Zhou Yi (on December 3) market risk mood continues to pick up, because situation of Sino-US on the weekend trade comes out,interest good news makes mouth of easy of market of short duration angry. Before this, the dollar flows into before this avoid risk capital is poured out of ceaselessly, plus beautiful couplet store official speech slants columbine. The dollar takes situation day inside bear press be issued to lower levels, drop defeat 97 col, beautiful tonight couplet store many official comes on stage again, dollar index will greet a prices again!
When Weir is making a speech, Bao points out last week, beautiful couplet store standard interest rate still slightly under neuter level. Investor thinks Bao power Er by " eagle " turn " columbine " , because Bao power Er ever expressed in October " arrive at neuter interest rate to still have ' a very long way ' " .
Bao power Er releases columbine clique signal suddenly, your market to beautiful couplet store add next year breath anticipate drop in temperature considerably. New York couplet store chairman Williams Mu this also speak say, more extensive question is inflation too low; Bright Niabolisi couplet store chairman Kashenkali thinks American interest rate is close to neuter.
In waiting to report in, economist Robert Rosener writes Magenshidanli, tighten in view of financial environment hasten, and the fundamental key that decision-making official near future speaks has delicate change, beautiful couplet store reduce economy possibly on the conference December to anticipate, latticedot matrix pursues more hasten columbine clique.
This Zhou San (on December 5) , beautiful couplet store chairman Bao Weir general combines Economic Commission make testimony with respect to economic foreground in congress. In the market pressing expectation searchs more about beautiful couplet store during summing the message of breath respect next year, the speech of Bao power Er is sure to cause this week market wave motion.
Beautiful couplet store added the hammer on breath a list of names posted up in December?
Last week 5 (on November 30) before dawn beautiful couplet store issuance conference summary shows, almost all official attending the meeting thinks, if economy is behaved,be accorded with or strong at anticipating, interval of target of federal fund interest rate before long hind go up again tone may be reasonable. Officials still show, undertake modification on a few conferences that the policy after their meeting states the likelihood needs shortly to will be held, involve committee to be opposite especially ' add stage by stage further breath ' expectant expression.
Added breath hind in December, the interval of neuter interest rate that policy interest rate will be close to policymaker place to estimate 2.5 ％ - the bottom of 3.5 ％ . Meanwhile, beautiful couplet store officials are emphasizing them more and more depend on economic norms and data to tell them to be close to neutral position.
According to the report, gao Cheng thinks, beautiful couplet store future can not appear apparent monetary policy is adjusted, will add next year cease 4 times, the rise with admit to them the look up before the risk appeared certain at the same time.
Gao Cheng expresses, american economy continues with prep above the rate of long-term trend rises, unemployment rate hopeful falls to 3.5% the following, this will make beautiful couplet store continue to adding advancement of the stride on the road of breath. A few days since, economist people admit fundamental key produced change, however, the inflation that they point out driving growth, stability and the unemployment rate that drop ceaselessly should be met couplet inviting the beauty store tighten up monetary policy, and last to next year. The market thinks generally also, beautiful couplet store added in December ceasing is final work almost.
The Gao Cheng economist such as Jan Hatzius expresses in a report, market share exaggerated the change of Bao power Er, because of beautiful couplet store the anticipation that increases prospect to economy and the preference that cease to be being added stage by stage basically keep changeless.
And Magendatong and the point of view that fill high are more unanimous, they think twice at the same time, add continuously breath can make the circumstance that face of whole market flow appears to be tightened relatively, nevertheless, this does not affect American economy the abidance of main area grows.
Although Gaocheng and Magendatong think beautiful couplet store will continue to add breath, but their person of the same trade Magenshidanli expressed different view.
Ellen Zentner of economist of presiding United States expresses Magenshidanli, beautiful couplet store the official may be in will add the anticipation of breath 2019 the frequency is reduced 3 times from attending a meeting in September come twice. Magenshidanli predicts, beautiful couplet store will cease at was being added in December, will mix in March 2019 next added again in June cease twice, subsequently time-out is added breath.
