Origin | Army Mr Cao (Mr-Keroro1)
Author | Army Mr Cao
Detroit is the United States is famous " the city of the car " . The automobile factory such as the biggest general, Ford on the world is in this city.
The most brilliant when, this city has 1.8 million person, the 5th big city of the United States that be called, house price once was one of places with American house top price.
Can be the be on the wane as automobile manufacturing industry, unemployed population leap, major person abandons a room migratory to other city, bring about many building person to go the building is empty.
Before 2013, house advocate the villa that buys with 450 thousand dollar, and after 2013, house price cutting sb in two at the waist, this category villa falls to sell to 1000-2000 dollar.
Still the village appears " one yuan sells a house " , even " touch one flatlet to shoe " phenomenon.
To estate, somebody just has the market, only the person can draw the demand that uses housing market. And Detroit the city with backward structure of this kind of industry, the talent is ceaseless prediction of a person's luck in a given year, suffer a disastrous decline of house price nature.
Besides Detroit, a few a wide place in the road of Japanese also face similar crisis.
Of the car Cheng that is apart from Tokyo city district to restrict 2 hours abstruse much Ma Ding, because of lumber industry development is flourishing in the past, local mouth exceeds 13000 much people for a time, get acting 1990 free trade later arisen, youth mouth is many prediction of a person's luck in a given year, arrived this year place only remnant many 5200 dweller.
Later, local government is turn round population drain problem, held water 2014 " empty house bank " , set a few conditions, give chummage freely.
Japan and beautiful national capital are a developed country, town changes development to also compare our country in the past one pace. The problem that they once encountered, also meet slowly show in our country take turns.
As the city group develop, population is transferred to metropolitan circle quickly, someone says, the house price of Chinese small town is in comprehensive Japanize.
China is so big, in north western have so much a wide place in the road, where is the picture that how can you appear again later?
Of these two days of anger that express is, the house price petty gain of crane hillock wants to nobody, in be being said by Ma Yun, if buy green,buy a house, just be 20 thousand yuan a green.
Will see the story of official media:
Reporter of the first finance and economics calls intermediary of many crane hillock 15 days to be informed, the circumstance of network exposure is belonged to solid. How does the basis reside the crane hillock above the guest secondhand Fangyuan shows, total prices 50 thousand and even 50 thousand the following room source is absent a few.
For instance " village of loose crane of a poetic name of China 4 buildings " house, 54 smooth, total prices has 20 thousand only, monovalent every square metre 369 yuan.
An intermediary of local tells the first finance and economics the reporter, the canopy that house great majority of place is the last few years changes a room, construction level is lower, do not have elevator, monovalent hundreds of yuan house is in every square metre commonly the 67 buildings of stair building.
(the character that canopy changes a room and general merchandise house have clear distinction, general goods room can run next rooms immediately this, these rooms may be about several years, and quality is general poorer, living environment is relatively poor also. )
Though canopy changes a room, but anyhow also is a house, still be Lou Ling's very new second bridal chamber, build only does cost make the same score rice 300 yuan not merely far?
Say according to local, crane hillock sends a room to send a car to the police of new device directly.
On March 5, crane hillock public security bureau releases a file to express, should take an examination of only on local police, accord with a condition, can send an one flatlet, car! 985, 211 school doctoral student, still can send 50 thousand every year, a running fire 5 years.
Fierce, although Qiu Xianre is thirsty,accomplish send a room to send a car. The house price petty gain of visible crane hillock arrives what degree.
Besides crane hillock, the house price of Liaoning n is very cheap also, the law is patted pat since Fang Wuyuan, day, a brick is more than also this price!
Belong to what Liaoning saves likewise mound new city, below the stimulation that changes policy in past canopy, house price rose for a time 4000 much, fell buoyantly again nowadays, a few secondhand house unit price is low to 1 more than 1000, the Fang Yuanzhong that hangs out his shingle in the 58 platform that be the same as a city also can not spend 40 thousand total prices to be able to buy a nearly 50 smooth houses.
The black sea city that is located in Inner Mongolia also cannot avoid the reality of small house price likewise, the estate website of a few this locality has a lot of total 80 thousand room of the left and right sides learning an area is hanged in carry out room, calculate come down monovalent ability 1 more than 1000.
"Why must Qiang flute complain willow, spring breeze does not spend jade door to close " " cool city word " the ground that let everybody know jade door is fastness of our country northwest.
(the house price that brings door of the Lian Yu that occupy a settle or live in a strange place did not show)
There was the retail sales that pass jade on the net last year a 80 smooth house total prices just 4000. Jade retail sales is in now old the city zone built a new wall outside 80 kilometers, be like the old the city zone like ghost town, never mention it 4000, even if gratuitious also can go without the person.
