A academic main effect is directive practice.
Build all the way from one belt there already are 5 years since putting forward superabundant, a lot of people may be right this concept already not unfamiliar, understand Anbangzhiku's constituency even, still understand us to be in " one belt all the way " before the concept appears, put forward " the Common Market of new the Silk Road " , but, mutual to backside of these two concepts theory is known, some readers did not understand certainly.
Tell simply, rational talking props up both backside, one is land power theory, one is sea power theory.
We see land power theory today first.
One, Maijinde's Liu Quan is talked
Haerfude Maijinde
Traditional and inchoate Liu Quan thinks theoretically, as the development of onshore vehicle, of Eurasia " heart region " become the mainest strategy area. Well-known, this is by Maijinde " geographical hub of the history " , " democratic ideal and reality " and " the whole world wins peace " the theory that 3 articles are summed up and becomes.
Mai Jinde adds up to Eurasia and Africa call " of " world island, world island most central place calls " hinterland " . Is he adduce and many does the region of conqueror subtense predestined relationship that historical fact specification comes from mainland hinterland side with 3 direction dilate and aggressive: ? Fu makes fun of relatively Hui of damask silk of horsefly outskirt Jing ascends northeast direction of? of of exhaust of bucket Mu to arrive via Siberia and Alaska America; to European brim region and southern hinterland arrive on the west. World history is pressing these directional development as a whole.
Look in Maijinde, the history of whole world is the history that mainland powerful nation and marine powerful nation struggle each other, although sea power power has taken an advantage, but will look from long-term perspective, because labor power of land authority state and material resources are resourceful, and traffic is improved increasingly, sea power country will be squelched by institute of Liu Quan state eventually.
The Liu Quan of ▲ Mai Jinde is talked
Accordingly he puts forward, the Europe that world power centre of gravity is in, inferior, blame 3 continent develop as a result of onshore traffic, already turned a world into the island, the center of world island is located in the heart region with mid Eurasia.
2, Liu Quan talks regression: Capital and content sort technical development
Old result early insists to think in research, of this development because of world course and case of sea freight rate cheap bring about look be like " outdated " Liu Quan talking, have adv unimaginably value and sense as before inside today's world. Such understanding comes from the research activity since Yu Chengong is long-term, he formed two his important discovery in this foundation.
The first discovers, rise abruptly of the flow of capital and Liu Quan afresh have significant correlation. Capital always is the implementation of angle profit, only the mainland on geographical space is not marine, ability offers such possibility to capital. So, capital is acting the part with night day Caesarean and liege colony and action in theory of power of new now land, capital forces the wrestle field of world power, returned the mainland afresh from ocean.
The 2nd discovers, world other people flows to technical happening develops and evolve, this includes martial content to flow to also include civil other people to flow. Tall iron technology is developing, the construction of freeway network pervades the world, will reduce content finally to spread cost, promote carriage efficiency substantially. Meanwhile, marine change as a result of the city of world main haven however, the times compared with night day, great promoted cost. This disappear the other party is chief, the importance photograph of the sea had been reduced compared with the world of former days.
3, creed of new Liu Quan: National actual strength depends on the contention to the space
Perhaps, a simple function model can explain new Liuquan idea of Chen Gong better. Chen Gong thinks, the actual strength of a country can be conveyed with economic growth, and the economy of a country grows, can convey with a function:
G=H (S)
In this function, h represents population, because of,be variable; S represents a space, it is independent variable, the did not come namely as a result economy of this function grows G, namely national actual strength. In this among them, the key depends on dimensional S strive for and control.
As to population H, the economic growth of any country is a service at population, left population, economic growth will lose a sense.
Assume world politics economy is in short-term in won't produce structural sex change, population and the rich and the poor, won't appear in certain state and area major change, so the result that economy grows, all sorts of products with the breathtaking dimensions that factor of production is changed and comes namely and commodity, unless have the market space that enlarges ceaselessly, will lose value otherwise, be without a meaning even. This shows, the space that case digital-to-analogue medium S place represents is variable, have huge conclusive meaning.
4, how to implement dimensional change?
Advantageous position of this one new land is academic actually unlock a mystery is round.
The world is full of capital superfluous, produce can superfluous, most commodity price all is depressed strongly, meanwhile fictitious economy expands increasingly, of financial system trade to break away from hypostatic economy increasingly, the shadow of financial crisis always is when show when concealed, what be affected badly and disturbed world each country is stable with market order and flounce off hard.
How to defeat solution such difficult situation?
Generally speaking, economics always assumes the space is changeless, economic growth builds what try to measure on the foundation with changeless space namely theoretically, the computation of GDP also is such. Those who be not coincidence is, our world always is such, every time when economist is at a loss what to do, geopolitics home appears personally with respect to this solve a problem.
The result is actual not complex. The key is the change that seeks a space, adopt the change of dimensional variable, enlarge the dimensions of the market and population. Once population and market dimensions all appear,grow, the real value that economy increases can be shown, all sorts of type return rate of capital will rise considerably.
