Be born to now from field of A stock market, already 20 old. This 20 come for years, our stock market brought too much happy event, anger to the society, sad, happy! Personage of of administrative layer, economist, card, broad shareholder offers this market huge investment, but always be redound is too little too little. Of course, from the point of another angle, it is cornucopia simply, search the person that hire to the enterprise that appear on the market and partial right especially.
The market participator of square field surface is being analysed and explore, see a problem go out in where? What is the dense disease that health of stock market of block up China develops. If will explore from the angle of card market, it is very difficult to feel very difficult certainly, feel an elephant like a blind person same; If be analysed from the angle of equity business market, not be very difficult. Look in me, the stock market of this 20 the coming year basically has difficulty of 3 big dense.
(1) equity component makes dense disease: This problem is in 05-08 year, solved already basically, the Chinese stock market after solving has a best get one's own back, it is A the action of business barometer, more and more apparent, turn this by bear especially arrogant process, and 2010-2012 year shade drops, the current situation of the Chinese economy of very accurate reaction. This bovine city, can saying is to have A since, the most healthy, in the special policy that was not aimed at the stock market, the stock market is in of economy drive below, begin to come arrogant. What size is not is completely current, the industrial capital of complete get through and financial capital flow each other.
(2) examine and approve the disease that make dense: A fairness and the society that trust each other, do not need to examine and approve; Still have even if below the environment with not quite mutual and not quite fair still, trustful society, examine and approve also can make the company appears on the market more inequitable, produce more suspiciousing, corrupt meeting is more rampant! The stock market that 90 time begin last centuries, we know, again good examination committee also does not judge the preeminent company that gives future (ox) come. Governmental action, build a whole market system namely: Put on record the whole process that control, perfect law is superintended, condemnatory system, maintain the stock market " 3 fair " . As to the price discretion of equity, give completely the market goes, free buying and selling. Ox it is outstanding entrepreneur and outstanding investor, collective crystallization, of course more child that are a times!
(3) disease of state-owned company dense: The government begins to do the stock market, first jumping-off place does not reach the designated position---Seek fund for state-owned company, is not to build an equity to trade the market. Say on firm sense, state-owned company is not had appear on the market condition, because of the share in large stockholder hand, did not plan in the market free buying and selling, the share of so state-owned company fixes a price with respect to sound without method market; The shareholder plenary meeting that still has state-owned company is the shareholder plenary meeting of no point, alone big, other shareholder does not have a bit action. Of whole stock business perfect superintending is ear of a deaf person---Decoration! But present issue comes big, almost so the state-owned company of heavyweight appeared on the market completely, become the dense difficulty that barely of short, metaphase resolves Chinese stock market.
Chinese stock market a what kind of condition is now?
Be to drop 3000 a little bit under? It is orgnaization city, still operate city?
First half of the year is bovine city 2015, without doubt. But what city is now? Great majority is confused. Because 2015 of open of second half of the year steep fall the arrival of declare Xiong Fu. Whether did that mean Xiong Fu to come? Nobody is affirmatory. Because ah, a lot of experts, those who include Li Daxiao and so on, came again in city saying an ox all the day, those who rectify is small medicinal powder door be stupefied. Return some the person is to be sung technically empty, rebuke city does not leave an opening all the day. Who should listen to after all?
Say according to me, small medicinal powder door want not to have a deficit money, must have oneself judgement! How be judged? The simplest still is city is filled with lead this index!
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The graph is A on on card index and become greatly show calendar year comes to city be filled with lead situation attempt. Can discover, 2007, 2009, 2015 is a city is filled with the peak of rate.
Highest city is filled with the card on 2007 rate have 70 times, too mad.
Highest city is filled with the card on 2009 lead 30 times, also be very high an appraise cost.
City of the card on 2015 is filled with rate is 22 times topper the left and right sides, be in the level of on the high side of reasonable level, but become greatly show city is filled with rate be as high as 62 times, taller than the level 2009. After 2009, a experienced city of 6 years of Great Bear, this, the adjustment that how long meets?
This is the law of transport guild regulations with the most substaintial stock market, very difficult deviate. Once deviate, follow-up settling time also is met very long.
