Beijing of center extensive network on March 26 message (Li Pan of reporter Xu Jiahui is strange) the sound that occupies China " late height watchs military situation " message, according to the report, install dominant by fierce of heart of Syrian library Er " Syria is democratic army " 23 days announce to take next extremes to organize " Mohammedan country " last fortified point -- the Baguci of province of Dai Erzu Er presses down Syrian the eastpart part. American respect also announces before this, the extreme is organized " Mohammedan country " lose all control division in Syria completely already.
Develop to Syrian future condition, martial observer Du Wenlong is accepting the analysis when ending wide reporter interviews: The extreme is organized " Mohammedan country " after exeunting, syrian home contradiction will be highlighted; Meanwhile, the Bo Yiye between interest of department of substandard of the United States, Russia can make Syrian condition is full of variable.
Contrast of Syrian war from beginning to end pursues (data chart, origin network)
Review · Syria civil war initiative
Syrian civil war, it is to show from 2011 the beginning of the year lasts up to now Syrian government and Syrian opposition organization, " Mohammedan country " the conflict between. Of Syria activity of governmental put on a show of force began on January 26, 2011 and upgraded on March 15 instead, turned over activity of governmental put on a show of force to evolve to arm subsequently conflict.
After Syrian crisis erupted in March 2011, in the part the interpose of big country falls, syrian condition arrives from demonstration armed conflict, from " Syria is free army " appear " Mohammedan country " a new force suddenly rises, form appraise finally governmental army, opposition arms, extreme organization arms etc with all possible means the situation of hilltop of battle royal, race to control.
This year on March 23, of armed dominant of heart of Syrian library Er " Syria is democratic army " announce to take next extremes to organize " Mohammedan country " last fortified point, the Baguci that is located in Zu Er of acting Er of Syrian the eastpart part to save is pressed down. American respect also announces before this, the extreme is organized " Mohammedan country " lose all control division in Syria completely already.
Analysis of martial observer Du Wenlong thinks, before this, syrian civil war, although be put in many different armament, but its are collective the target is " fear instead " . Organize in the extreme " Mohammedan country " after exeunting, common cause is lost, syrian home contradiction will be highlighted.
"If governmental army also regards opposition as horrible interest now, regard a country as not stable element, the martial fight of governmental army and opposition will become normal state that henceforth. The martial fight of governmental army and opposition will become normal state that henceforth..
What course to follow of condition of prospective · Syria
Syrian civil war just got the support of different country each. The United States and Russia are supporting opposition and government respectively army, the Bo Yihui of backside makes big country whole the combat form of Syrian churchyard appears bigger rebounding. In " hit Mohammedan state " after this target disappears, relation of Syrian churchyard strategy can be recombined, bilateral strategic goal and strategic intent also can produce bigger change.
Analysis of martial observer Du Wenlong thinks, henceforth, around talk and make two issues, bilateral conference spreads out new round negotiation. If be in all sorts of peace talks outside the condition, include to cannot gain headway in the peace talks of the Three Kingdoms, so bilateral regular on battlefield meeting talks with fist.
"So, after the calm down of short time, bilateral around respective and occupational of feudal size, population how many, of resource wait for a respect by force infirmly, can spread out new round armed fight. Can spread out new round armed fight..
The town inserts Ba Guci on " triumphal banner " , do not mean " Mohammedan country " influence and the control ability that will be in whole area henceforth can drop. Martial observer Du Wenlong thinks, the extreme is organized " Mohammedan country " the be defeated in Syria, do not mean ultraism mind inside global limits disappear. If " Mohammedan country " become subgroup multichannel to undertake osmotic, be aware of very hard, so inside whole area limits, the place that the element collects odd Mohammedan state in certain not to imagine afresh likely launch assault afresh.
So, world each country is mixed to ultraism be on guard terroristicly to still cannot treat sth lightly.
