These two days gave two big informations! One is before dawn beautiful couplet resolution of interest rate of Chu Xuan cloth nots throw the troops into battle, it is to maintain 2.25%-5% as before between. Another is Jinan cancels price fixing.
In this cruel brother talks the influence of this two big newses to the stock market and building city.
Cruel brother talks beautiful couplet first store do not add breath. This one result anticipates with the market about the same, shrinking nevertheless the more columbine clique that anticipates than the market again on list plan and latticedot matrix graph.
This the mainest in discussing news conference message is:
The first: Suggestion of latticedot matrix graph is not added this year breath, add next year cease.
The 2nd: Shrink list plan will begin to put delay May, end will stop to shrink in September 2019 list plan.
1
After discussing breath resolution to announce, stock market respect, quickness of Dow Jones index rises, rise nevertheless the trend was not maintained very long, closing quotation callback.
Beautiful debt yield suffers an effect bigger, before dawn 10 years quickness of yield of period beauty debt dives.
The word of dollar index ceases to discussing because of market of this paragraph of time of the result forecast itself to be not added namely breath, so index of dollar of this paragraph of time basically is to stem from downtrend, now result be born, it is benefit air vents instead.
Why beautiful couplet store act out of normal behaviour, does expression get so columbine group?
Beautiful couplet store the Central Bank that is the United States actually, one of its action adjust namely American economy. Can say beautiful couplet store everything what what do is for economic progress of the United States, so beautiful couplet store behave this so because American economy current situation produced change,dovish reason basically is.
Adding breath itself is to adjust of the United States inflationary problem, cease through adding reclaim the money on the market defies thereby inflation.
The inflation that comes to the United States nearly one year is led from highest 2.9 drop this year 1.5 Feburary, and inflation led American core to basically be maintained since the portion in August 2018 between 2.1-2.2, be in more healthy level.
This means beautiful couplet store had done not have necessary resemble worrying about inflationary problem of the United States in that way before again, will look from this respect understandable why beautiful couplet store do not add ceased.
2
Beautiful couplet store do not add breath is cruel exposed signal
Respecting is added breath, what everybody thinks of first most is exchange rate problem of course, clearly, do not add breath can alleviate the pressure that rising market fund pours out of the part and exchange rate changes.
Beautiful couplet store do not increase the Central Bank reduce pressure that ceases to give us namely actually, before beautiful couplet store add for many times breath, we although for many times not immediate follow-up is added breath, but also can go against for example through lateral means counter-purchase, the means such as MLF will alleviate accrual difference, maintain the stability of exchange rate thereby.
Actually the Central Bank is counter-purchased to going against after the Spring Festival and MLF operation is tightened up relatively, beautiful now couplet store do not add breath, so the apprehension of the Central Bank also is done not have so much, so the Central Bank can increase likely go against counter-purchase the number that handles with MLF, also give lower interest addition space.
To the influence of the stock market
Beautiful couplet store the if be direct,affects actually word with domestic stock market, the influence is not very big.
The Qian Fang with American fewer investor is if be being affected in respecting like fructification couplet going to the beauty store, so possible the big A that more money will come invest us, namely the change of foreign capital.
In addition, the monetary policy that still having an indirect effect is domestic Central Bank changes the influence to the stock market. Because of the stock market rise the support that needs capital. So if the Central Bank raises the fund on the market, can meet to stock market market so one carries display vigour to use.
Actually, cruel elder brother thinks more important is to investment a kind of good future anticipates, such circumstance conduces to the confidence of investor restoring. The prices of the stock market goes this year situation will be betterer than 2018, in light of whole 2019 also is profitable effect a taller year actually.
3
For finally building city, the room of many places borrows the amplitude modulation on interest rate to be in all the time recently drop, this meeting makes a trend, beautiful couplet store columbine clique more support this one trend.
Before passing, cruel brother once also had said, the defray that buys one flatlet is much with basically depend on less two respects. The first it is house price issue, the 2nd it is interest rate problem.
Of next harmonic interest rate of house price reduce not regular meeting to appear with time. Although stability is fundamental key now, but fine tuning also is some. When house price is low interest rate may not just low, vice versa.
When both generation conflicts, proposal of cruel elder brother is first issue of consideration house price, go considering interest rate issue again.
Look from house price, home is in relatively stable condition before house marked price of the city individually, building city Indian summer came 2019, valence had the room of city of line of a few just a little to rise slightly.
Jinan comes out recently the message should unlock price fixing. Media reports recently first " Jinan unlocked price fixing to be restricted to sign in the round in Feburary 2019 " the message encircles transmission in the friend, the reporter is interviewing Jinan city to build appoint hind be informed, policy of governmental price fixing cancels really, but be restricted to buy policy still applying.
Jinan is the provincial capital city of Shandong, shandong of specification of overgrown with weeds should do Jinan annex Lai greatly strong the Jinan that regards provincial capital as the city, because this cancels,be being affected to the house price of Jinan after price fixing is it is certain to can have on the price rise. But because be restricted to buy,still be in, that is to say demand change won't be particularly big.
Cruel finally elder brother thinks, city of line of just a little 2019 the change of house price will be sure in have slight the condition that rise.
These cities are optimal the opportunity that buy a house has come, 2019 if the house of city of line of just a little was taken a fancy to, can consider a helper actually.