A stock market is filled with now rate, card is 16.6 times on, still calculate reasonable. Become greatly pointing to is 44 times, still be very tall apparently, the city of 20 times was less than to be filled with when lowest 2012 rate, just brought up large base and the big ox city from the back.
So, be filled with rate analysis through simple city, we can be judged basically, platelet does poineering work in board big probability has bovine city very hard in the near future, must want to experience the adjustment of appraise value. And IPO speed is accelerated nowadays, superintend ceaseless raise the quota, in be opposite just about small start crowded foamy movement. Do not think only building city is squeezing bubble, in small achieve likewise such.
To current market, how should we invest after all? This is a very big question. The analysis of above can be judged basically in small achieving is not too rely on chart, because appraise cost is too high, and near future bank in of word head ceaseless and active, telling you the essence of the market again it seems that. Should follow the market to go after all, still hold to oneself before viewpoint, actually really need not too too kink, the key is recognize him Hunan.
Each trying to cheat the other is the normal of the stock market, all sorts of crammer fly all over the sky, lie not carefully gun. Want to live tenaciously come down, not be a simple thing absolutely.
Should have not only the Tang Dynasty like the monk devotional, should have more realize the piercing eye like sky, otherwise, those " monster " cut you early what the flesh that come down eats is clean.
Common saying says well, do not accumulate Kui pace not to have down to a thousand li. For practice the piercing eye with respect to the stock market, we begin from 3 kinds of the most familiar fairy tale first, consolidate step by step, improve the stock market ceaselessly live skill.
Crammer 1: KDJ gold is forked
Just began to fry the person has blind faith in technical analysis, have a special liking to simple and intuitionistic KDJ index especially. We know, will tell from KDJ quota system, indication gold fork is to buy signal, showing dead fork is to sell a signal, buy sell, bank note in one's hand.
But, dish is friendly people think with foot, have really so simple? If be so simple really, that is not everybody becomes a spirit, does each become moneybags? Likelihood?
Not too innocent, KDJ index is a basis historical data calculative, it can represent the past only, very finite to direct import of future.
In dish of practical side in, golden fork can become dead forked for an instant, dead fork also can change for an instant gold is forked. If will decide to buy an operation according to golden fork, not deficient dead ability is strange, so, this crammer must expose.
Crammer 2: Buy strongly recommend grade
Buy strongly recommend grade -- this keyword sees to appearing on the market at certificate business the research of the company reports more in, often be fund manager or old man people consider to appear on the market the conclusion that reachs after the company. A moment ago said, the stock market is you cheat me the place that I cheat you, does their research report have certificate business, orgnaization after all how many place is authentic? The answer is reliability very low! Or why so much medicinal powder door after seeing research report, buy deficient?
Appear in forum of some stock communication even a such phenomena, stock a profit is good everybody runnings, everybody takes air of a benefit (like confusing come loose a psychology, guess forever not) .
So, if you see your stock appeared,the research with a such very marked caption reports, and on one is written in terminal point " recommend grade strongly " , so I am sorry, your stock should fall...
You think, negotiable securities orgnaization is bargainor orgnaization more, want flicker of ground of leave no stone unturned only you were bought, find receive Pan Xia, it calculates achieve a goal, 0 weichi with rich, you are not deficient money, what does he rely on to have a meal.
Understood? Serious, you were defeated! The city covers a region deep, I should return a country, the country covers a region much, mayor does not let say, is what I know careless root too much?
Crammer 3: Jin Jiuyin 10
The 2nd crammer still is concerned with month. Jin Jiuyin 10, come from the earliest according to fokelore at building city, and at that time the consumptive psychology of people becomes loose quite, form a photograph comparing easily to compare tall desire to buy to look at other month, the expenditure of these two months will be so apparent prep above is other month, this is " Jin Jiuyin 10 " phenomenon. And, festival of Feng Zhongqiu of this time Duan Qia and our National Day, the Chinese likes to celebrate a festival, like lively, grail need not go up, but cannot you prevent magnificent shareholder festival to imagine the impulse that goes up greatly? Then, had stock market edition " Jin Jiuyin 10 " happiness longing (with red euqally same in May drop) .