The reader that pays close attention to fair number of An Bangzhi library all the time still perhaps remembers, our premise has arrived, configuration of 3 kinds of wars exists on the world, it is shooting war respectively, cold war, trade war. On world history, dimensional change often implements through shooting war, so war and peace are the theme that people cares from beginning to end. Just mix because of warlike cruelty annihilative, people is attracted morely by the decision of politicians, forgot the meaning of economy of ground predestined relationship of political backside instead.
In fact, the frequency of modern war is far it is than historical period tall, the warlike machine that contends for a space falls to be run continuously in the political concept of all sorts of confuse the people's minds from beginning to end, arrive from Iraq, Afghanistan Syria, mix to Wukelan again the South Asian Subcontinent. All backside of these wars on modern world, have capital and the sign that the space contends for, new Liu Quan just announced theoretically the rule of among them ground fringe politics and economy just.
With the war crude what differ with fear is, contention space dimensions also has the kind of modern culture, that is trade war. Trade war is different from the war that plane cannon turns white-hot in that way, the key is defeated in the emulative policy that spends at 6 dimension and strategic win:
1, the technology that wins advantage place and intellectual property. Without technology and intellectual property, consume the slave of commodity namely forever, without lead position of the country, have the commodity space with competitive future impossibly also.
2, commerce space and the border that consume a space and its safeguard. Lost the dimensional border of commerce and consumption and safeguard, will bring about the market to be without a meaning, the market is a family, the standard is a family, the economy of one country depends on those who make the market of his country article.
3, the political conflict of configuration of ideological, culture and moral configuration. Ideological with culture morality, make a kind of main force and weapon increasingly in current world, become differentiate a group of things with common features group, company group and the important basis of the allied forces and social symbol mark.
4, the interest of money and financial capital, safety and risk control. The safety of financial capital and money and fluidity, it is the most important Leakey and market base, lost the safety of finance and money, national general not country, all have no way are mentioned.
5, law. Law is the system of regular composition, it is the force quantity that organization of government of a kind of by and organism will come to carry out. Be in today's world, of law exceed a country to apply early had become normal state.
6, market alliance and area cooperate. The market of all sorts of configuration reachs the collaboration of area and alliance, it is the important pattern of market space originally, various area organizations and alliance are organized, form the market concern with world daedal market and profit impact, the person that make the important participator of world market and effective control increasingly.
Notable is, these 6 dimension spend the formation with world market space and change inseparable, use the strategy that these 6 dimension spend, policy and tool effectively, the dimensions of space of market of world of OK and significant change and generation to it relevant consequence.
5, new the Silk Road
Chen Gong of researcher of An Bangshou banquet is the scholar of economy of the earliest research and relation of ground fringe politics, also be one of Chinese scholars that study new the Silk Road the earliest, just differ with coetaneous scholar, he holds supportive manner and position from beginning to end to new the Silk Road.
New the Silk Road is a typical display of trade war.
In the old structure of world trade, atlantic trade axle center appears the earliest, in this trade axle center all round, it is the traditional west developed country after Industrial Revolution, be like each country of boreal Europe, England, Europe and Canada and United States, their powerful and prosperous rise because of Industrial Revolution, all rely on sea Quan Liguo basically and the trend is powerful.
From latter-day to contemporary, in the other a side of the world, still put in axle center of trade of a Pacific Ocean, this trade axle center because Asia " 4 small dragon " appear and the world is famous, from above to below, go to Japan from Korea, mix to Hong Kong, Taiwan again Singapore, because they cross a state commerce and industry are transferred and arisen, the trend is modern.
If our scan widely did not come, compare with Atlantic trade axle center and photograph of axle center of Pacific Ocean trade, there still is the axle center of the 3rd trade of Eurasia of over or across on the history actually, this is axle center of trade of the Silk Road.
Tangsong's civilized development, all concern with old the Silk Road. And contemporary " new the Silk Road " latent capacity, also not allow likewise small gaze. Place the state of the Silk Road of the inter, have valuable resource mostly, arrive from oil natural gas golden mine, still have the precious metal such as copper, Beryllium, dysprosium, lithium, this area is useful still at developing nuclear energy and the basic material of production nuclear warhead -- uranium and plutonium. And no matter be mine product or oil, china is main buyer's market, attribute main demand square. In coming from inferior horses is a kind of costly commodity, be welcomed in China and India all along. Even Wukelan's rich black soil, it is a kind of commodity, government of a blame organizes discovery, annual only Wukelan is valuable the soil of nearly 1 billion dollar is regarded as commodity to sell on world market by gouge.
Not only such, china is cosmopolitan consumable production big country, and Chinese advantage yields tasting just also is the goods that institute of state of along the line of new the Silk Road lacks urgently. From these mainland poverties the industrial demand of the area looks, chinese just is the state that can satisfy its to need most. We exist in these domains serious yield can be superfluous, existence sells the goods that does not go out in great quantities inside storehouse. If we choose " new the Silk Road " , the choice puts strategic emphasis in the mainland and not be marine, we can welcome the historic strategic opportunity that solves these problems period.
