Hu Qun of reporter of economic observation network on January 13, a change yesterday impetus, 3 big show collective is low, card index rises on 0.14% , deep card is become point to go up 0.2% , do poineering work board point to go up 0.01% . Up to when distributing news dispatches, 3 big point to still be in drop posture.
On January 12, 5 years are lain between when, card index stands in 3600 bits again on, a profitable effect is shown further. Came 2021 on January 12, card index rises on 3.90% , deep card is become point to rise 6.84% , shanghai is deep 300 rise 7.39% , do poineering work board point to rise 7.22% . Although grail index was brushed together on January 12,brush rise, but be not general to go up, and clinch a deal the quantity did not follow to the limit of one's capacity, instead relatively on one trades day of atrophy many yuan 1200. In 56 industries, 4 industries index drops. Be in a respect, rise domestic number has 2516 only, occupy only 6 into, drop have 1384, occupy become than exceeding 3.
Qing Ming of Zhao of expert of international finance problem thinks, leave integratedly this year year since before 7 trade the stock market expression of day, the difficulty that the stock market earns money this year will is more than last year, choosing a side especially, the choice is undeserved, want to look at an index to rise helplessly not only, want possibly still to incur market prise loss.
"Chinese A general goes up rising market " . This was on January 12, assistant president of department of solution of round personal fortune does obeisance to black Shi Ji Verne of human relations · (Qi De of · of tall of division of strategy of Byron Wien) and presiding investment (Joe Zidle) announced them to forecast " 2021 10 big accident " , be seleted to it still have " opportunity of American stock market expands " . Verne is him to think the odds that happens inside a year exceeds 50% to accident definition, but the incident that professional investor thinks generally to produce odds to be 1/3 only.
On January 8, vanward navigate releases global economy and market were looked into 2021 show, "We use what evenhanded value standard undertakes to the stock to forecast a result to make clear, although global stock market not by serious overmeasure, but also won't produce redound of high specified number in future. This also is meant inside global limits, different value interval is put in the investment opportunity with sweeping move. Will lie for a long time in view of interest rate inferior level, in the future that can foreknow, fixed income kind the return rate of asset appears very hard to grow considerably. Fixed income kind the return rate of asset appears very hard to grow considerably..
As long-term investor, vanward navigate predicts, american stock market anticipates in what did not come 10 years return rate will maintain the interval in 3.7%~5.7% roughly, this and the 3.5%~5.5% that forecasted last year do not have too big difference, but with the past 30 years of 10.6% year change return rate to have very big different. From the point of the angle of Chinese investor, the stock market except China anticipates return rate is between 5%~7% , with the anticipation of Chinese stock market return rate keeps balance.
Strategy of vanward navigate investment and area of research department Asia-Pacific are presiding model of market of capital of navigate of economist, pioneer (VCMM) research group whole world is in charge of Dr. Wangqian to think, appraise of stock market of current United States, rising market, China is worth on the high side, and appraise value on the high side is an US stock the main reason with long-term inferior redound, systole of value of estimate of market of predicting United States will bring an international market above quota accrual.
"Although outclass history is average,US stock appraise is worth level, but still be in reasonable estimate to be worth interval in. " Wang Qian says, level of different market estimate worth has each different, the appraise value of Chinese rising market and American market stock market is the high end during be in reasonable estimate to be worth, appraise is worth on the high side, but also not be bubble. Be not beautiful developed country, include to resemble Europe, England, had been to drop gave reasonable estimate to be worth interval, present appraise to had been been worth low.
Assistant president of department of personal fortune solution does obeisance to black rock group Verne of human relations · (Qi De of · of tall of division of strategy of Byron Wien) and presiding investment (Joe Zidle) thinks, health of cure of US stock traditional Chinese medical science and science and technology the stock price beyond also will be joined rise cavalcade. "Risk preference " (Risk On) is not without the risk, the market will be amended first half of the year nearly 20% , but 500 indexes will be in mark general to rise later on this year to 4500 bits. Periodic will run win defence sex board piece, pannikin will beat grail, k of implementation of stock market general anabiosis. Large science and technology the origin that is fluidity, but this year these will run be defeated by big city.
"I remind everybody at 2 o'clock, the first, hold to long-term investment; The 2nd, hold to diversity investment, dispersive risk, do not put the egg in a basket. " to the capital market 2021, wang Qian expresses, to rising market should be to hold a discretion, upbeat mood, it is among long-term configuration model, vanward navigate is low distribute an US stock, transcend the international market that deserves to be not the United States, and the compensation that the tall redound of rising market can regard high risk as, develop to be not the United States the market is more hopeful.
Be aimed at A, wang Qian thinks, come loose in field of A stock market a setting that be in the majority below, the company that Yang Qun effect can cause everybody to had felt can appear likely overmeasure, and the company that everybody feels bad can appear possibly underestimate, a good investment chance is instead when underestimating, the industry with the different market of invest in China with proposal individual balanced investor and enterprise, have the investment of diversity, give research capability to compare strong professional investor active investment.
This also is why near future A go up potential is higher, a lot of investor do not make money on stock market, instead fund investor won relatively considerable yield account mostly. Business school of the Yangtse River released recently " investor sentiment questionnaire was investigated 2020 (CKISS) the four seasons spends a report " show, this period increase a number what suffer the person that visit to invest to the stock to come loose for 20.9%(completely door it is respectively with financial industry 20.5% with 22%) , than going up period have a bit drop in temperature, but very hopeful; is opposite whole to increase a number of stock fund to come loose for 16.5% (completely door it is respectively with financial industry 16% with 18.3%) , than going up period increase 2.7 percent (medicinal powder door raise 0.2 to mix respectively with financial industry 11 percent) .