In fact " Jin Jiuyin 10 " with " red in May " same, it is investor looked forward to the one's own wishful thinking that the stock market goes up greatly to stop nevertheless. Just think, if grail is move with popular volition, that is not everybody makes money, everybody is a god!
Here says a word outside the problem again, "Red in May " and " Jin Jiuyin 10 " the place that is worth to expect without what actually, contrary, annual in June, in July and will mix in November December often is the month that rises easily, successful rate pretty is tall, everybody is OK oneself go investigating the history.
Crammer 4: Value invests
This theory is 3 words, put nonsense. A what be? Day day characteristic, that one inapplicable of the foreign country. Of day day be particular about is a spec, hype. Calculate again good theme, again nice main area, paying close attention to without capital, it is rubbish. With respect to the main area that considers you again sodden, again fast city is filled with, want you to capital dare be taken only, idle fund drum sends a flower, it is star. It is good bill. Most profitable company is two pails of oil follow 4 big, the stock that makes money least of all also is two pails of oil follow 4 big.
In Chinese stock market, only congenial ability is reason, the purpose of any investment of dispute reason.
In stock market investment, MACD index regards a kind of technology as analytic method, got the acknowledge of vast investment public figure. But how to use MACD index. Ability makes yield reachs optimal state.
Have two big functions:
It is the investment opportunity that discovers the stock market above all, it is to protect the yield in the stock market not to suffer lose next. In stock market operation, MACD index is protecting investor interest respect, yuan Chao crosses it to discover the efficacy that invests an opportunity, MACD index serves as in long term analytic method, the alternate signal that it generates, compare lag to short line business.
The definition of MACD:
MACD index Chinese calls an index flowing similarities and differences is average line, attribute general trends trend kind index, it by long term all line MACD, short-term line DIF, gules energy column (bull) , green energy column (nominal) , o axis (much emptier boundary) 5 parts composition. It is to use short-term all line DIF and across of extended line MACD serve as signal. The alternate signal that MACD index place generates is slower, and trade as what make phasing answer strategy is used, the effect is better.
DIF line: Short-term, long-term index averages closing quotation price the difference of slippery mobile and average space
DEA line: The M day index of DIFF line makes the same score slippery mobile and mean line
When two lines numerical value is located in the lower part of 0 axes, explain current general trend of events attributes bear market, investor ought to be main strategy with managing money. Had not built at present become empty mechanism. Because of this stock market one but enter bear market, the strategy with best investor leaves field wait-and-see namely.
MACD tactics
1, MACD defends wolf tactics -- (bovine city fries a first principle! 1, MACD defends wolf tactics -- (bovine city fries a first principle!!
" tangle theory " think, line of Huang Bai of MACD of day wire attempt moves at 0 axes upper part, belong to can operate area. When the shareholder selects a stock, yellow white line is in need avoid the stock of 0 axes lower part.
2, MACD bottom deviates from -- (bovine city is multi-purpose bottom of MACD of 30 minutes of graphs deviates from, can hold effectively buy a place! Can hold effectively buy a place!!
Share price level is new low, MACD green column does not achieve level new low, belong to MACD bottom to deviate from.
3, MACD top deviates from -- (top of bovine city MACD deviates from the effect is very poor, do not suggest to use. But be in Xiong Fu and concussion city, MACD top deviates from the effect is very good, it is important sell a signal! It is important sell a signal!!
Share price level is new tall, MACD green column does not achieve level new tall, belong to MACD top to deviate from.
4, 0 axes grow line of MACD Huang Bai wave -- (long-term press close to of line of MACD Huang Bai 0 axes run, it is brunt is sucked chip, wash dish expression, investor encounters this kind of stock, can pay close attention to mainly! Can pay close attention to mainly!!
Line of MACD Huang Bai is extended 0 axes run press close to, once up disperse the internal heat with sudorifics, criterion share price erupts up strength is very strong!
5, cheer in MACD sky -- (cheer in MACD sky in bovine city very common, once appear, have normally rise continuously! Have normally rise continuously!!
Below share price ascendant trend, MACD appears a bright red column. Share price is entered after adjusting, MACD Gong Zhu is reduced. But share price occurrence to the limit of one's capacity is subsequently in relief line, the Gong Zhu MACD magnifies again, in belonging to MACD sky right now, cheer, still continue bullish!
