing. I do not think the absurd that does not have a basis adds conjecture, for the moment believes the data that this money signs up for, but once had " a civilian look forward to passes financing of method of 21 kinds of financing 300 billion " article, the money ability that the article basically is happiness of pair of an ancient name for China substantially v&v compliment, but am I thinking of the bottom is to many is short of Qian Cai to you can use method of 21 kinds of financing,go money of be in harmony?
About green city, indebted rate also has 80% above, the person outside the industry estimates bad understanding, because this is in the company below leader of boss of the Song Dynasty,mix those seeing to be like more radical company difference it seems that very big, why be in debt is rate so high also?
Of course the personage inside course of study is very good understanding, the management concept with the product consummate creed of boss of the Song Dynasty, cause cost of green city product tall, (the price is high and) go changing slow, once appeared for a time the problem of capital catenary insecurity, in those days grandson the boss returns within an inch of to enter advocate greenbelt became large stockholder. Later with grandson the boss identifies shopkeeper of the Song Dynasty in small gain had better eldest brother and end, hand in into large stockholder in the state-owend enterprise that finally is heavy big.
But do not have method, such management go down, short time of high indebted rate is very difficult change.
We see indebted rate be in again 80% above a few companies -- in the sea, keep land of benefit, Long Hu, gold. Once followed the personage inside landed course of study to communicate, the public praise of these a few companies is better, although pay does not calculate particularly tall, but the culture of the company is approbated degree taller, main body specializations now and on humanitarian consideration.
The sea is mixed in protecting interest is a state-owend enterprise, element with financing cost low and famous, besides master certain outside advantaged resource, also be ability of a kind of money reflect. And Long Hu and golden ground these two companies, style is compared all along dovish, so development also is shown a bit backward, the golden ground that once enrolled Baomojin has dropped defeat 10 beyond, but be born as grain industry " golden ground " the dovish style that still maintaining oneself.
Long Hu's culture all the time by environment place recognition, these a few years development also is quite rapid, with " thick accumulate thin hair " will describe not exaggerative. Good company culture may make what the company goes farther quite, who laughs so who is finally just to win the home. Our wait and see what happens.
Introductive: In this times, with area piece catenary is the computer new technology that uses pattern, AI the new technology that artificial intelligence heads, share the new pattern that give priority to, new retail the new economy that forms for gather together of new job condition; Accelerating pattern of heavy model trade, reform of economy of domestic supply side enters deep water area, finance is about to leave cruel grow and return to source, take off empty to solid already became final conclusion, chinese economy grows new old kinetic energy to change extremely urgent, be in new in process of round of reform, of our country in small civilian battalion enterprise this what course to follow?
For this, we will be in 2018 on July 27 - 29 days, hold summit of capital regale president meeting and the 2nd " Chinese company group peak of thinking day cacique is met " !
We assemble in public figure of authority of cacique of top class business circles of specially invite home, academia, poineering a dark horse and mainstream media Shenzhen, with " heavy model commerce? The ode can not come " for the theme, around " new business, innovation, do poineering work, achieve join drive, new technology of area piece catenary, share economy " wait for heat topic for discussion to seek an economy to develop a tendency!
Invite CCTV2 ceremoniously at the appointed time " poineering hero is collected " on all investor advisers, invited Tsinghua to accuse Xu Jinghong, the Mao Daqing of actor guest workshop, achieve greatly cast president Sun Dongsheng, blueness is achieved in cast president to pay many 50 home such as cliff big Ga of top class investment!
Invite each entrepreneur to attend me designedly this capital regale, at the same time also numerous star visits the site, it is throughout history (political bound) (capital group) (star group) (media group) (500 strong companies of world) exceed great sumptuous dinner when attend jointly!
The peak meets value: Basically be a help it is difficult that medium and small businesses solves an enterprise to manage, sale is difficult, the question with difficult financing, the poineering experience that the big Ga that the spot comes to can share them, analysis each industry trend and how to develop below the trend now, you can know the news of domestic foremost edge, master capital trends, for you company future is endowed with can.
Numerous much big Ga has decided banquet truly!
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