"Tall house price is best prophylactic. "Tall house price is best prophylactic..
This Duan Zixian is a fun only like that, but house price is too high, does true meeting affect the birth apiration of young couple? Dare not want a child, be because can not afford a room,only really?
To this kind of view, people often is having his subjective knowledge, but all the time since the example that fails adequate measure undertakes statistical test and verify.
The report of a research that Zillow of the United States' biggest recently house property platform issues confirms: There is extremely strong negative correlativity between house price and fertility-rate!
This report points out: With 25-29 of complete United States year old the woman is example, house price is average every rise 10% , fertility-rate drops 1.5% . And be in los angeles, Xiyatu, new York such big city, tall house price is behaved more apparently to the influence of fertility-rate.
House price every go up 10% , fertility-rate drops 1.5%
Daerkegen occupies analyst of Zillow research organization report of American house market and American disease controlled this company 2017 the data of data of population of each county county that the center provides, undertook statistical analysis.
Go from house price in light of situation, the residence of American northwest ministry and southwest ministry rises in price extent should exceed ministry of Chinese and Western and the eastpart part far:
Xi Yatu the house price last year rises about 12.5% ;
California city san Francisco goes up it is about 9.5% ;
Texas Dalasi goes up amount to 9.3% ;
Las Vegas goes up it is to achieve more 14.3% .
Be born from population in light of data, house price rises a larger area, fertility-rate drops more quickly also.
With arriving 2010 2016 time paragraph inspect young woman (25-29 year old) the word of fertility-rate, the California of American southwest ministry and Dekesasi fertility-rate of two population big city also drops at most:
Seat of government of heart state state fertility-rate of county of county of Austin place administer drops 22% , fertility-rate of and other places of dagger of alternate of the los angeles of California, emperor drops generally also more than 16% .
In addition, the fertility-rate of county of county of administer of Xi Yatu place of American northwest ministry also drops greatly 18% .
Circumstance of integrated completely beautiful each district, house price (cross axle represents) with fertility-rate (x-axis represents) the statistical dependency between is extremely strong: The house price of county of a county is average every rise 10 percent, local fertility-rate drops 1.5 percent.
The report returns discovery, big city waits in new York, los angeles, Xiyatu, Chicago, go up in house price a certain premise below, the fall of apiration of Yo of young Fu schoolgirl degree should exceed rustic region.
Birth apiration is likely related to a variety of elements
Zillow report shows, arrived 2010 between 2013 American is average the first time the age that buy a house is 32.5 years old; As house price rise, arrived average 2017 the first time the age that buy a house rose 35.7 years old.
Meanwhile, the time that the woman chooses to bear also is deferring: 2010, the average age when mother of the humanness at the beginning of the United States is 27.7 years old, to 2017 American young woman chooses to do average age remit to of the mother 28.7 years old.
Of course, statistical the strong associated sex that go up is not equal to inevitable cause and effect to contact, also the expert is in for the United States gloomy fertility-rate searchs the explanatory account beyond house price.
American mouth learns domestic carat gram to think, to professional career think and income level is the key that affects young couple to bear apiration.
Carat gram thinks, more pushful on the career youth collects house price more easily opportunity of tall, obtain employment the big city that network of much, business develops. These youth lives lease room space in the congested in big city, time energy is held by duty field, nature birth desire is inferior.
Maryland university considers to make clear, crowd " poll with the foot " the choice also causes urban and rural between the become divided of fertility-rate: The young and rich crowd that stays in big city has taller educational setting, social class generally, birth apiration is inferior; And the young couple that in a planned way bears may choose to move environment price of better, housing the suburb with cheaper, larger living space or countryside, such pulling tall the fertility-rate of these places.