6, MACD is green at 3 o'clock -- (MACD waves green not be meddlesome, but do not wave only green at 3 o'clock, attack on to the limit of one's capacity again, of occurrence Gong Zhu, attack on strong place of business namely! Attack on strong place of business namely!!
After share price keeps a paragraph of ascendant current, appear adjust, but MACD green post does not appear only 3 green column, attack on redo to the limit of one's capacity, share price continues to rise!
7, MACD crocodilian mouth -- (a lot of oxen the configuration that start is MACD crocodile mouth, and this configuration also applicable pursues at 30 minutes)
Line of MACD Huang Bai is in what crocodilian mouth configuration appears near 0 axes, continue bullish!
8, line of MACD Huang Bai first time gold of 0 axes upper part is forked -- (Huang Bai line is in first time of 0 axes upper part the accuracy rate of golden fork is top! 8, line of MACD Huang Bai first time gold of 0 axes upper part is forked -- (Huang Bai line is in first time of 0 axes upper part the accuracy rate of golden fork is top!!
Line of MACD Huang Bai is in the first time gold of 0 axes upper part is forked, it is to buy a place!
9, line of MACD Huang Bai first time of 0 axes lower part is dead forked -- (Huang Bai line is in first time of 0 axes lower part is dead forked, shareholder Wu is sure stock get off one's hands)
Line of MACD Huang Bai dies in the first time of 0 axes lower part forked, must sell piece!
1, the premise that state of mind is get the upper hand of
I believe a lot of shareholders can encounter this kind of situation: Value a share originally namely or the friend introduces a share certificate again, next oneself were bought rise ceaselessly. But, went to what you can discover you are bought finally to have hundreds of a bit less only, still be less than for capital of opposite Yuke operation 10% , at that time you are with respect to this cry on each other's shoulder, regret to was not bought more at that time a bit. At this moment your need is a bit clearer, if you are bought much share price drops how to do all the way, more regret. So, should have earn and not be fond of, deficient and not the good state of mind of care. Additional, the opportunity always leaves audacious person, the stock market is such, want to dare to try, not awe-stricken.
2, the position is kingcraft
I believe a lot of coming loose door had contacted a lot of technologies to analyse, it is the trend is for the most part king, measure the impact between valence. However I am not agreed with, because the place became good,just let a shareholder possibly more time and capital go paying close attention to, ability forms the trend that rise gradually. So, the Chongzhongzhi that the position just is analytic stock is heavy.
3, the nature that the stock understands before affirmatory operation
Some investor like follow the general trend to buy a share blindly, the result earns those who earn is unidentified not white, deficient luckily is in a complete mess. Before making a share, must be clear about burnish of stock market prices, the history that includes it goes sign is hopeful, want to make clear its specific place, can be over certainly get the better of undertaking intervening operating.
4, take its flower, go its scum
Want the point of view of the person that modest study succeeds, the person that succeed always has a method that belongs to his, be like to prices rhythm hold, to dish the understanding of the face, it is comprehend from inside be carried out for a long time come out, we should sum up a program that turns its into our, be in us insufficiently and perfect its, final oneself just are to laugh at last person.
5, appear many line, lucky will appear
Share price is in low, appear a line of longer and hypostatic in relief K, will in front line of many day K has been built, show share price has been obtained buy power very by force, later period share price continues relatively the probability that rises substantially is very high.
6, hold a key two phase
The first phase, to " left " dresses escape very. In grail early days important be derailed sells the bill near high point, empty storehouse. Step to avoid empty, etc drop near neck line to enter afresh.
The 2nd phase, drop effectively broken neck line, from. Should drop situation had formed, once drop effectively,break neck string, in the hand if have chip,stop stoutly caustic sells piece.
7, hold correctly go up a relation with fall after a rise
No matter how much your buying cost is, anyhow had been answered from its high point that day 3% you should bring to sb's attention, often had answered of 3% went that day in situation general not quite good, innovate very hard again tall, but not be absolutely. Because be done not have in the stock market absolutely 2 words, be sell or stay to still must look Piao of configuration Piao quantity is measured can line Piao quantity compares Piao inside and outside dish and the rate that change a hand, a few days did it already go up? You sell with respect to this choice after these are integrated or stayed.
