In, off shore RMB appreciates continuously to dollar exchange rate in pairs refresh since last year

Every classics reporter: Every classics edits Zhang Xiwei: Yi Qijiang

Since New Year, RMB exchange rate continued to go of year end take strong posture.

Picture origin: Photograph graph net

On January 9, in, off shore RMB continues tall, pan Zhongshuang double breakthrough 6.93, refresh since August 2019 new tall. Among them, off shore RMB is highest to dollar exchange rate rise for a time to 6.9173. Enter 6 of 2020 to trade in a few days, the RMB is highest to dollar spot exchange rate accumulative total appreciates to exceed 0.8% for a time. Up to on January 9 afternoon 17:00, in, temporary to dollar exchange rate callback reachs RMB of off shore market 6.93 lower part.

Notable is, in the blame such as euro, pound dollar money takes low case in succession, enter since 2020, dollar index already accumulative total rises more than 1% .

Many analyst is factitious, hopeful of short-term RMB exchange rate is maintained strong, but can not appreciate considerably. The main area that affects RMB exchange rate did not appear to be changed at all, future will keep stable continuously, with two-way interval wave motion is given priority to.

On January 9, the RMB is right valence signs up for among dollar exchange rate 6.9497, relatively go up to trade day is small fall after a rise 47 base point.

Although the RMB is right,price appears among dollar exchange rate fall after a rise, but the enthusiasm that did not reduce RMB bull. On January 9, RMB of off shore market is right dollar exchange rate all the way concussion goes tall, add breaks through Pan Zhonglian 6.93, two 6.92 col, refresh since August 2019 new tall; Leave high to dollar exchange rate to go high in bank market RMB, broke through 6.93 col, daytime is highest to 6.9207, similar break since August 2019 new tall.

Actually, this already was to be in, off shore RMB trades the 3rd times continuously to dollar exchange rate day in pairs goes tall. And in enter 6 of 2020 to trade meridian, in, off shore RMB rises to accumulative total of dollar exchange rate all exceed 0.8% for a time.

Notable is, of near future of RMB exchange rate appreciate, finish below the case that goes tall continuously in the dollar.

Data shows, enter since 2020, end Beijing time on January 9 17:00, dollar index accumulative total rises more than 1% . With one period of time, euro, pound, yen, bay yuan waited for money of main blame dollar to all appear to the dollar of distinct range go low, among them bay yuan add dollar drops more than 2% ; Euro add dollar drops more than 0.8% .

Oriental Jin Cheng expresses in ongoing newspaper, benefit from benefit from is Sino-US the active arrangement that is about to sign agreement of trade of classics of the first phase, RMB exchange rate goes tall; And Chinese PMI data continues outspread, also maintain to RMB exchange rate strong offer prop up.

To the strong performance of exchange rate of near future RMB, ongoing newspaper middle finger counts galactic futures, after exchange rate of RMB add dollar breaks through 6.95 col, mean interval of RMB wave motion to may enter the wave motion of top part body from next casing, it is certain to show strong, but RMB exchange rate is maintained two-way the fluctuant feature that has government does not have a change. This basically did not appear to be changed at all because of the main area that affects RMB exchange rate. Galactic futures thinks, exchange rate of RMB add dollar will around 6.95 relatively balanced levels, be in 6.7 and 7.2 between two-way wave motion.

On January 7, people bank released the data of foreign exchange reserve of newest first phase. Data shows, up to December 2019 end, dimensions of our country foreign exchange reserve is three thousand one hundred and seven billion nine hundred million dollar, relatively will rise in November 12.3 billion dollar, rise 0.4% ; Relatively the beginning of the year rises 35.2 billion dollar, rise 1.1% .

To the account that dimensions of our country foreign exchange reserve adds, the viewpoint of market personage agrees basically, all think the element such as the change with exchange rate convert into money and asset value is concerned.

Wang Chunying of division of spokesman of news of bureau of national exchange control, total economy also answers with respect to concerned problem the reporter asks in express, in December, continuance of supply and demand of market of our country foreign currency balances pattern basically. Suffer the element such as general election of footing of monetary policy of Central Bank of global trade situation, main country, England to affect, price of index of the dollar on international money market, main state bond drops somewhat. The collaboration of element put together such as exchange rate convert and asset value change is used, scope of foreign exchange reserve is little rise.

Notable is, people bank worked 2020 a few days ago in the conference, continueing to emphasize " the basic stability that maintains RMB exchange rate to go up in reasonable and balanced level " on, bring up again " the decisive action in insisting to develop the market to be formed in exchange rate " .

Xie Yaxuan of presiding and macroscopical analyst expresses center of development of research of the negotiable securities that enrol business, look into 2020, the abroad in forecasting store compasses imitate will rise further, prime cause includes: Was 2020 American economy photograph relatively the possibility that loses at euro area and Japanese economy performance is larger, because this judges a dollar to turn,lose, rise from what foreign exchange reserve conduces to in light of element of exchange rate convert. 2 it is the Central Bank already made known his position to wanted 2020 " the decisive action in insisting to develop the market to be formed in exchange rate " , this is adumbrative because the market intervenes and the move brings about remaining sum of foreign exchange reserve fluctuant possibility is smaller. 3 it is to predict yield of foreign exchange reserve can bring the remaining sum that 60 billion dollar controls to increase 2020.

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