The city of above is resource city, the crane hillock city of Liaoning, n city, mound new city, the black sea city of Inner Mongolia and retail sales of Gansu Province jade are resource city, give priority to with coal or oil. Of these cities promote decline to be together with the connection with close resource.
A lot of people feel these can happen only northeastern or northwest, be located in actually develop Hua Dong area, with " chiliad porcelain " famed Jingdezhen cannot break resource likewise dried up model urban demon cuss.
Production pottery and porcelain needs with kaolin resource, and go up the excavate of chiliad, kaolin also slowly dried up, the industrial structure of Jingdezhen is onefold, also begin decline as ceramics manufacturing industry, these year obtain employment rate falls substantially, the person went, house price nature also did not have appeal.
How to reside customer information to show, jingdezhen is secondhand room all valence is 6000 yuan about / smooth, go up 3 years less than 30% , jingdezhen section section has dropped nowadays time 4000 much, and price of house of Nanchang of the corresponding period rises amount to 44% , price of house of city of another name for Jiangxi Province, 9 rivers rises more than 50% , forgive goes up on it is to be as high as 83% more.
Say crane hillock, after resources estate is dried up, crane hillock was not found replace an industry newly, population prediction of a person's luck in a given year also with respect to unavoidable.
The population of crane hillock is flowing continuously piece, city of hillock of vital statistics crane had 1.036 million person 2016, the vital statistics 2017 has 1.009 million person only, reduce 27 thousand person completely.
Do not look only little 20 thousand people, had been very serious for the city to million of a population.
2017 end, population of crane hillock town is as high as 833 thousand person, town is changed rate be as high as 82.6% -- this scale has exceeded developed country level, this town is changed rate is too horrible, should know the United States is overall and average the city influences frank ability 83% , crane hillock city chases after the United States continuously.
Develop periodic statistic rule according to the estate of world each country, city of a state is changed rate in 30% to 70% phase, often be the phase that real-estate industry erupts to grow with high speed.
Crane hillock had entered the black iron period of estate cycle now.
Actually besides crane hillock, house price of before two years soares, a lot of rural population give a city to buy a house early.
Although crane hillock is a small town only, but the problem that its exist has quite representative, it showed a pattern to people " systole city " example.
What is systole city? This is a notion with very popular near future.
Recently, hair change appoint " new-style 2019 town changes construction key job " in, while specific big city unlocks settle to restrict in the round, allude publicly first " systole city " .
Big city should unlock settle: The city zone often lives population 1 million, the Ⅱ of 3 million big city, want to cancel settle to restrict in the round; The city zone often lives population 3 million, the Ⅰ of 5 million big city, want to put condition of open wide settle in the round, cancel key group settle to restrict in the round.
Systole in small town wants thin body strong put oneself in another's position, change adds volume program thinking inertially, severe accuse increment, dish put an amount alive, guide population and public natural resources to be centered to the city zone.
The city with ceaseless and unused space of decline of these population prediction of a person's luck in a given year, industry, city, prospective development will get a lot of limitation.
And the settle limitation that cancels big city in the round, person of prospective big city is met only increasing, and these people come from which, move of those systole city comes.
Specific it is what city, still do not have exact data at present.
Wu Kang of university of capital economy commerce's associate professor ever also released research achievement to say, 2007~2016 year, china had 84 cities to appear " contractive " .
These cities were experienced successive 3 years or of 3 years of above often live population decreases.
If 3 years above holds a city,follow on current is broken and the city that lacks circumfluence, all can be regarded as systole city.
Systole city is the most apparent brought result is a person little, demand is little, nature of that house price drops.
Without the person, what the concept fries is again Orphean trashy also, the talent is the key of all problems, price of consumption, obtain employment, industry, house relies on a person to be maintained, without the person's city, whats are done not have.
Also fire passes below the upsurge that changes before the house price of crane hillock two years in canopy, but also be transitory only stopped.
Annual New Year returns countryside buy industry extraordinary popularity, everybody should note this time, advertent the population state of the city that you are in, whether to last 3 years the population of above is poured out of, if be if, this kind of city did not invest value already completely.
Had bought can be at ease cast boldly, premise is to cast the word that must go out.
Be in China, only big city just has future, go up like north wide deep, the person is driven drive do not go, and new a gleam of and second line city, cancel as what settle restricts, population also is met swarm into ceaselessly.
And of 45 lines city fatal be to want a trend to tumble down. Admitted even the country to contract nowadays, house price is met only lower and lower, not be the word that lives oneself, everybody does not want happen by chance this lively.
After all the place of somebody just has all corners of the country!
Niu Xiong archives
Grow to press and identify attention