Like the friends of football and full prize, always can encounter a football to forecast in inaccurate circumstance, next very crestfallen, a little young even associate people lost a lot of money accordingly.
That looks be like very simple success, smooth, negative, probability of every kinds of circumstance is average 33% , why to always still guess forbid? Because, you think much!
Generally speaking, according to the actual strength of two team, can divide for swipe strong, weak dozen of weak, swipe is weak 3 kinds, among them swipe is final seemingly infirmly come out in order to judge, but often still explode an unexpected winner.
And the company that forecasts eventuate in order to recommend a football to be born, for example magic square of Netease red variety, emperor knowing a ball, football, somebody made special count, these collecting fees the accuracy rate that the expert calculates also has 50%-60% left and right sides only, and cast coin to also be not differred too much.
Archimedes
Why is football game is forecasted always to forbid? This is a good issue!
Above all, according to what everybody forecasts match result?
A lot of people say, look main area is mixed dish of buccal compensate rate and dish buccal change is waited a moment. Of this answer very good, the 2nd problem, what does basic biscuit contain? A lot of people say, main area includes this sports season rank, truck circumstance of station history, rest and reorganization, injury stops report, weather forecast, advocate guest field, head meaning of economic atmosphere of hair battle array, club, battle. Hum, pretty good, become you to be able to speak out above name, the specification has been a football has a fever friendly. The 3rd problem, is above all do you know these data? Someone can say, understand probably a few, APP is quite much now, can see freely. OK, this also is a fact, the 4th problem, these data had, you are clear about immanent algorithm, and can accurate forecasted football game? Some people can say, algorithmic? I understand however a few, but of numerate, with the result of real competition, often abhorrent.
OK, that problem comes out, a lot of people can obtain the near future data of 70% , also can fumble come out a few algorithm, why does that often still appear forecast not accurate? is football game come to impossibly by accurate dope?
Strap inside · flute gets stuck
Want to discuss this issue, above all, we must admit, the football is a science, the football is a gather economics, statistical, physics, psychological science. This is a huge system, mere knowledge above " fur " insufficient still, still need to understand the following fur, for example: Advocate field advantage can bring probability of how many goal, national income of population of international match experience, nation, average per capita can bring probability of how many goal, a copy kept as a record of some countries is good, OK and additional bring probability of how many goal, still a lot of kinds use probability to learn, statistical analytic method, for example dust collect forecast rate of law, goal to forecast 6 law, military successes to forecast a law to wait quite quite, these " fur " you should learn one by one.
That above fur learned, can accurate forecasted football game result? Still be no good! You still need to buy many, historical match data of at least 10 years, the data before including game, data in contest, dish buckle data to wait, different company quoted price is different, hundred thousands of to about a hundred 10 thousand differ, core data may want a few ten million, on 100 million.
Gauss
These static data are only insufficient still, some inside information you are to must want some, for instance Wotefude will be mixed tomorrow the match of graceful city, their come on the stage battle array, you must arrange business affairs public relations, get a few players " bathhouse " message. Of course, you had better keep close with each big club managers with good communication, these are not exterior information, often be it is very important. Not be to want you to expend gigantic endowment the or so match, ball that get a holiday, however these information have immediate effect to match result.
Does that above data buy a hand always OK and accurate forecasted match result? Still be no good, because you do not know the logistic concern with these underlying data and algorithm. You need to ask a whole world to carry class maths scientist on the head! Yes, you were not misreaded, it is world top class mathematician! Is the undergraduate students no good all right? Be no good! Where is graduate student? Also be no good! Where is doctoral student? Also be no good! Must be top class scientist!
Newton
Because you consider the business that do, it is the business that company of color of world top class rich is doing, 70% class mathematician are making the whole world rich colour is algorithmic, and these algorithm are most the secret of core, both neither is passed male also do not pass female, the recipe that resembles Coke Cola is same. You should be done, think method knows these to carry progression on the head to learn the home namely, depending on you is world economy or political super influence, and enough much capital, go these top class mathematician are prize you are used.
Pass a few months and even effort of several years next, congratulation you, you are OK and accurate forecast football game!
Euclid
If you do not do above, that throws coin, the knowledge that perhaps uses in one's power is unconscious. After all, even if is the China that can build an atom bomb, full prize algorithm also is to be on the foundation that Hong Kong horse meets " improved " , did not develop football algorithm to oneself formidably. After all, who lets you carry progressional argue learning the home on the head with the world of 70% !
